•GAAP Highlights: Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $119 million, or $2.53 per share(1), for fourth quarter 2025. Shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share was $125.32 as of December 31, 2025.

•Non-GAAP Highlights: Adjusted operating income(2) was $109 million, or $2.32 per share, for fourth quarter 2025. Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity(2) per share and adjusted book value (ABV)(2) per share were $126.78 and $186.43, respectively, as of December 31, 2025.

•New Business: Gross written premiums (GWP) were $61 million for fourth quarter 2025. Present value of new business production (PVP)(2) was $92 million for fourth quarter 2025.

•Return of Capital to Shareholders: Fourth quarter 2025 capital returned to shareholders was $147 million, consisting of the repurchase of 1.5 million shares for $131 million, and dividends of $16 million.

•GAAP Highlights: Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $503 million, or $10.26 per share, for FY 2025.

•Non-GAAP Highlights: Adjusted operating income was $445 million, or $9.08 per share, for FY 2025.

•New Business: GWP were $256 million and PVP was $286 million for FY 2025.

•Return of Capital to Shareholders: FY 2025 capital returned to shareholders was $569 million, consisting of the repurchase of 5.8 million shares for $500 million, and dividends of $69 million.

Hamilton, Bermuda, February 26, 2026 -- Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO) (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) announced today its financial results for the three-month period ended December 31, 2025 (fourth quarter 2025) and the year ended December 31, 2025 (FY 2025).

“At year end 2025, Assured Guaranty again reached record highs in our key shareholder value metrics,” said Dominic Frederico, President and CEO. “Year-over-year, shareholders’ equity per share rose 15% to $125.32, adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share rose over 10% to $126.78, and adjusted book value per share increased 10% to $186.43.

“In 2025, Assured Guaranty earned net income per share of $10.26, 49% higher than in 2024, and adjusted operating income per share grew to $9.08, a 28% year-over-year increase, as we continued to create significant future earnings from financial guaranty originations in U.S. public finance, non-U.S. infrastructure finance and global structured finance.

“We led the U.S. municipal bond insurance market in 2025 with 58.5% of new issue insured par sold, and in the secondary market we saw strong results insuring $2.0 billion of par, which is almost three-and-a-half times the amount we insured in 2024. In looking toward par and PVP production in 2026, we have a robust transaction pipeline and are expecting strong results from each of our three financial guaranty product lines.

“In our capital management program, we repurchased 11.5% of the common shares that were outstanding on December 31, 2024, and met our 2025 target of $500 million in common share repurchases.

“Additionally, on January 21, 2026, we entered the annuity reinsurance market by acquiring a life and annuity reinsurance company, which we renamed Assured Life Re. This furthers our strategic objective to diversify our revenue sources in support of our future growth.”

________________________________________________

(1)    Generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America.

(2)    Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release.

On a per share basis, shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL increased to $125.32 as of December 31, 2025 from $108.80 as of December 31, 2024 primarily due to net income, unrealized gains on the investment portfolio and share repurchases, partially offset by dividends. On a per share basis, ABV increased to $186.43 as of December 31, 2025 from $170.12 as of December 31, 2024, primarily due to adjusted operating income, new business production and share repurchases, partially offset by dividends.

Net income attributable to AGL in fourth quarter 2025 increased compared with the three-month period ended December 31, 2024 (fourth quarter 2024), primarily due to a $73 million increase in pre-tax foreign exchange remeasurement and a pre-tax gain of $23 million recognized in connection with the sale of a commercially leased building that was part of a loss mitigation strategy for a troubled insured exposure.

The Insurance segment primarily consists of (i) the Company’s insurance subsidiaries that provide credit protection products to the United States (U.S.) and non-U.S. public finance (including infrastructure) and structured finance markets, excluding the effect of variable interest entity (VIE) consolidations, and (ii) Assured Guaranty Inc.’s (AG) investment subsidiary, AG Asset Strategies LLC.

________________________________________________

(1)    PVP, a non-GAAP financial measure, measures the value of the Insurance segment’s new business production for all contracts regardless of form or GAAP accounting model. See “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release. PVP is based on “close date,” when the transaction settles. PVP was discounted at 5.0% in both fourth quarter 2025 and fourth quarter 2024.

(2)    Gross Par Written is based on “close date,” when the transaction settles.

U.S. public finance GWP and PVP include transactions closed in both the primary and secondary markets. Fourth quarter 2025 secondary market GWP and PVP each increased to $12 million from $3 million in fourth quarter 2024. The Company’s par written in the secondary market represented 8.3% of U.S. public finance par written in fourth quarter 2025, compared with 2.7% in fourth quarter 2024. U.S public finance GWP and PVP in the primary market were higher in fourth quarter 2024 compared with fourth quarter 2025 primarily due to one large transportation revenue transaction written in fourth quarter 2024.

GWP for non-U.S. public finance in fourth quarter 2025 were negative primarily due to the early repayment of several United Kingdom (U.K.) sub-sovereign credits. GWP for non-U.S. public finance in fourth quarter 2024 included a change in the present value of future premiums on a large existing transaction, which was not a result of new business production and therefore excluded from PVP. In fourth quarter 2025, non-U.S. public finance GWP and PVP consisted of guaranties of infrastructure finance, debt service reserve guarantees and extensions, and two secondary bank transactions.

Global structured finance GWP and PVP in fourth quarter 2025 primarily consisted of insurance securitizations, fund finance facilities and consumer receivable transactions.

Business activity in the non-U.S. public finance and structured finance markets often has long lead times and therefore may vary from period to period.

Insurance segment adjusted operating income increased to $119 million in fourth quarter 2025 from $98 million in fourth quarter 2024, primarily due to a gain of $23 million recognized in connection with the sale of a commercially leased building that was part of a loss mitigation strategy for a troubled insured exposure, and lower losses and loss adjustment expense (LAE) in fourth quarter 2025.

The components of the Insurance segment’s premiums, losses and income from the investment portfolio are presented below.

The increase in scheduled net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues in fourth quarter 2025 was primarily due to earnings on large transactions and supplemental premiums written in 2024.

Loss expense is a function of net economic loss development (benefit) and deferred premium revenue. The difference between loss expense and economic development in a given period represents the amount of deferred premium revenue absorbing expected losses to be paid.

The table below presents the roll forward of net expected losses for fourth quarter 2025.

Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered)(1)

________________________________________________

(1)    Net economic loss development (benefit) represents the change in net expected loss to be paid (recovered) attributable to the effects of changes in the economic performance of insured transactions, changes in assumptions based on observed market trends, changes in discount rates, accretion of discount and the economic effects of loss mitigation efforts, each net of reinsurance. Net economic loss development (benefit) is the principal measure that the Company uses to evaluate the loss experience in its insured portfolio. Expected loss to be paid (recovered) includes all transactions insured by the Company, regardless of the accounting model prescribed under GAAP and without consideration of deferred premium revenue.

Net economic loss development was $8 million in fourth quarter 2025, mainly attributable to certain U.K. student accommodation transactions and Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA), partially offset by a benefit related to certain U.K. regulated utility exposures.

________________________________________________

(1)    Equity in earnings (losses) of investees primarily relates to funds managed by Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management subsidiaries (Sound Point) and Assured Healthcare Partners, LLC. Investments in funds are reported on a one-quarter lag. AG transferred to Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH) certain alternative investments as part of stock redemptions in 2025 and 2024. AG results are reported in the Insurance segment and AGMH results are reported in the Corporate division.

Net investment income represents interest income on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments, which had an overall pre-tax book yield of 4.76% as of December 31, 2025 and 4.57% as of December 31, 2024. The decrease in net investment income in fourth quarter 2025 compared with fourth quarter 2024 is primarily due to lower short-term interest rates and lower average short-term investment balances.

Equity in earnings (losses) of investees was $15 million in fourth quarter 2025 compared with $19 million in fourth quarter 2024. Equity in earnings (losses) of investees may be more volatile than net investment income on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments, due to mark-to-market changes associated with certain alternative investments.

As of December 31, 2025, the Company had $1.0 billion in alternative investments across a variety of asset classes: $838 million in the Insurance segment consisting primarily of collateralized loan obligation (CLO) equity tranches in the available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities portfolio and investments in funds focused on asset classes such as private healthcare and asset-based/specialty finance, as well as alternative investments in the Corporate division consisting primarily of legacy investments. The inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return for all alternative investments across the Insurance segment and Corporate division was 13% as of December 31, 2025.

Asset management adjusted operating income was $1 million in fourth quarter 2025. It includes the Company’s ownership interest in Sound Point and the related amortization of intangible assets, as well as certain ongoing net performance fees. Sound Point’s results are reported on a one-quarter lag and are included in “equity in earnings (losses) of investees.”

The Corporate division primarily consists of interest expense on the debt of Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and AGMH, equity in earnings (losses) of investees related to certain alternative investments that AG transferred to AGMH as part of stock redemptions in the third quarter of 2025 and the third quarter of 2024, as well as expenses attributed to the holding companies’ activities. Equity in earnings (losses) of investees increased to $20 million in fourth quarter 2025 compared with $5 million in fourth quarter 2024, primarily due to the higher fair value gains on certain alternative investments.

________________________________________

(1)    The effect of consolidating financial guaranty (FG) VIEs and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs).

Except for credit impairment, the fair value adjustments on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio are non-economic adjustments that reverse to zero over the remaining term of that portfolio.

Fair value of CCS is heavily affected by, and in part fluctuates with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and is not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Foreign exchange gains (losses) primarily relate to remeasurement of premiums receivable and are mainly due to changes in exchange rates relative to the U.S. dollar of the pound sterling and, to a lesser extent, the euro.

Net income attributable to AGL in FY 2025 increased to $503 million from $376 million in FY 2024, primarily due to foreign exchange remeasurement gains of $96 million in 2025 compared with losses of $27 million in 2024, a gain related to the resolution of the Lehman Brothers International (Europe) (in administration) (LBIE) litigation of $103 million in 2025, a gain of $23 million recognized in connection with the sale in 2025 of a commercially leased building that was part of a loss mitigation strategy for a troubled insured exposure, and a $40 million increase in equity in earnings of investees. These increases were offset in part by a $66 million increase in public finance loss and LAE primarily attributable to higher reserves for PREPA and certain U.K. regulated utility exposures, $49 million in net realized investment losses and $39 million in lower fair value gains on trading securities.

Adjusted operating income in FY 2025 was $445 million, compared with $389 million in FY 2024. The increase was primarily due to the gain related to the resolution of the LBIE litigation in 2025, a $40 million increase in equity in earnings of investees and a gain of $23 million recognized in connection with the sale of a commercially leased building that was part of a loss mitigation strategy for a troubled insured exposure, offset in part by a higher loss expense in public finance sectors, lower fair value gains on the trading portfolio and lower earned premiums on refundings of financial guaranty insurance contracts in 2025.

________________________________________________

(1)    PVP was discounted at 5.0% in both 2025 and 2024.

U.S. public finance GWP and PVP include transactions closed in both the primary and secondary markets. Secondary market GWP and PVP each increased to $44 million in FY 2025 from $8 million in FY 2024. The Company’s par written in the secondary market represented 7.3% of U.S. public finance par written in FY 2025, compared with 2.5% in FY 2024.

U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in the primary market were higher in FY 2024 primarily due to a large transportation revenue transaction that was written in 2024. U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in FY 2025 included transportation revenue and infrastructure transactions. The Company’s primary par written represented 58% of the total U.S. primary municipal market insured par sold in both FY 2025 and in FY 2024, and the Company’s penetration of all municipal issuance was 4.4% in FY 2025 compared with 4.8% in FY 2024.

GWP for non-U.S. public finance in FY 2025 were negative primarily due to the early repayment of several U.K. sub-sovereign credits. GWP for non-U.S. public finance in FY 2024 included a change in the present value of future premiums on a large existing transaction, which was not a result of new business production and therefore excluded from PVP. Non-U.S. public finance PVP in FY 2025 was lower than PVP in FY 2024, primarily due to a lower volume of large transactions in 2025. Non-U.S. public finance PVP in FY 2025 included several primary infrastructure finance transactions in the European Union and secondary transactions in the U.K.

Global structured finance GWP and PVP in FY 2025 were primarily attributable to fund finance facilities, insurance securitizations, the upsize of a transaction providing protection on a core lending portfolio for an Australian bank, and consumer receivable transactions.

Realized losses on investments in FY 2025 were primarily due to $29 million of credit losses associated with CLO equity tranches and loss mitigation securities and $14 million losses related to the sale of investments.

Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives in FY 2025 were primarily due to generally lower collateral asset spreads. Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives in FY 2024 were generated primarily due to the termination of certain structured finance policies and generally lower collateral asset spreads.

Fair value gains on CCS in FY 2025 were primarily due to changes in the rate environment and market view on liquidity of floating rate instruments. Fair value losses on CCS in FY 2024 were primarily due to a tightening in market spreads. Fair value gains (losses) of CCS are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market spreads and interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Foreign exchange gains (losses) in FY 2025 and FY 2024 primarily relate to remeasurement of long-dated premiums receivable, for which the Company records the present value of future installment premiums. Foreign exchange gains and losses are mainly due to changes in the exchange rate of the pound sterling and, to a lesser extent, the euro relative to the U.S. dollar.

 

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented below.

The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

 

 

 

Adjusted operating income per share is calculated by dividing adjusted operating income by the weighted average diluted shares. The method for calculating weighted average diluted shares is in accordance with GAAP. See “Reconciliation to GAAP” above for a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

 

The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss. The Company’s management uses ABV, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. The Company’s management believes that ABV is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses.

 

 

 

The Company’s management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

The Company’s management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP gross written premiums and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure.

PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums.

________________________________

(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, and GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.

(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. Includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other business written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under ASC 460, Guarantees.

The Company will host a conference call for investors at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (9:00 a.m. Atlantic Time) on Friday, February 27, 2026. The conference call will be available via live webcast in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com or by dialing 1-833-470-1428 (in the U.S.) or 1-404-975-4839 (International); the access code is 155898.

A replay of the conference call will be available approximately three hours after the call ends. The webcast replay will be available for 90 days in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com, and the telephone replay will be available for 30 days by dialing 1-866-813-9403 (in the U.S.) or 1-929-458-6194 (International); the access code is 562318.

Please refer to Assured Guaranty’s December 31, 2025 Financial Supplement, which is posted on the Company’s website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata, for more information on the Company’s financial guaranty portfolio, investment portfolio and other items. In addition, the Company is posting at assuredguaranty.com/presentations its “December 31, 2025 Equity Investor Presentation.”

The Company plans to post by early next week on its website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata the following:

•“Public Finance Transactions in 4Q 2025,” which lists the U.S. public finance new issues insured by the Company in fourth quarter 2025, and

•“Structured Finance Transactions at December 31, 2025,” which lists the Company’s structured finance exposure as of that date.

In addition, the Company will post on its website, when available, Assured Guaranty Inc.’s financial supplement and its “Fixed Income Presentation” for the current quarter. Those documents will be furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission in a Current Report on Form 8-K.

# # #

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a publicly traded (NYSE: AGO), Bermuda-based holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty provides credit enhancement products to the U.S. and non-U.S. public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. Assured Guaranty also participates in the asset management business through its ownership interest in Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management affiliates, and in the annuity reinsurance business through Assured Life Reinsurance Ltd. More information on Assured Guaranty Ltd. and its subsidiaries can be found at AssuredGuaranty.com.

Any forward-looking statements made in this press release reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Among factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are:

(i) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates, tariff regimes or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession or stagflation; (ii) geopolitical risk, terrorism and political violence risk, including regional and global military conflicts, and strategic competition and trade confrontation; (iii) cybersecurity risk and the impacts of artificial intelligence, machine learning and other technological advances, including the possibility of malicious cyber attacks, dissemination of misinformation, and disruption of markets in which Assured Guaranty participates; (iv) the impact of a United States (U.S.) government shutdown and/or the possibility of payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (v) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in banking institutions, and the possibility that increasing participation of unregulated financial institutions in these markets results in losses or lower valuations of assets, reduced liquidity and credit and/or contraction of these markets, that adversely affect repayment rates of insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, or investments of Assured Guaranty; (vi) reduction in the amount or market rates of return of available insurance opportunities and/or the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (vii) the failure or ineffectiveness of any of Assured Guaranty’s risk mitigation strategies or activities, including distressed credit workouts, management of exposure limits, and hedging activities; (viii) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (ix) the possibility that Assured Guaranty’s strategies or strategic transactions do not result in the benefits anticipated and/or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (x) the impact of the announcement of Assured Guaranty’s strategies on Assured Guaranty and the perception of Assured Guaranty by its investors, regulators, rating agencies, and employees; (xi) risks related to the expansion into life and annuity reinsurance and the launching of Assured Life Reinsurance Ltd. (Assured Life Re); (xii) the failure of Assured Guaranty to successfully integrate acquired businesses, including Assured Guaranty’s acquisition of Warwick Company (UK) Limited; (xiii) loss of key personnel; (xiv) the possibility that longevity, mortality, lapse, withdrawal or surrender experience in Assured Guaranty’s life and annuity reinsurance business is less favorable than the rates Assured Guaranty used in pricing its reinsurance agreements; (xv) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which Assured Guaranty holds a noncontrolling interest; (xvi) the impact of market volatility on the fair value of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, contracts accounted for as derivatives, its committed capital securities (CCS), and its consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (xvii) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls, difficulties in obtaining additional financing, changes in applicable laws or regulations or other factors will result in credit losses or liquidity claims on obligations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (xviii) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures; (xix) the possibility that underwriting insurance in new jurisdictions and/or covering new sectors, lines or classes of business does not result in the benefits anticipated or subjects Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (xx) increased competition, including from new market entrants and alternative forms of credit protection; (xxi) any rating agency action in relation to Assured Guaranty, and/or of any securities Assured Guaranty has issued, and/or of transactions that Assured Guaranty has insured; (xxii) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access capital on acceptable terms or sufficient liquidity to cover unexpected stress; (xxiii) noncompliance with, and/or changes in, applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, tariffs, or other governmental actions; (xxiv) the possibility that legal or regulatory decisions or determinations subject Assured Guaranty or obligations that it insures or reinsures to negative consequences; (xxv) difficulties or delays with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (xxvi) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (xxvii) public health crises, including pandemics and endemics, and the governmental and private actions taken in response to such events; (xxviii) natural or man-made catastrophes; (xxix) the impact of climate change on Assured Guaranty’s business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (xxx) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (xxxi) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (xxxii) management’s response to these factors.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of February 26, 2026, and Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.

Robert Tucker

212-339-0861

rtucker@agltd.com

Ashweeta Durani

212-408-6042

adurani@agltd.com

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) with the United States (U.S.) Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025. Certain prior year balances have been reclassified to conform to the current year’s presentation.

Any forward looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty’s forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (i) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates, tariff regimes or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession or stagflation; (ii) geopolitical risk, terrorism and political violence risk, including regional and global military conflicts, and strategic competition and trade confrontation; (iii) cybersecurity risk and the impacts of artificial intelligence, machine learning and other technological advances, including the possibility of malicious cyber attacks, dissemination of misinformation, and disruption of markets in which Assured Guaranty participates; (iv) the impact of a United States (U.S.) government shutdown and/or the possibility of payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (v) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in banking institutions, and the possibility that increasing participation of unregulated financial institutions in these markets results in losses or lower valuations of assets, reduced liquidity and credit and/or contraction of these markets, that adversely affect repayment rates of insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, or investments of Assured Guaranty; (vi) reduction in the amount or market rates of return of available insurance opportunities and/or the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (vii) the failure or ineffectiveness of any of Assured Guaranty’s risk mitigation strategies or activities, including distressed credit workouts, management of exposure limits, and hedging activities; (viii) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (ix) the possibility that Assured Guaranty’s strategies or strategic transactions do not result in the benefits anticipated and/or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (x) the impact of the announcement of Assured Guaranty’s strategies on Assured Guaranty and the perception of Assured Guaranty by its investors, regulators, rating agencies, and employees; (xi) risks related to the expansion into life and annuity reinsurance and the launching of Assured Life Reinsurance Ltd. (Assured Life Re); (xii) the failure of Assured Guaranty to successfully integrate acquired businesses, including Assured Guaranty’s acquisition of Warwick Company (UK) Limited; (xiii) loss of key personnel; (xiv) the possibility that longevity, mortality, lapse, withdrawal or surrender experience in Assured Guaranty’s life and annuity reinsurance business is less favorable than the rates Assured Guaranty used in pricing its reinsurance agreements; (xv) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which Assured Guaranty holds a noncontrolling interest; (xvi) the impact of market volatility on the fair value of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, contracts accounted for as derivatives, its committed capital securities (CCS), and its consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (xvii) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls, difficulties in obtaining additional financing, changes in applicable laws or regulations or other factors will result in credit losses or liquidity claims on obligations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (xviii) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures; (xix) the possibility that underwriting insurance in new jurisdictions and/or covering new sectors, lines or classes of business does not result in the benefits anticipated or subjects Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (xx) increased competition, including from new market entrants and alternative forms of credit protection; (xxi) any rating agency action in relation to Assured Guaranty, and/or of any securities Assured Guaranty has issued, and/or of transactions that Assured Guaranty has insured; (xxii) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access capital on acceptable terms or sufficient liquidity to cover unexpected stress; (xxiii) noncompliance with, and/or changes in, applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, tariffs, or other governmental actions; (xxiv) the possibility that legal or regulatory decisions or determinations subject Assured Guaranty or obligations that it insures or reinsures to negative consequences; (xxv) difficulties or delays with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (xxvi) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (xxvii) public health crises, including pandemics and endemics, and the governmental and private actions taken in response to such events; (xxviii) natural or man-made catastrophes; (xxix) the impact of climate change on Assured Guaranty’s business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (xxx) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (xxxi) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (xxxii) management’s response to these factors. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.

Selected Financial Highlights (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

1)    Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).

2)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

3)    Represents the ratio of adjusted operating provision for income taxes to adjusted operating income before income taxes.

4)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns. See page 6 for additional information on calculation.

5)    Condensed consolidated statement of operations items mentioned in this Financial Supplement that are described as operating (i.e. operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues) are non-GAAP measures and represent components of adjusted operating income. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

6)    Represents the effect of consolidating financial guaranty VIEs (FG VIEs) and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs) (FG VIE and CIV consolidation).

7)    Excludes commissions.

Selected Financial Highlights (2 of 2)

2)    See page 19 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1 of 3)

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (2 of 3)

1)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (3 of 3)

1)    The timing and cumulative amount of actual collections and net earned premiums may differ from expected collections and expected net earned premiums due to factors such as foreign exchange rate fluctuations, counterparty collectability issues, accelerations, commutations, restructurings, changes in the consumer price indices, changes in expected lives, new business and changes in ratings of the insured obligations and/or the Company’s insurance subsidiaries.    

Income Components (1 of 4)