Atlanta - February 22, 2024 -- Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (NYSE: IVR) (the “Company”) today announced financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2023.

•Net income per common share of $0.46 compared to net loss of $1.62 in Q3 2023

•Earnings available for distribution per common share(1) of $0.95 compared to $1.51 in Q3 2023

•Common stock dividend of $0.40 per common share, unchanged from Q3 2023

•Book value per common share(2) of $10.00 compared to $9.93 as of September 30, 2023

•Economic return(3) of 4.7% compared to (13.8)% in Q3 2023

“The sharp rise in interest rates that began in the second quarter persisted in early October as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose over 40 basis points to reach 5.0% for the first time in over 16 years, negatively impacting Agency RMBS valuations. Market sentiment then reversed course, as incoming data supported a soft landing narrative and market expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve were pulled forward into the first quarter of 2024, benefiting Agency RMBS into year end. During the quarter, we reduced risk within the portfolio as volatility initially increased, and subsequently returned leverage to our target range as volatility subsided. Our book value per common share ended the quarter at $10.00, representing an increase of 0.7% from September 30th, and when combined with our $0.40 common stock dividend, produced an economic return of 4.7% for the quarter.

“Our debt-to-equity ratio ended the fourth quarter at 5.7x, down from 6.4x as of September 30th. As of the end of the quarter, substantially all our $5.1 billion investment portfolio was invested in Agency RMBS, and we maintained a sizeable balance of unrestricted cash and unencumbered investments totaling $422 million.

“Earnings available for distribution (“EAD”) for the period benefited from attractive interest income on our target assets, favorable funding and low-cost, pay-fixed swaps. For the quarter, EAD per common share was $0.95 compared to $1.51 for the third quarter, reflecting declines in interest income on investments and interest rate swaps in connection with our reduction in leverage and adjustments to our swap portfolio. As of February 16, 2024, our book value per common share is estimated to be between $9.50 and $9.88.(4)

“We are cautious on the near-term outlook for the Agency RMBS sector given recent strong performance and the uncertain timing of monetary policy adjustments. However, the potential reduction in interest rate volatility associated with the eventual normalization of monetary policy should be supportive for investors with longer time horizons. We believe Agency RMBS investors stand to benefit from attractive valuations, favorable funding and a steeper yield curve as the macro environment stabilizes.”

(1) Earnings available for distribution (and by calculation, earnings available for distribution per common share) is a non-Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”) financial measure. Refer to the section entitled “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for important disclosures and a reconciliation to the most comparable U.S. GAAP measure.

(2) Book value per common share as of December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023 is calculated as total stockholders' equity less the liquidation preference of the Company's Series B Preferred Stock and Series C Preferred Stock ($109.7 million and $188.6 million as of December 31, 2023, respectively, and $111.6 million and $192.0 million as of September 30, 2023, respectively), divided by total common shares outstanding.

(3) Economic return for the quarter ended December 31, 2023 is defined as the change in book value per common share from September 30, 2023 to December 31, 2023 of $0.07; plus dividends declared of $0.40 per common share; divided by the September 30, 2023 book value per common share of $9.93. Economic return for the quarter ended September 30, 2023 is defined as the change in book value per common share from June 30, 2023 to September 30, 2023 of ($2.05); plus dividends declared of $0.40 per common share; divided by the June 30, 2023 book value per common share of $11.98.

(4) Book value per common share as of February 16, 2024 is adjusted to exclude a pro rata portion of the current quarter’s common stock dividend (which for purposes of this calculation is assumed to be the same as the previous quarter) and is calculated as total stockholders' equity less the liquidation preference of the Company's Series B Preferred Stock and Series C Preferred Stock ($108.1 million and $187.1 million as of February 16, 2024, respectively), divided by total common shares outstanding of 48.5 million.

Key performance indicators for the quarters ended December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023 are summarized in the table below.

(1) Average stockholders' equity is calculated based on the weighted month-end balance of total stockholders' equity excluding equity attributable to preferred stockholders.

(2) Period-end weighted average asset yields are based on amortized cost as of period-end and incorporate future prepayment and loss assumptions when appropriate.

(3) Book value per common share is calculated as total stockholders' equity less the liquidation preference of the Company's Series B Preferred Stock and Series C Preferred Stock ($109.7 million and $188.6 million as of December 31, 2023, respectively, and $111.6 million and $192.0 million as of September 30, 2023, respectively), divided by total common shares outstanding.

(4) Earnings available for distribution (and by calculation, earnings available for distribution per common share), effective interest expense (and by calculation, effective cost of funds), effective net interest income (and by calculation, effective interest rate margin), and economic debt-to-equity ratio are non-GAAP financial measures. Refer to the section entitled “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for important disclosures and a reconciliation to the most comparable U.S. GAAP measures of net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders (and by calculation, basic earnings (loss) per common share), total interest expense (and by calculation, cost of funds), net interest income (and by calculation, net interest rate margin) and debt-to-equity ratio.

The following table summarizes the Company's MBS portfolio as of December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023.

The following table presents certain characteristics of the Company's borrowings as of December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023.

The tables below present certain characteristics of the Company's interest rate swaps whereby the Company pays interest at a fixed rate and receives floating interest based on the secured overnight financing rate (“SOFR”) as of December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023.

The table below presents certain characteristics of the Company's interest rate swaps whereby the Company pays floating interest based on SOFR and receives interest at a fixed rate as of September 30, 2023. We did not have any such swaps as of December 31, 2023.

As previously announced on December 19, 2023, the Company declared a common stock dividend on December 18, 2023 of $0.40 per share paid on January 26, 2024 to its stockholders of record as of December 29, 2023. The Company declared the following dividends on February 21, 2024: a Series B Preferred Stock dividend of $0.4844 per share and a Series C Preferred Stock dividend of $0.46875 per share payable on March 27, 2024 to its stockholders of record on March 5, 2024.

During the three months ended December 31, 2023, the Company repurchased and retired 79,417 shares of Series B Preferred Stock and 135,772 shares of Series C Preferred Stock, respectively, for a total cost of $4.4 million.

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is a real estate investment trust that primarily focuses on investing in, financing and managing mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets. Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is externally managed and advised by Invesco Advisers, Inc., a registered investment adviser and an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Invesco Ltd., a leading independent global investment management firm.

Members of the investment community and the general public are invited to listen to the Company’s earnings conference call on Friday, February 23, 2024, at 9:00 a.m. ET, by calling one of the following numbers:

North America Toll Free:    888-982-7409

International:        1-212-287-1625

Passcode:         Invesco

An audio replay will be available until 5:00 pm ET on March 8, 2024 by calling:

866-361-4757 (North America) or 1-203-369-0183 (International)

The presentation slides that will be reviewed during the call will be available on the Company’s website at www.invescomortgagecapital.com.

This press release, the related presentation and comments made in the associated conference call, may include statements and information that constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the U.S. securities laws as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and such statements are intended to be covered by the safe harbor provided by the same. Forward-looking statements include our views on the risk positioning of our portfolio, domestic and global market conditions (including the Agency RMBS and residential and commercial real estate market), the market for our target assets, our financial performance, including our earnings available for distribution, economic return, comprehensive income and changes in our book value, our intention and ability to pay dividends, our ability to continue performance trends, the stability of portfolio yields, interest rates, credit spreads, prepayment trends, financing sources, cost of funds, our leverage and equity allocation. In addition, words such as “believes,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,” “estimates,” “projects,” “forecasts,” and future or conditional verbs such as “will,” “may,” “could,” “should,” and “would” as well as any other statement that necessarily depends on future events, are intended to identify forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements are not guarantees, and they involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from our expectations. We caution investors not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements and urge you to carefully consider the risks identified under the captions “Risk Factors,” “Forward-Looking Statements” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in our annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, which are available on the Securities and Exchange Commission’s website at www.sec.gov.

All written or oral forward-looking statements that we make, or that are attributable to us, are expressly qualified by this cautionary notice. We expressly disclaim any obligation to update the information in any public disclosure if any forward-looking statement later turns out to be inaccurate.

 

			Three Months Ended																		Years Ended
$ in thousands			December 31, 2023						September 30, 2023						December 31, 2022						December 31, 2023						December 31, 2022
			(unaudited)						(unaudited)						(unaudited)
Net income (loss)			27,199						(68,599)						36,461						(15,859)						(402,924)
Other comprehensive income (loss):
Unrealized gain (loss) on mortgage-backed securities, net			607						(91)						(791)						(91)						(6,280)
Reclassification of unrealized loss on available-for-sale securities to (increase) decrease in provision for credit losses			108						43						—						320						—
Reclassification of amortization of net deferred (gain) loss on de-designated interest rate swaps to repurchase agreements interest expense			(900)						(1,810)						(4,855)						(10,405)						(19,708)
Currency translation adjustments on investment in unconsolidated venture			—						—						(103)						(10)						(537)
Reclassification of currency translation loss on investment in unconsolidated venture to other investment income (loss), net			—						—						—						123						—
Total other comprehensive income (loss)			(185)						(1,858)						(5,749)						(10,063)						(26,525)
Comprehensive income (loss)			27,014						(70,457)						30,712						(25,922)						(429,449)
Dividends to preferred stockholders			(5,679)						(5,772)						(5,862)						(23,153)						(28,218)
Gain on repurchase and retirement of preferred stock			760						347						—						1,471						14,179
Comprehensive income (loss) attributable to common stockholders			22,095						(75,882)						24,850						(47,604)						(443,488)

(1)See Note 14 of the Company's consolidated financial statements filed in Part IV, Item 15 of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023.

The table below shows the non-GAAP financial measures the Company uses to analyze its operating results and the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures. The Company believes these non-GAAP measures are useful to investors in assessing its performance as discussed further below.

The non-GAAP financial measures used by the Company's management should be analyzed in conjunction with U.S. GAAP financial measures and should not be considered substitutes for U.S. GAAP financial measures. In addition, the non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures of its peer companies.

The Company's business objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its stockholders, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. The Company uses earnings available for distribution as a measure of its investment portfolio’s ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders and to evaluate its progress toward meeting this objective. The Company calculates earnings available for distribution as U.S. GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders adjusted for (gain) loss on investments, net; realized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; unrealized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; TBA dollar roll income; gain on repurchase and retirement of preferred stock; foreign currency (gains) losses, net and amortization of net deferred (gain) loss on de-designated interest rate swaps.

By excluding the gains and losses discussed above, the Company believes the presentation of earnings available for distribution provides a consistent measure of operating performance that investors can use to evaluate its results over multiple reporting periods and, to a certain extent, compare to its peer companies. However, because not all of the Company's peer companies use identical operating performance measures, the Company's presentation of earnings available for distribution may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures used by its peer companies. The Company excludes the impact of gains and losses when calculating earnings available for distribution because (i) when analyzed in conjunction with its U.S. GAAP results, earnings available for distribution provides additional detail of its investment portfolio’s earnings capacity and (ii) gains and losses are not accounted for consistently under U.S. GAAP. Under U.S. GAAP, certain gains and losses are reflected in net income whereas other gains and losses are reflected in other comprehensive income. For example, a portion of the Company's mortgage-backed securities are classified as available-for-sale securities, and changes in the valuation of these securities are recorded in other comprehensive income on its consolidated balance sheets. The Company elected the fair value option for its mortgage-backed securities purchased on or after September 1, 2016, and changes in the valuation of these securities are recorded in other income (loss) in the consolidated statements of operations. In addition, certain gains and losses represent one-time events. The Company may add and has added additional reconciling items to its earnings available for distribution calculation as appropriate.

To maintain qualification as a REIT, U.S. federal income tax law generally requires that the Company distribute at least 90% of its REIT taxable income annually, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding net capital gains. The Company has historically distributed at least 100% of its REIT taxable income. Because the Company views earnings available for distribution as a consistent measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders, earnings available for distribution is one metric, but not the exclusive metric, that the Company's board of directors uses to determine the amount, if any, and the payment date of dividends on common stock. However, earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an indication of the Company's taxable income, a guaranty of its ability to pay dividends or as a proxy for the amount of dividends it may pay, as earnings available for distribution excludes certain items that impact its cash needs.

Earnings available for distribution is an incomplete measure of the Company's financial performance and there are other factors that impact the achievement of the Company's business objective. The Company cautions that earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an alternative to net income (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP), or as an indication of the Company's cash flow from operating activities (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP), a measure of the Company's liquidity, or as an indication of amounts available to fund its cash needs.

The table below provides a reconciliation of U.S. GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders to earnings available for distribution for the following periods:

(1) U.S. GAAP gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net on the consolidated statements of operations includes the following components:

(2)    A TBA dollar roll is a series of derivative transactions where TBAs with the same specified issuer, term and coupon but different settlement dates are simultaneously bought and sold. The TBA settling in the later month typically prices at a discount to the TBA settling in the earlier month. TBA dollar roll income represents the price differential between the TBA price for current month settlement versus the TBA price for forward month settlement. The Company includes TBA dollar roll income in earnings available for distribution because it is the economic equivalent of interest income on the underlying Agency RMBS, less an implied financing cost, over the forward settlement period. TBA dollar roll income is a component of gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net on the Company's consolidated statements of operations.

(3)     Foreign currency gains (losses), net includes foreign currency transaction gains and losses and the reclassification of currency translation adjustments that were previously recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income and is included in other investment income (loss), net on the consolidated statements of operations.

(4)    U.S. GAAP repurchase agreements interest expense on the consolidated statements of operations includes the following components:

(5)    Earnings available for distribution per common share is equal to earnings available for distribution divided by the basic weighted average number of common shares outstanding.

The table below presents the components of earnings available for distribution:

(1)See below for a reconciliation of net interest income to effective net interest income, a non-GAAP measure.

The Company calculates effective interest expense (and by calculation, effective cost of funds) as U.S. GAAP total interest expense adjusted for contractual net interest income (expense) on its interest rate swaps that is recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net and the amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps that is recorded as repurchase agreements interest expense. The Company views its interest rate swaps as an economic hedge against increases in future market interest rates on its borrowings. The Company adds back the net payments or receipts on its interest rate swap agreements to its total U.S. GAAP interest expense because the Company uses interest rate swaps to add stability to interest expense. The Company excludes the amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps from its calculation of effective interest expense because the Company does not consider the amortization a current component of its borrowing costs.

The Company calculates effective net interest income (and by calculation, effective interest rate margin) as U.S. GAAP net interest income adjusted for contractual net interest income (expense) on its interest rate swaps that is recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net and amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps that is recorded as repurchase agreements interest expense.

The Company believes the presentation of effective interest expense, effective cost of funds, effective net interest income and effective interest rate margin measures, when considered together with U.S. GAAP financial measures, provides information that is useful to investors in understanding the Company's borrowing costs and operating performance.

The following tables reconcile total interest expense to effective interest expense and cost of funds to effective cost of funds for the following periods:

The following tables reconcile net interest income to effective net interest income and net interest rate margin to effective interest rate margin for the following periods:

The following tables show the allocation of the Company's stockholders' equity to its target assets, the Company's debt-to-equity ratio, and the Company's economic debt-to-equity ratio as of December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023. The Company's debt-to-equity ratio is calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP and is the ratio of total debt to total stockholders' equity.

The Company presents an economic debt-to-equity ratio, a non-GAAP financial measure of leverage that considers the impact of the off-balance sheet financing of its investments in TBAs that are accounted for as derivative instruments under U.S. GAAP. The Company includes its TBAs at implied cost basis in its measure of leverage because a forward contract to acquire Agency RMBS in the TBA market carries similar risks to Agency RMBS purchased in the cash market and funded with on-balance sheet liabilities. Similarly, a contract for the forward sale of Agency RMBS has substantially the same effect as selling the underlying Agency RMBS and reducing the Company's on-balance sheet funding commitments. The Company believes that presenting its economic debt-to-equity ratio, when considered together with its U.S. GAAP financial measure of debt-to-equity ratio, provides information that is useful to investors in understanding how management evaluates at-risk leverage and gives investors a comparable statistic to those of other mortgage REITs who also invest in TBAs and present a similar non-GAAP measure of leverage.

(1)Investments in non-Agency CMBS, non-Agency RMBS and an unconsolidated joint venture are included in credit portfolio.

(2)Cash and cash equivalents is allocated based on the Company's financing strategy for each asset class.

(3)Restricted cash and derivative assets are allocated based on the hedging strategy for each asset class.

(4)Debt-to-equity ratio is calculated as the ratio of total repurchase agreements to total stockholders' equity.

(5)Economic debt-to-equity ratio is calculated as the ratio of total repurchase agreements and TBAs at implied cost basis to total stockholders' equity. The Company did not have any TBAs outstanding as of December 31, 2023.

(1)Investments in non-Agency CMBS, non-Agency RMBS and an unconsolidated joint venture are included in credit portfolio.

(2)Cash and cash equivalents is allocated based on the Company's financing strategy for each asset class.

(3)Restricted cash and derivative liabilities are allocated based on the hedging strategy for each asset class.

(4)Debt-to-equity ratio is calculated as the ratio of total repurchase agreements to total stockholders' equity.

(5)Economic debt-to-equity ratio is calculated as the ratio of total repurchase agreements and TBAs at implied cost basis to total stockholders' equity. The Company did not have any TBAs outstanding as of September 30, 2023.

The table below presents information related to the Company's average earning assets, average earning asset yields, average borrowings and average cost of funds for the following periods:

(1)Average balances for each period are based on weighted month-end balances.

(2)Average earning asset yields for each period are calculated by dividing interest income, including amortization of premiums and discounts, by average earning assets based on the amortized cost of the investments. All yields are annualized.

(3)Average borrowings for each period are based on weighted month-end balances.

(4)Average cost of funds is calculated by dividing annualized interest expense, including amortization of net deferred gain (loss) on de-designated interest rate swaps, by average borrowings.