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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
Current Report
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)—November 6, 2025
AG_300 - Logo.jpg
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Bermuda 001-32141 98-0429991
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation or organization)
(Commission File Number)  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda
(Address of principal executive offices)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (441) 279-5700
Not applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class: Trading Symbol(s) Name of exchange on which registered
Common Shares $0.01 par value per share AGO New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 6.125% Senior Notes due 2028 (and the related guarantee of Registrant) AGO/28 New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.150% Senior Notes due 2031 (and the related guarantee of Registrant) AGO/31 New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.600% Senior Notes due 2051 (and the related guarantee of Registrant) AGO/51 New York Stock Exchange
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐



Item 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 6, 2025, Assured Guaranty Ltd. issued a press release reporting its third quarter 2025 results and the availability of its September 30, 2025 financial supplement. The press release and the financial supplement are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, and are incorporated by reference herein.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) Exhibits
Exhibit
Number
Description
99.1
99.2
104.1 Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document

2


SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
By:
/s/ BENJAMIN G. ROSENBLUM
Name: Benjamin G. Rosenblum
Title: Chief Financial Officer
DATE: November 6, 2025








































3
EX-99.1 2 agl3q25earningsrelease.htm AGL PRESS RELEASE Document


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Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Results for Third Quarter 2025

•GAAP Highlights:
•Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $105 million, or $2.18 per share(1), for third quarter 2025.
•Shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share was $121.13 as of September 30, 2025.
•Gross written premiums (GWP) were $75 million for third quarter 2025.

•Non-GAAP Highlights:
•Adjusted operating income(2) was $124 million, or $2.57 per share, for third quarter 2025.
•Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share(2) and adjusted book value (ABV) per share(2) were $123.10 and $181.37, respectively, as of September 30, 2025.
•Present value of new business production (PVP)(2) was $91 million for third quarter 2025.

•Return of Capital to Shareholders:
•Third quarter 2025 capital returned to shareholders was $134 million including share repurchases of $118 million and dividends of $16 million.
•Share repurchase authorization was increased by $100 million on November 5, 2025.


Hamilton, Bermuda, November 6, 2025 -- Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO) (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) announced today its financial results for the three-month period ended September 30, 2025 (third quarter 2025).

“Assured Guaranty continued to build shareholder value during the third quarter and first nine months of 2025. We attained record highs for shareholders’ equity, adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and adjusted book value on a per-share basis. Year-to-date through September 30, 2025, Assured Guaranty has earned net income of $7.73 per share, 20% higher than in last year’s comparable period, and adjusted operating income of $6.77 per share, up 17%.

“Par sold in the U.S. public finance market for the first nine months of the year reached a record level for a first nine months period. We guaranteed $21 billion of total par, which included four times the par amount of municipal secondary market policies than we wrote in the first three quarters of last year.

“Third quarter production was strong. Our three financial guaranty businesses – U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance and global structured finance – together produced $75 million of GWP and $91 million of PVP in third quarter 2025. GWP increased by 23%, while PVP increased by 44%, compared with the third quarter of last year, and also increased 25% and 77%, respectively, compared with the average GWP and PVP for the first two quarters of 2025. The increases in third quarter 2025 over the averages for the first two quarters were largely due to a resurgence of triple-B municipal issuance, where we insured a number of larger transactions.

“We also saw positive results in our loss development during the third quarter, with a net economic benefit of $38 million primarily related to legacy RMBS exposure and non-U.S. public finance exposure.



(1)    All per share information for net income and adjusted operating income is based on diluted shares.
(2)    Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release.

1


“In capital management, as of November 5, 2025, the Company had repurchased 9.7% of the shares that were outstanding on December 31, 2024. On November 5, 2025, our Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of an additional $100 million of common shares.”

Summary Financial Results
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Quarter Ended
  September 30,
  2025 2024
GAAP (1)
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 105  $ 171 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $ 2.18  $ 3.17 
Weighted average diluted shares 48.0  53.4 
Non-GAAP (2)
Adjusted operating income (loss)
$ 124  $ 130 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share $ 2.57  $ 2.42 
Weighted average diluted shares 48.0  53.4 
Components of total adjusted operating income (loss)
Insurance segment $ 145  $ 162 
Asset Management segment
Corporate division (24) (29)
Other —  (7)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 124  $ 130 

As of
September 30, 2025 December 31, 2024
Amount Per Share Amount Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,658  $ 121.13  $ 5,495  $ 108.80 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (2)
5,750  123.10  5,795  114.75 
ABV (2)
8,471  181.37  8,592  170.12 
Common Shares Outstanding 46.7  50.5 
________________________________________
(1)    Generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America.
(2)    Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release.

On a per share basis, shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL increased to $121.13 as of September 30, 2025 from $108.80 as of December 31, 2024, primarily due to net income, unrealized gains on the investment portfolio and share repurchases, partially offset by dividends. On a per share basis, ABV increased to $181.37 as of September 30, 2025 from $170.12 as of December 31, 2024, primarily due to adjusted operating income, new business production and share repurchases, partially offset by dividends.

Insurance Segment

The Insurance segment primarily consists of (i) the Company’s insurance subsidiaries that provide credit protection products to the United States (U.S.) and non-U.S. public finance (including infrastructure) and structured finance markets, excluding the effect of variable interest entity (VIE) consolidations, and (ii) Assured Guaranty Inc.’s (AG, formerly Assured Guaranty Corp.) investment subsidiary, AG Asset Strategies LLC.

2


Insurance Segment New Business Production

Insurance Segment
New Business Production
(in millions)
Quarter Ended September 30,
2025 2024
GWP
PVP (1)
Gross Par Written (2)
GWP
PVP (1)
Gross Par Written (2)
Public finance - U.S. $ 77  $ 78  $ 7,851  $ 35  $ 34  $ 5,387 
Public finance - non-U.S. (13) 243  10  665 
Structured finance - U.S. —  42  551 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 1,005  15  14  834 
Total $ 75  $ 91  $ 9,141  $ 61  $ 63  $ 7,437 
________________________________________
(1)    PVP, a non-GAAP financial measure, measures the value of the Insurance segment’s new business production for all contracts regardless of form or GAAP accounting model. See “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release. PVP is based on “close date,” when the transaction settles. PVP was discounted at 5.0% in both third quarter 2025 and in the three-month period ended September 30, 2024 (third quarter 2024).
(2)    Gross Par Written is based on “close date,” when the transaction settles.

The increase in U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in third quarter 2025 compared with third quarter 2024 was primarily attributable to several large transportation, health care and tax-backed transactions as well as higher GWP and PVP generated in the secondary market. The Company’s primary par written represented 61% of the total municipal market insured par sold in third quarter 2025, compared with 60% in third quarter 2024, and the Company’s penetration of all municipal issuance was 4.9% in third quarter 2025 compared with 4.2% in third quarter 2024.

In the U.S. public finance secondary market, GWP and PVP both increased to $10 million in third quarter 2025 compared with $2 million in third quarter 2024. The Company’s par written in the secondary market represented 7.4% of U.S. public finance par written in third quarter 2025, compared with 3.9% in third quarter 2024.

GWP for non-U.S. public finance in third quarter 2025 was negative due to the early repayment of several United Kingdom (U.K.) sub-sovereign credits. In third quarter 2025, non-U.S. public finance GWP and PVP consisted of guaranties of regulated utilities.

Global structured finance GWP and PVP in third quarter 2025 primarily consisted of the upsize of a transaction providing protection on a core lending portfolio for an Australian bank, as well as subscription finance transactions.

Business activity in the non-U.S. public finance and structured finance markets often has long lead times and therefore may vary from period to period.

Insurance Segment Adjusted Operating Income

Insurance segment adjusted operating income decreased to $145 million in third quarter 2025 from $162 million in third quarter 2024, primarily due to a smaller, though still favorable, development attributable to U.S. residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions in third quarter 2025 as compared with third quarter 2024.

3


Insurance Segment Results
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
September 30,
2025 2024
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues $ 99  $ 101 
Net investment income 94  82 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss) 12 
Total segment revenues 206  204 
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit) (31) (53)
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs (DAC)
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 44  40 
Other operating expenses 32  36 
Total segment expenses 51  28 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 16  28 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes 171  204 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 26  42 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) $ 145  $ 162 

The components of the Insurance segment’s premiums, losses and income from the investment portfolio are presented below.

Insurance Segment Net Earned Premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues

Insurance Segment
Net Earned Premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
September 30,
2025 2024
Scheduled net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues $ 93  $ 87 
Accelerations 14 
Total $ 99  $ 101 

The increase in scheduled net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues in third quarter 2025 was primarily due to earnings on large transactions and supplemental premiums written in 2024.

Insurance Segment Loss Expense (Benefit) and the Roll Forward of Expected Losses

Loss expense is a function of net economic loss development (benefit) and deferred premium revenue. The difference between loss expense and economic development in a given period represents the amount of deferred premium revenue absorbing expected losses to be paid.

4


Insurance Segment
Loss Expense (Benefit)
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
September 30,
2025 2024
Public finance $ (7) $ (8)
U.S. RMBS (26) (44)
Other structured finance (1)
Total $ (31) $ (53)

The table below presents the roll forward of net expected losses for third quarter 2025.

Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) (1)
(in millions)
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of June 30, 2025 Net
Economic Loss Development (Benefit)
Net (Paid) Recovered
Losses
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of September 30, 2025
Public finance $ 192  $ (8) $ (81) $ 103 
U.S. RMBS (35) (31) (59)
Other structured finance 29  30  60 
Total $ 186  $ (38) $ (44) $ 104 
_________________________________________________
(1)    Net economic loss development (benefit) represents the change in net expected loss to be paid (recovered) attributable to the effects of changes in the economic performance of insured transactions, changes in assumptions based on observed market trends, changes in discount rates, accretion of discount and the economic effects of loss mitigation efforts, each net of reinsurance. Net economic loss development (benefit) is the principal measure that the Company uses to evaluate the loss experience in its insured portfolio. Expected loss to be paid (recovered) includes all transactions insured by the Company, regardless of the accounting model prescribed under GAAP and without consideration of deferred premium revenue.

Net economic loss development was a benefit in third quarter 2025 primarily consisting of a $26 million benefit related to higher assumed recoveries for charged-off second lien loans.
5


Insurance Segment Income from the Investment Portfolio

Insurance Segment
Income from the Investment Portfolio
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
September 30,
2025 2024
Net investment income $ 94  $ 82 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees (1)
16  28 
Total (2)
$ 118  $ 119 
_________________________________________________
(1)    Equity in earnings (losses) of investees primarily relates to funds managed by Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management subsidiaries (Sound Point), Assured Healthcare Partners, LLC, and certain other managers. Investments in funds are reported on a one-quarter lag. AG transferred to Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH) certain alternative investments as part of a stock redemption on August 5, 2024. AG results are reported in the Insurance segment and AGMH results are reported in the Corporate division.
(2)    Certain collateralized loan obligation (CLO) equity tranche investments were reclassified to the available-for-sale fixed-maturity portfolio in the fourth quarter of 2024, with interest income now reported in net investment income, and changes in fair value reported in other comprehensive income. The Company had previously held the CLO equity tranches in a Sound Point managed fund with changes in its net asset value reported in “equity in earnings (losses) of investees” in the Insurance segment.

Net investment income represents interest income on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments, which had an overall pre-tax book yield of 4.80% as of September 30, 2025 and 4.10% as of September 30, 2024. The increase in net investment income in third quarter 2025 compared with third quarter 2024 is primarily due to a shift in the portfolio from municipal securities to higher yielding corporate securities, as well as the addition of investment income from CLO equity tranches that were reclassified as described in the notes to the table above, partially offset by lower investment income on the short-term investment portfolio as a result of lower short-term interest rates and lower short-term average investment balances.

Equity in earnings (losses) of investees decreased to $16 million in third quarter 2025 compared with $28 million in third quarter 2024, primarily due to the reclassification of certain CLO equity tranches to the available-for-sale portfolio as well as the transfer of certain alternative investments to the Corporate division as described in the notes to the table above. Equity in earnings (losses) of investees may be more volatile than net investment income on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments, due to mark-to-market changes associated with certain alternative investments.

As of September 30, 2025, the Company had $945 million in alternative investments across a variety of asset classes: $775 million in the Insurance segment consisting primarily of CLO equity tranches in the available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities portfolio and investments in funds focused on asset classes such as private healthcare and asset-based/specialty finance, as well as alternative investments in the Corporate division consisting primarily of legacy investments. The inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return for all alternative investments across the Insurance segment and Corporate division was 13% as of September 30, 2025.

Asset Management Segment

Asset management adjusted operating income was $3 million in third quarter 2025 and $4 million in third quarter 2024. It includes the Company’s ownership interest in Sound Point and the related amortization of intangible assets, as well as certain ongoing net performance fees. Sound Point’s results are reported on a one-quarter lag and are included in “equity in earnings (losses) of investees.”

6


Corporate Division

Corporate Division Results
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
September 30,
  2025 2024
Revenues $ $
Expenses
Interest expense 24  24 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses
Other operating expenses
Total expenses 38  37 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees — 
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (26) (33)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes (2) (4)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (24) $ (29)

The Corporate division primarily consists of interest expense on the debt of Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and AGMH, equity in earnings (losses) of investees related to certain alternative investments which AG transferred to AGMH as part of a stock redemption that occurred on August 5, 2024, as well as expenses attributed to the holding companies’ activities.

7


Reconciliation to GAAP

The following table presents a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Attributable to AGL to
Adjusted Operating Income (Loss)
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Quarter Ended
September 30,
2025 2024
Total Per Diluted Share Total Per Diluted Share
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 105  $ 2.18  $ 171  $ 3.17 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (10) (0.22) —  — 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 0.02  (2) (0.03)
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS) 0.17  (3) (0.06)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves (22) (0.44) 54  1.00 
Total pre-tax adjustments (23) (0.47) 49  0.91 
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments 0.08  (8) (0.16)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 124  $ 2.57  $ 130  $ 2.42 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income (1)
$ —  $ —  $ (7) $ (0.12)
________________________________________
(1)    The effect of consolidating financial guaranty (FG) VIEs and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs).

Realized losses on investments in third quarter 2025 were primarily due to credit losses associated with alternative investments.

Except for credit impairment, the fair value adjustments on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio are non-economic adjustments that reverse to zero over the remaining term of that portfolio.

Fair value of CCS is heavily affected by, and in part fluctuates with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and is not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Foreign exchange gains (losses) primarily relate to remeasurement of premiums receivable and are mainly due to changes in exchange rates relative to the U.S. dollar of the pound sterling and, to a lesser extent, the euro.

Common Share Repurchases

On November 5, 2025, the Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of an additional $100 million of the Company’s common shares. From the beginning of the repurchase program in 2013 through November 5, 2025, the Company has repurchased a total of 155 million common shares for $5.8 billion, representing 80% of the total shares outstanding as of January 1, 2013. As of November 5, 2025, the Company was authorized to purchase $332 million of its common shares. These repurchases can be made from time to time in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions.

8


Summary of Share Repurchases
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Amount (1)
Number of Shares Average Price Per Share
2025 (January 1 - March 31) $ 120  1.34  $ 89.72 
2025 (April 1 - June 30) 131  1.54  85.03 
2025 (July 1 - September 30)
118  1.42  83.06 
2024 (October 1 - November 5) 51  0.62  82.14 
Total 2025 $ 420  4.92  85.37 
_________________________________________________
(1)    Excludes commissions and excise taxes.

The Company’s share repurchase program may be modified, extended or terminated by the Company’s Board of Directors at any time and does not have an expiration date. The timing, form and amount of the share repurchases under the program are at the discretion of management and will depend on a variety of factors, including funds available at the parent company, other potential uses for such funds, market conditions, the Company’s capital position, legal requirements and other factors.

Stock Redemption Approval for U.S. Insurance Subsidiary

In third quarter 2025, after receiving approval from the Maryland Insurance Administration, AG redeemed $250 million of its common stock from AGMH in exchange for $213 million in cash and $37 million in alternative investments.

9


Financial Statements

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
September 30,
2025 2024
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 94  $ 97 
Net investment income 94  82 
Net realized investment gains (losses) (10) — 
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (7)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs 17  21 
Foreign exchange gains (loss) on remeasurement (23) 55 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities
Other income (loss) 11  12 
Total revenues 207  269 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (30) (51)
Interest expense 22  22 
Amortization of DAC
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 50  47 
Other operating expenses 44  44 
Total expenses 92  67 
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees 115  202 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 20  18 
Income (loss) before income taxes 135  220 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 21  44 
Net income (loss) 114  176 
Less: Noncontrolling interests
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 105  $ 171 
10


Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(in millions)
As of
September 30, 2025 December 31, 2024
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value $ 6,278  $ 6,369 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value 136  147 
Short-term investments, at fair value 1,332  1,221 
Other invested assets 1,012  926 
Total investments 8,758  8,663 
Cash 157  121 
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable 1,583  1,551 
DAC 190  176 
Salvage and subrogation recoverable 453  396 
FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value 145  147 
Assets of CIVs 136  101 
Other assets 679  746 
Total assets $ 12,101  $ 11,901 
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve $ 3,663  $ 3,719 
Loss and LAE reserve 308  268 
Long-term debt 1,702  1,699 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value 159  164 
Other liabilities 532  498 
Total liabilities 6,364  6,348 
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares — 
Retained earnings 5,836  5,878 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (179) (385)
Deferred equity compensation
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL 5,658  5,495 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests 79  58 
Total shareholders’ equity 5,737  5,553 
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 12,101  $ 11,901 
11


Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The Company discloses both: (i) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP; and (ii) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures). Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.

The Company believes its presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and for investors, analysts and the financial news media to evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and CIVs in which certain subsidiaries invest.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Insurance segment.

The Company’s management and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process for and in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (i) adjusted operating income per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core operating income per share); (ii) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core operating shareholders’ equity per share); (iii) ABV per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core ABV per share); (iv) core operating return on equity, which is calculated as core operating income divided by the average of core operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and end of the period; and (v) PVP.

The Company’s management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or ABV, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented below.

12


Adjusted Operating Income

The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL, which is the amount of fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
3)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4)    Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL. Long-dated receivables and loss and LAE reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.
 
5)    The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Adjusted operating income per share is calculated by dividing adjusted operating income by the weighted average diluted shares. The method for calculating weighted average diluted shares is in accordance with GAAP. See “Reconciliation to GAAP” above for a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and ABV

The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss. The Company’s management uses ABV, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. The Company’s management believes that ABV is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share and ABV per share, each further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core operating shareholders’ equity per share and core ABV per share, respectively), are two of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors.

13


Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are reported on the consolidated balance sheet, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

2)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are reported on the consolidated balance sheet. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

3)    Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not result in an economic gain or loss.

4)     The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

ABV is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2)    Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.
        
3)    Addition of the deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the present value of the expected future net earned premiums, net of the present value of expected losses to be expensed.

4)    The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Shares outstanding as of the end of the reporting period are used to calculate adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share and ABV per share.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in ABV will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current ABV due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors.


14


Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity Attributable to AGL to
Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and ABV
(in millions, except per share amounts)
As of
September 30, 2025 December 31, 2024
Total Per Share Total Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,658  $ 121.13  $ 5,495  $ 108.80 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 46  0.99  49  0.96 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 12  0.25  0.05 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (159) (3.41) (397) (7.86)
Less taxes 0.20  46  0.90 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 5,750  123.10  5,795  114.75 
Pre-tax adjustments:  
Less: DAC 190  4.06  176  3.47 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 191  4.08  202  3.99 
Plus: Net deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 3,401  72.81  3,473  68.75 
Plus taxes (681) (14.56) (702) (13.90)
ABV $ 8,471  $ 181.37  $ 8,592  $ 170.12 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity $ $ 0.05  $ —  $ 0.01 
ABV (3) (0.06) (6) (0.13)
Shares outstanding at the end of the period 46.7  50.5 

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue

The Company’s management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production

The Company’s management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP GWP and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure.
15


PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
September 30, 2025
Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Non - U.S. U.S. Non - U.S. Total
GWP $ 77  $ (13) $ $ $ 75 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1) 32  (13) 29 
Upfront GWP 45  —  —  46 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (2)
33  (1) 45 
PVP $ 78  $ $ —  $ $ 91 

Quarter Ended
September 30, 2024
Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Non - U.S. U.S. Non - U.S. Total
GWP $ 35  $ $ $ 15  $ 61 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
(1) 15  18 
Upfront GWP 33  —  43 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (2)
14  20 
PVP $ 34  $ 10  $ $ 14  $ 63 
_________________________________________________
(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, and GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities.


16


Conference Call and Webcast Information

The Company will host a conference call for investors at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (9:00 a.m. Atlantic Time) on Friday, November 7, 2025. The conference call will be available via live webcast in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com or by dialing 1-833-470-1428 (in the U.S.) or 1-404-975-4839 (International); the access code is 802981.

A replay of the conference call will be available approximately three hours after the call ends. The webcast replay will be available for 90 days in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com and the telephone replay will be available for 30 days by dialing 1-866-813-9403 (in the U.S.) or 1-929-458-6194 (International); the access code is 706961.

Please refer to Assured Guaranty’s September 30, 2025 Financial Supplement, which is posted on the Company’s website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata, for more information on the Company’s financial guaranty portfolio, investment portfolio and other items. In addition, the Company is posting at assuredguaranty.com/presentations its “September 30, 2025 Equity Investor Presentation.”

The Company plans to post by early next week on its website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata the following:

•“Public Finance Transactions in 3Q 2025,” which lists the U.S. public finance new issues insured by the Company in third quarter 2025, and

•“Structured Finance Transactions at September 30, 2025,” which lists the Company’s structured finance exposure as of that date.

In addition, the Company will post on its website, when available, Assured Guaranty Inc.’s financial supplement and its “Fixed Income Presentation” for the current quarter. Those documents will be furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission in a Current Report on Form 8-K.

# # #


Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a publicly traded (NYSE: AGO), Bermuda-based holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty provides credit enhancement products to the U.S. and non-U.S. public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. Assured Guaranty also participates in the asset management business through its ownership interest in Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management affiliates. More information on Assured Guaranty Ltd. and its subsidiaries can be found at AssuredGuaranty.com.


17


Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Any forward-looking statements made in this press release reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Among factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are:

(i) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates, tariff regimes or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession or stagflation; (ii) geopolitical risk, terrorism and political violence risk, including those arising out of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and intentional or accidental escalation between The North Atlantic Treaty Organization and Russia, conflict in the Middle East, confrontation over Iran’s nuclear program, the polarized political environment in the United States (U.S.), and strategic competition and tensions between the U.S. and China; (iii) cybersecurity risk and the impacts of artificial intelligence, machine learning and other technological advances, including potentially increasing the risks of malicious cyber attacks, dissemination of misinformation, and disruption of markets, including the markets in which the Company participates; (iv) the impact of a U.S. government shutdown and/or the possibility of payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (v) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in the financial condition of banking institutions in the U.S. and the possibility that increasing participation of unregulated financial institutions in these markets results in losses or lower valuations of assets, reduced liquidity and credit and/or contraction of these markets, that adversely affect repayment rates of insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, or investments of Assured Guaranty; (vi) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (vii) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity, or to other negative or unanticipated consequences; (viii) the possibility that Assured Guaranty’s mergers, acquisitions, divestitures and other strategic transactions, including the transactions with Sound Point Capital Management, LP (Sound Point, LP) and certain of its investment management affiliates (together with Sound Point, LP, Sound Point) and/or Assured Healthcare Partners LLC (AHP), do not result in the benefits anticipated and/or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (ix) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which Assured Guaranty holds a minority interest; (x) the impact of market volatility on the fair value of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, contracts accounted for as derivatives, its committed capital securities (CCS), and its consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (xi) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls, difficulties in obtaining additional financing, changes in applicable laws or regulations or other factors will result in credit losses or liquidity claims on obligations of state, territorial and local governments, their related authorities, public corporations and other obligors that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (xii) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including below-investment-grade (BIG) healthcare, United Kingdom (U.K.) regulated utility, European renewable energy, and Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) exposures; (xiii) the impact of Assured Guaranty satisfying its obligations under insurance policies with respect to legacy insured Puerto Rico bonds; (xiv) the possibility that underwriting insurance in new jurisdictions and/or covering new sectors, lines or classes of business does not result in the benefits anticipated or subjects Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (xv) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry, nonpayment insurance and other forms of capital saving or risk syndication available to banks and insurers; (xvi) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (xvii) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (xviii) noncompliance with, and/or changes in, applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, tariffs, or other governmental actions; (xix) the possibility that legal or regulatory decisions or determinations subject Assured Guaranty or obligations that it insures or reinsures to negative consequences; (xx) difficulties or delays with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (xxi) loss of key personnel; (xxii) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (xxiii) public health crises, including pandemics and endemics, and the governmental and private actions taken in response to such events; (xxiv) natural or man-made catastrophes; (xxv) the impact of climate change on Assured Guaranty’s business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (xxvi) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (xxvii) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (xxviii) management’s response to these factors.
18



Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of November 6, 2025, and Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.





















Contact Information

Robert Tucker
Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
212-339-0861
rtucker@agltd.com

Ashweeta Durani
Director, Media Relations
212-408-6042
adurani@agltd.com
19
EX-99.2 3 agl3q25supplement.htm AGL FINANCIAL SUPPLEMENT Document

agllogoa08a.jpg
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
September 30, 2025
Financial Supplement
Table of Contents Page
Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs
This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) with the United States (U.S.) Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarterly periods ended March 31, 2025, June 30, 2025 and September 30, 2025.



Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward Looking Statements

Any forward looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty’s forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include: (i) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates, tariff regimes or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession or stagflation; (ii) geopolitical risk, terrorism and political violence risk, including those arising out of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and intentional or accidental escalation between The North Atlantic Treaty Organization and Russia, conflict in the Middle East, confrontation over Iran’s nuclear program, the polarized political environment in the United States (U.S.), and strategic competition and tensions between the U.S. and China; (iii) cybersecurity risk and the impacts of artificial intelligence, machine learning and other technological advances, including potentially increasing the risks of malicious cyber attacks, dissemination of misinformation, and disruption of markets, including the markets in which the Company participates; (iv) the impact of a U.S. government shutdown and/or the possibility of payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (v) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in the financial condition of banking institutions in the U.S. and the possibility that increasing participation of unregulated financial institutions in these markets results in losses or lower valuations of assets, reduced liquidity and credit and/or contraction of these markets, that adversely affect repayment rates of insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, or investments of Assured Guaranty; (vi) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (vii) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity, or to other negative or unanticipated consequences; (viii) the possibility that Assured Guaranty’s mergers, acquisitions, divestitures and other strategic transactions, including the transactions with Sound Point Capital Management, LP (Sound Point, LP) and certain of its investment management affiliates (together with Sound Point, LP, Sound Point) and/or Assured Healthcare Partners LLC (AHP), do not result in the benefits anticipated and/or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (ix) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which Assured Guaranty holds a minority interest; (x) the impact of market volatility on the fair value of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, contracts accounted for as derivatives, its committed capital securities (CCS), and its consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (xi) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls, difficulties in obtaining additional financing, changes in applicable laws or regulations or other factors will result in credit losses or liquidity claims on obligations of state, territorial and local governments, their related authorities, public corporations and other obligors that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (xii) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including below-investment-grade (BIG) healthcare, United Kingdom (U.K.) regulated utility, European renewable energy, and Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) exposures; (xiii) the impact of Assured Guaranty satisfying its obligations under insurance policies with respect to legacy insured Puerto Rico bonds; (xiv) the possibility that underwriting insurance in new jurisdictions and/or covering new sectors, lines or classes of business does not result in the benefits anticipated or subjects Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (xv) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry, nonpayment insurance and other forms of capital saving or risk syndication available to banks and insurers; (xvi) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (xvii) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (xviii) noncompliance with, and/or changes in, applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, tariffs, or other governmental actions; (xix) the possibility that legal or regulatory decisions or determinations subject Assured Guaranty or obligations that it insures or reinsures to negative consequences; (xx) difficulties or delays with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (xxi) loss of key personnel; (xxii) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (xxiii) public health crises, including pandemics and endemics, and the governmental and private actions taken in response to such events; (xxiv) natural or man-made catastrophes; (xxv) the impact of climate change on Assured Guaranty’s business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (xxvi) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (xxvii) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (xxviii) management’s response to these factors. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,
2025 2024 2025 2024
GAAP (1) Highlights
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 105  $ 171  $ 384  $ 358 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $ 2.18  $ 3.17  $ 7.73  $ 6.44 
Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic shares outstanding 47.4  52.4  48.8  54.1 
Diluted shares outstanding
48.0  53.4  49.4  55.2 
Effective tax rate on net income 15.4  % 19.9  % 18.5  % 19.2  %
GAAP return on equity (ROE) (4)
7.4  % 12.1  % 9.2  % 8.3  %
Non-GAAP Highlights (2)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 124  $ 130  $ 336  $ 323 
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share (2)
$ 2.57  $ 2.42  $ 6.77  $ 5.80 
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding 48.0  53.4  49.4  55.2 
Effective tax rate on adjusted operating income (3)
15.7  % 20.7  % 18.9  % 19.2  %
Adjusted operating ROE (2)(4)
8.6  % 8.9  % 7.8  % 7.2  %
Components of adjusted operating income (loss) (2)
Insurance segment $ 145  $ 162  $ 389  $ 427 
Asset Management segment 19 
Corporate division (24) (29) (73) (101)
Other (6)
—  (7) (8)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 124  $ 130  $ 336  $ 323 
Capital Returned to Common Shareholders
Common share repurchases (7)
$ 118  $ 131  $ 369  $ 412 
Dividends 16  16  53  52 
Total capital returned to common shareholders $ 134  $ 147  $ 422  $ 464 
Insurance Segment
Gross written premiums (GWP) $ 75  $ 61  $ 195  $ 254 
Present value of new business production (PVP) (2)
91  63  194  281 
Gross par written 9,141  7,437  24,539  20,603 
Effect of refundings and terminations on GAAP measures:
Net earned premiums, pre-tax $ $ 14  $ 14  $ 56 
Fair value gains (losses) of credit derivatives, pre-tax —  41  — 
Net income effect 11  44  43 
Net income per diluted share 0.10  0.20  0.88  0.78 
Effect of refundings and terminations on non-GAAP measures:
Operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues(5), pre-tax
$ $ 14  $ 55  $ 56 
Adjusted operating income(5) effect
11  44  43 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share (5)
0.10  0.20  0.88  0.78 
1)    Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).
2)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
3)    Represents the ratio of adjusted operating provision for income taxes to adjusted operating income before income taxes.
4)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns. See page 6 for additional information on calculation.
5)    Condensed consolidated statement of operations items mentioned in this Financial Supplement that are described as operating (i.e., operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues) are non-GAAP measures and represent components of adjusted operating income. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
6)    Represents the effect of consolidating financial guaranty VIEs (FG VIEs) and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs) (FG VIE and CIV consolidation).
7)    Excludes commissions and excise taxes.
1


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

As of
September 30, 2025 December 31, 2024
Amount Per Share Amount Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,658  $ 121.13  $ 5,495  $ 108.80 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (1)
5,750  123.10  5,795  114.75 
Adjusted book value (ABV) (1)
8,471  181.37  8,592  170.12 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 0.05  —  0.01 
ABV (3) (0.06) (6) (0.13)
Shares outstanding at the end of period 46.7  50.5 
Exposure
Financial guaranty net debt service outstanding $ 438,764  $ 415,966 
Financial guaranty net par outstanding:
Investment grade $ 263,497  $ 251,370 
BIG 11,378  10,182 
Total $ 274,875  $ 261,552 
Claims-paying resources (2)
$ 10,138  $ 10,211 

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
2)    See page 19 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.
2


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,
2025 2024 2025 2024
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 94  $ 97  $ 274  $ 300 
Net investment income 94  82  270  247 
Net realized investment gains (losses) (10) —  (32)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 110  19 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (3) (12)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (7) (11)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs 17  21  40  54 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement (23) 55  93  43 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities 11  52 
Other income (loss) 11  12  52  22 
Total revenues 207  269  833  716 
Expenses
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) (benefit) (30) (51) 38  (54)
Interest expense 22  22  67  68 
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs (DAC) 16  14 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 50  47  160  153 
Other operating expenses 44  44  131  124 
Total expenses 92  67  412  305 
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees 115  202  421  411 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 20  18  76  47 
Income (loss) before income taxes 135  220  497  458 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 21  44  92  88 
Net income (loss) 114  176  405  370 
Less: Noncontrolling interests 21  12 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 105  $ 171  $ 384  $ 358 
Earnings per share:
Basic $ 2.20  $ 3.23  $ 7.82  $ 6.57 
Diluted $ 2.18  $ 3.17  $ 7.73  $ 6.44 
3


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(dollars in millions)

As of
September 30, December 31,
2025 2024
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value $ 6,278  $ 6,369 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value 136  147 
Short-term investments, at fair value 1,332  1,221 
Other invested assets 1,012  926 
Total investments 8,758  8,663 
Cash 157  121 
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable 1,583  1,551 
DAC 190  176 
Salvage and subrogation recoverable 453  396 
FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value 145  147 
Assets of CIVs 136  101 
Other assets 679  746 
Total assets $ 12,101  $ 11,901 
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve $ 3,663  $ 3,719 
Loss and LAE reserve 308  268 
Long-term debt 1,702  1,699 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value 159  164 
Other liabilities 532  498 
Total liabilities 6,364  6,348 
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares — 
Retained earnings 5,836  5,878 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (179) (385)
Deferred equity compensation
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL 5,658  5,495 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests 79  58 
Total shareholders’ equity 5,737  5,553 
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 12,101  $ 11,901 
4


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Adjusted Operating Income Reconciliation Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,
2025 2024 2025 2024
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 105  $ 171  $ 384  $ 358 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (10) —  (32)
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2) (2) 11 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS
(3) (12)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves (22) 54  82  42 
Total pre-tax adjustments (23) 49  57  43 
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments (8) (9) (8)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 124  $ 130  $ 336  $ 323 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income $ —  $ (7) $ $ (8)
Components of adjusted operating income:
Segments:
Insurance $ 145  $ 162  $ 389  $ 427 
Asset Management 19 
Total segments 148  166  408  432 
Corporate division (24) (29) (73) (101)
Other —  (7) (8)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 124  $ 130  $ 336  $ 323 
Per diluted share:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 2.18  $ 3.17  $ 7.73  $ 6.44 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (0.22) —  (0.65) 0.03 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 0.02  (0.03) (0.05) 0.21 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 0.17  (0.06) 0.19  (0.21)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves
(0.44) 1.00  1.66  0.76 
Total pre-tax adjustments (0.47) 0.91  1.15  0.79 
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments 0.08  (0.16) (0.19) (0.15)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 2.57  $ 2.42  $ 6.77  $ 5.80 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income $ —  $ (0.12) $ 0.03  $ (0.15)

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
5


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

ROE Reconciliation and Calculation As of
September 30, June 30, December 31, September 30, June 30, December 31,
2025 2025 2024 2024 2024 2023
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,658 $ 5,633 $ 5,495 $ 5,728 $ 5,539 $ 5,713
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 5,750 5,778 5,795 5,875 5,844 5,990
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity 3 1 (5) 3 5
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,
2025 2024 2025 2024
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 105  $ 171  $ 384  $ 358 
Adjusted operating income (loss) 124  130  336  323 
Average shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,646  $ 5,634  $ 5,577  $ 5,721 
Average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 5,764  5,860  5,773  5,933 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (1) — 
GAAP ROE (1)
7.4  % 12.1  % 9.2  % 8.3  %
Adjusted operating ROE (1)
8.6  % 8.9  % 7.8  % 7.2  %

1)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
6


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

As of
September 30, June 30, December 31, September 30, June 30, December 31,
2025 2025 2024 2024 2024 2023
Reconciliation of shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL to ABV:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,658  $ 5,633  $ 5,495  $ 5,728  $ 5,539  $ 5,713 
Less pre-tax reconciling items:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 46  45  49  45  47  34 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 12  13 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (159) (218) (397) (211) (400) (361)
Less taxes 25  46  18  44  37 
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity 5,750  5,778  5,795  5,875  5,844  5,990 
Pre-tax reconciling items:
Less: DAC 190  185  176  172  169  161 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 191  196  202  189  190  199 
Plus: Net deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 3,401  3,409  3,473  3,370  3,424  3,436 
Plus taxes (681) (685) (702) (680) (691) (699)
ABV $ 8,471  $ 8,513  $ 8,592  $ 8,582  $ 8,598  $ 8,765 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (net of tax provision (benefit) of $0, $0, $0, $(1), $1 and $1) $ $ $ —  $ (5) $ $
ABV (net of tax provision (benefit) of $0, $(1), $(2), $(2), $(1) and $0) $ (3) $ (4) $ (6) $ (9) $ (2) $ — 

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
7


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (1 of 4)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2025

Segments Corporate and Other
Insurance Asset Management Corporate
Other (1)
Reconciling Items Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 95  $ —  $ —  $ (1) $ —  $ 94 
Net investment income 94  —  (3) —  94 
Net realized investment gains (losses) —  —  —  —  (10) (10)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
—  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS —  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  —  —  17  —  17 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement (1) —  —  —  (22) (23)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities —  —  —  — 
Other income (loss) —  (3) —  11 
Total revenues 206  13  (23) 207 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
(31) —  —  —  (30)
Interest expense —  —  24  (2) —  22 
Amortization of DAC —  —  —  — 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 44  —  —  —  50 
Other operating expenses 32  —  —  44 
Total expenses 51  38  (1) —  92 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 16  —  (5) —  20 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 26  (2) —  (4) 21 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  — 
Total $ 145  $ $ (24) $ —  $ (19) $ 105 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).
8


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (2 of 4)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2024

Segments Corporate and Other
Insurance Asset Management Corporate
Other (1)
Reconciling Items Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 98  $ —  $ —  $ (1) $ —  $ 97 
Net investment income 82  —  (3) —  82 
Net realized investment gains (losses) —  —  —  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
—  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS —  —  —  —  (3) (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  —  —  (7) —  (7)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  —  —  21  —  21 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement —  —  —  54  55 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities —  —  —  — 
Other income (loss) 11  (2) —  12 
Total revenues 204  51  269 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
(53) —  —  —  (51)
Interest expense —  —  24  (2) —  22 
Amortization of DAC —  —  —  — 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 40  —  —  —  47 
Other operating expenses 36  —  —  44 
Total expenses 28  37  (2) 67 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 28  —  (14) —  18 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 42  —  (4) (2) 44 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  — 
Total $ 162  $ $ (29) $ (7) $ 41  $ 171 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).
9


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (3 of 4)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025

Segments Corporate and Other
Insurance Asset Management Corporate
Other (1)
Reconciling Items Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 276  $ —  $ —  $ (2) $ —  $ 274 
Net investment income 269  —  10  (9) —  270 
Net realized investment gains (losses) —  —  —  —  (32) (32)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
49  —  —  —  61  110 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS —  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  —  —  40  —  40 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement 11  —  —  —  82  93 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities 11  —  —  —  —  11 
Other income (loss) 28  29  (6) —  52 
Total revenues 644  29  11  29  120  833 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit)(3)
(27) —  —  63  38 
Interest expense —  —  74  (7) —  67 
Amortization of DAC 16  —  —  —  —  16 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 140  —  20  —  —  160 
Other operating expenses 91  17  23  —  —  131 
Total expenses 220  17  117  (5) 63  412 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 48  12  28  (12) —  76 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 83  (5) —  92 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  21  —  21 
Total $ 389  $ 19  $ (73) $ $ 48  $ 384 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).
10


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (4 of 4)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Segments Corporate and Other
Insurance Asset Management Corporate
Other (1)
Reconciling Items Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 302  $ —  $ —  $ (2) $ —  $ 300 
Net investment income 246  —  10  (9) —  247 
Net realized investment gains (losses) —  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
—  —  —  11  19 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS —  —  —  —  (12) (12)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  —  —  (11) —  (11)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  —  —  54  —  54 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement —  —  —  42  43 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities 52  —  —  —  —  52 
Other income (loss) 13  10  (4) —  22 
Total revenues 622  10  13  28  43  716 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit)(3)
(49) —  —  (5) —  (54)
Interest expense —  —  75  (7) —  68 
Amortization of DAC 14  —  —  —  —  14 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 128  —  25  —  —  153 
Other operating expenses 90  28  —  —  124 
Total expenses 183  128  (12) —  305 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 83  —  (38) —  47 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 95  (14) (2) 88 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  12  —  12 
Total $ 427  $ $ (101) $ (8) $ 35  $ 358 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).
11


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash
As of September 30, 2025
(dollars in millions)

Amortized Cost Allowance for Credit Losses Pre-Tax Book Yield After-Tax Book Yield Fair Value
Annualized Investment Income (1)
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale:
Obligations of states and political subdivisions (3)
$ 1,808  $ (13) 3.95  % 3.40  % $ 1,755  $ 71 
U.S. government and agencies 51  —  3.48  2.91  48 
Corporate securities 2,977  (7) 4.37  3.65  2,923  130 
Mortgage-backed securities:
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) (2)(3)
670  (24) 5.18  4.14  603  35 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities 184  —  4.32  3.43  185 
Asset-backed securities (ABS)
Collateralized loan obligation (CLOs) 506  (10) 10.97  8.67  472  56 
Other ABS (3)
196  —  6.31  4.99  199  12 
Non-U.S. government securities 100  —  3.06  3.03  93 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale 6,492  (54) 4.88  4.04  6,278  317 
Short-term investments 1,332  —  3.95  3.19  1,332  52 
Cash (4)
157  —  —  —  157  — 
Total $ 7,981  $ (54) 4.72  % 3.90  % $ 7,767  $ 369 
Fixed maturity securities, trading (6)
$ 136 
Ratings (5):
Fair Value % of Portfolio
U.S. government and agencies $ 48  0.8  %
AAA/Aaa 829  13.2 
AA/Aa 2,090  33.3 
A/A 1,618  25.8 
BBB 1,139  18.1 
BIG
139  2.2 
Not rated (7)
415  6.6 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 6,278  100.0  %
Duration of available-for-sale fixed maturity securities and short-term investments (in years): 4.1

1)    Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.
2)    Includes fair value of $133 million in subprime RMBS, of which 92% were rated BIG.
3)    Includes securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies.
4)    Cash is not included in the yield calculation.
5)    Ratings generally reflect the lower of Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. or Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC classifications except for purchased securities that the Company has insured, and for which it had expected losses to be paid (Loss Mitigation Securities) and certain other securities, which use internal ratings classifications. Loss Mitigation Securities and other securities total $387 million in par with carrying value of $191 million and are primarily included in the BIG category.
6)    Primarily includes contingent value instruments received in connection with the 2022 resolution of the Company’s exposure to insured Puerto Rico credits experiencing payment default other than PREPA. These securities are not rated.
7)    Primarily includes CLO equity tranches and liquidity bonds issued by a U.K. regulated utility.
12


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs
GAAP (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of September 30, 2025

Insurance Related Subsidiaries (1)
Holding Companies (2)
Other (3)
AGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 6,260  $ 18  $ —  $ 6,278 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading 136  —  —  136 
Total fixed-maturity securities 6,396  18  —  6,414 
Short-term investments 940  391  1,332 
Cash 91  61  157 
Total short-term investments and cash 1,031  396  62  1,489 
Other invested assets
Equity method investments:
Ownership interest in Sound Point —  414  —  414 
Funds:
CLOs 94  —  —  94 
Private healthcare investing 146  37  —  183 
Asset-based/specialty finance 157  —  (45) 112 
Private minority stakes in alternative asset managers —  80  —  80 
Other 65  50  —  115 
Total funds 462  167  (45) 584 
Other —  — 
Total equity method investments 462  584  (45) 1,001 
Other 11  —  —  11 
Other invested assets 473  584  (45) 1,012 
Total investment portfolio and cash (4)
$ 7,900  $ 998  $ 17  $ 8,915 
CIVs
Assets of CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 136  $ 136 
Liabilities of CIVs —  —  —  — 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests —  —  (79) (79)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 57  $ 57 

1)    Includes the Company’s U.S., Bermuda, U.K. and French insurance subsidiaries and AG Asset Strategies LLC (AGAS) (separate company, excluding the effect of consolidating CIVs).
2)    Includes the Company’s holding companies: AGL, Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. (AGUS) and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH).
3)    Includes the Company’s non-insurance subsidiaries, non-U.S. holding companies, CIVs and related intercompany eliminations.
4)    The alternative investments, which do not include the Company’s ownership interest in Sound Point, had an inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return (IRR) of 13%, a year-to-date return of 9% and a quarter-to-date return of 3%. Returns are calculated using the cash basis IRR method and are annualized, other than quarter-to-date returns.
13


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs
GAAP (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of December 31, 2024

Insurance Related Subsidiaries (1)
Holding Companies (2)
Other (3)
AGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 6,351  $ 18  $ —  $ 6,369 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading 147  —  —  147 
Total fixed-maturity securities 6,498  18  —  6,516 
Short-term investments 810  411  —  1,221 
Cash 78  35  121 
Total short-term investments and cash 888  419  35  1,342 
Other invested assets
Equity method investments:
Ownership interest in Sound Point —  418  —  418 
Funds:
CLOs 100  —  —  100 
Private healthcare investing 153  —  —  153 
Asset-based/specialty finance 142  —  (33) 109 
Private minority stakes in alternative asset managers —  69  —  69 
Other 13  49  —  62 
Total funds 408  118  (33) 493 
Other —  — 
Total equity method investments 408  539  (33) 914 
Other —  12 
Other invested assets 417  542  (33) 926 
Total investment portfolio and cash(4)
$ 7,803  $ 979  $ $ 8,784 
CIVs
Assets of CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 101  $ 101 
Liabilities of CIVs —  —  —  — 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests —  —  (58) (58)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 43  $ 43 

1)    Includes the Company’s U.S., Bermuda, U.K. and French insurance subsidiaries and AGAS (separate company, excluding the effect of consolidating CIVs).
2)    Includes the Company’s holding companies: AGL, AGUS, AGMH.
3)    Includes the Company’s non-insurance subsidiaries, non-U.S. holding companies and CIVs and related intercompany eliminations.
4)    The alternative investments,which do not include the Company’s ownership interest in Sound Point, had an inception-to-date annualized IRR of 13%, a year-to-date return of 16% and a quarter-to-date return of 4%. Returns are calculated using the cash basis IRR method and are annualized, other than quarter-to-date returns.

14


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs by Segment (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)
Three Months Ended September 30, 2025
Insurance Asset Management Corporate Other Total
Net investment income
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale (1)
$ 80  $ —  $ —  $ (1) $ 79 
Short-term investments 11  —  —  14 
Other —  —  (2)
Total net investment income $ 94  $ —  $ $ (3) $ 94 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities $ $ —  $ —  $ —  $
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
Ownership interest in Sound Point $ —  $ —  $ —  $ —  $ — 
Funds:
CLOs —  —  — 
Private healthcare investing —  —  — 
Asset-based/specialty finance —  —  (5)
Private minority stakes in alternative asset managers —  —  — 
Other —  — 
Total funds (2)
16  —  (5) 20 
Other —  —  —  —  — 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees $ 16  $ —  $ $ (5) $ 20 
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 17  $ 17 
Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  (9) (9)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ $

Three Months Ended September 30, 2024
Insurance Asset Management Corporate Other Total
Net investment income
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 62  $ —  $ —  $ (1) $ 61 
Short-term investments 18  —  —  21 
Other —  —  (2) — 
Total net investment income $ 82  $ —  $ $ (3) $ 82 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities $ $ —  $ —  $ —  $
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
Ownership interest in Sound Point $ —  $ $ —  $ —  $
Funds:
CLOs 12  —  —  (8)
Private healthcare investing —  —  — 
Asset-based/specialty finance —  —  (6)
Private minority stakes in alternative asset managers —  —  — 
Other (4) —  —  —  (4)
Total funds (2)
28  —  —  (14) 14 
Other —  —  —  —  — 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees $ 28  $ $ —  $ (14) $ 18 
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 21  $ 21 
Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  (5) (5)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 16  $ 16 

1)    Includes CLO equity tranches distributed from a CLO fund in the fourth quarter of 2024.
2)    Relates to funds managed by Sound Point and AHP, and certain other managers. Investments in funds are reported on a one-quarter lag.

15


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs by Segment (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025
Insurance Asset Management Corporate Other Total
Net investment income
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale (1)
$ 230  $ —  $ —  $ (2) $ 228 
Short-term investments 29  —  10  —  39 
Other 10  —  —  (7)
Total net investment income $ 269  $ —  $ 10  $ (9) $ 270 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities $ 11  $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 11 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
Ownership interest in Sound Point $ —  $ 12  $ —  $ —  $ 12 
Funds:
CLOs —  —  — 
Private healthcare investing 18  —  —  —  18 
Asset-based/specialty finance 21  —  —  (12)
Private minority stakes in alternative asset managers —  —  20  —  20 
Other —  —  11 
Total funds (2)
48  —  28  (12) 64 
Other —  —  —  —  — 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees $ 48  $ 12  $ 28  $ (12) $ 76 
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 40  $ 40 
Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  (21) (21)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 19  $ 19 
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024
Insurance Asset Management Corporate Other Total
Net investment income
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 183  $ —  $ —  $ (2) $ 181 
Short-term investments 56  —  10  —  66 
Other —  —  (7) — 
Total net investment income $ 246  $ —  $ 10  $ (9) $ 247 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities $ 52  $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 52 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
Ownership interest in Sound Point $ —  $ $ —  $ —  $
Funds:
CLOs 38  —  —  (26) 12 
Private healthcare investing —  —  — 
Asset-based/specialty finance 18  —  —  (12)
Private minority stakes in alternative asset managers 17  —  —  —  17 
Other —  —  — 
Total funds (2)
83  —  —  (38) 45 
Other —  (3) —  —  (3)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees $ 83  $ $ —  $ (38) $ 47 
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 54  $ 54 
Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  (12) (12)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 42  $ 42 

1)    Includes CLO equity tranches distributed from a CLO fund in the fourth quarter of 2024.
2)    Relates to funds managed by Sound Point and AHP, and certain other managers. Investments in funds are generally reported on a one-quarter lag.
16
























Insurance Segment
17


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Insurance Segment Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,
2025 2024 2025 2024
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues $ 99  $ 101  $ 325  $ 310 
Net investment income 94  82  269  246 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities 11  52 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss) 12  39  14 
Total segment revenues 206  204  644  622 
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit) (31) (53) (27) (49)
Amortization of DAC 16  14 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 44  40  140  128 
Other operating expenses 32  36  91  90 
Total segment expenses 51  28  220  183 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 16  28  48  83 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes 171  204  472  522 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 26  42  83  95 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) $ 145  $ 162  $ 389  $ 427 
18


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Claims-Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)

As of September 30, 2025
AG
AG Re (2)
Eliminations (3)
Total
Claims-paying resources
Policyholders’ surplus $ 3,268  $ 772  $ 56  $ 4,096 
Contingency reserve 1,481  —  —  1,481 
Qualified statutory capital 4,749  772  56  5,577 
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income (1)
2,431  627  (56) 3,002 
Loss and LAE reserves (1)(4)
—  38  —  38 
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves 7,180  1,437  —  8,617 
Present value of installment premium (1)
844  277  —  1,121 
CCS 400  —  —  400 
Total claims-paying resources $ 8,424  $ 1,714  $ —  $ 10,138 
Statutory net exposure (1)(5)
$ 208,846  $ 69,476  $ (552) $ 277,770 
Net debt service outstanding (1)(5)
$ 336,893  $ 105,493  $ (960) $ 441,426 
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital 44:1 90:1 50:1
Capital ratio (6)
71:1 137:1 79:1
Financial resources ratio (7)
40:1 62:1 44:1
Statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources 25:1 41:1 27:1
Separate company statutory basis:
Admitted assets $ 6,953  $ 1,386 
Total liabilities 3,685  614 
Loss and LAE reserves (recoverable) (154) 38 
Paid in capital stock 197  826 

1)    The numbers shown for AG nclude its U.K. and French insurance subsidiaries.
2)    Except for contingency reserves, Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG Re) numbers represent the Company’s estimate of AG Re and Assured Guaranty Re Overseas Ltd. on a U.S. statutory basis.
3)    Eliminations consist of intercompany deferred ceding commissions. Net exposure and net debt service outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.
4)    Loss and LAE reserves exclude adjustments to claims-paying resources for AG because the balance was in a net recoverable position of $144 million.
5)    Net exposure and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Includes $4,177 million of specialty business.
6)    The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
7)    The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims-paying resources.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding.
19


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP

Three Months Ended Three Months Ended
September 30, 2025 September 30, 2024
Public Finance Structured Finance Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Non - U.S.
U.S.
Non - U.S. Total U.S. Non - U.S. U.S. Non - U.S. Total
Total GWP $ 77  $ (13) $ $ $ 75  $ 35  $ $ $ 15  $ 61 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
32  (13) 29  (1) 15  18 
Upfront GWP 45  —  —  46  33  —  43 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
33  (1) 45  14  20 
Total PVP $ 78  $ $ —  $ $ 91  $ 34  $ 10  $ $ 14  $ 63 
Gross par written $ 7,851  $ 243  $ 42  $ 1,005  $ 9,141  $ 5,387  $ 665  $ 551  $ 834  $ 7,437 

Nine Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2025 September 30, 2024
Public Finance Structured Finance Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Non - U.S.
U.S.
Non - U.S. Total U.S. Non - U.S. U.S. Non - U.S. Total
Total GWP $ 175  $ (6) $ $ 18  $ 195  $ 182  $ 34  $ 19  $ 19  $ 254 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
64  (6) 18  83  99  14  16  19  148 
Upfront GWP 111  —  —  112  83  20  —  106 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
41  19  20  82  110  24  21  20  175 
Total PVP $ 152  $ 19  $ $ 20  $ 194  $ 193  $ 44  $ 24  $ 20  $ 281 
Gross par written $ 20,981  $ 715  $ 168  $ 2,675  $ 24,539  $ 15,339  $ 2,237  $ 1,245  $ 1,782  $ 20,603 

1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, and GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
20


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Gross Par Written
(dollars in millions)

Gross Par Written by Asset Type

Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30,
2025 2024 2025 2024
Sector:
U.S. public finance:
General obligation $ 2,529  $ 1,916  $ 7,595  $ 5,735 
Tax backed 1,543  1,104  4,527  2,560 
Healthcare 1,479  436  2,947  774 
Municipal utilities 775  1,183  2,242  2,012 
Transportation 1,103  459  2,132  3,704 
Higher education 422  127  1,367  372 
Housing revenue —  158  140  158 
Other public finance —  31  24 
Total U.S. public finance 7,851  5,387  20,981  15,339 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Regulated utilities 243  285  383  1,803 
Infrastructure finance —  380  228  434 
Sovereign and sub-sovereign —  —  104  — 
Total non-U.S. public finance 243  665  715  2,237 
Total public finance 8,094  6,052  21,696  17,576 
U.S. structured finance:
Subscription finance facilities 21  101  213 
Pooled corporate obligations 34  12  53  218 
Insurance securitizations —  200  —  450 
Structured credit —  275  —  285 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities —  25  —  25 
Other structured finance 18  14  54 
Total U.S. structured finance 42  551  168  1,245 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Subscription finance facilities 615  162  2,138  802 
Pooled corporate obligations 94  50  241  358 
Other structured finance 296  622  296  622 
Total non-U.S. structured finance 1,005  834  2,675  1,782 
Total structured finance 1,047  1,385  2,843  3,027 
Total gross par written $ 9,141  $ 7,437  $ 24,539  $ 20,603 

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of sectors.
21


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production by Quarter
(dollars in millions)

Nine Months
1Q-24 2Q-24 3Q-24 4Q-24 1Q-25 2Q-25 3Q-25 2025 2024
PVP:
Public finance - U.S. $ 43  $ 116  $ 34  $ 77  $ 25  $ 49  $ 78  $ 152  $ 193 
Public finance - non-U.S. 33  10  23  19  44 
Structured finance - U.S. 15  —  24 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 14  20  20  20 
Total PVP (1)
$ 63  $ 155  $ 63  $ 121  $ 39  $ 64  $ 91  $ 194  $ 281 
Reconciliation of GWP to PVP:
Total GWP $ 61  $ 132  $ 61  $ 186  $ 35  $ 85  $ 75  $ 195  $ 254 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments 28  102  18  152  11  43  29  83  148 
Upfront GWP 33  30  43  34  24  42  46  112  106 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (2)
30  125  20  87  15  22  45  82  175 
Total PVP $ 63  $ 155  $ 63  $ 121  $ 39  $ 64  $ 91  $ 194  $ 281 
Gross par written:
Public finance - U.S. $ 2,909  $ 7,043  $ 5,387  $ 8,419  $ 4,269  $ 8,861  $ 7,851  $ 20,981  $ 15,339 
Public finance - non-U.S. —  1,572  665  436  197  275  243  715  2,237 
Structured finance - U.S. 480  214  551  231  121  42  168  1,245 
Structured finance - non-U.S. (1)
354  594  834  2,140  415  1,255  1,005  2,675  1,782 
Total $ 3,743  $ 9,423  $ 7,437  $ 11,226  $ 5,002  $ 10,396  $ 9,141  $ 24,539  $ 20,603 

1)    PVP and gross par written include the present value of future premiums and total exposure, respectively, associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.
2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. Includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other business written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under ASC 460, Guarantees.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement. Please refer to the Glossary for a description of sectors.
22


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization(1) and Estimated Future Financial Guaranty Net Premium
and Credit Derivative Revenues
(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance (2)
Estimated Net Debt Service Amortization Estimated Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding Earnings of Deferred Premium Revenue Accretion of Discount Effect of FG VIE Consolidation on Earnings of Deferred Premium Revenue and Accretion of Discount
Future Credit Derivative Revenues (3)
2025 (as of September 30) $ 438,764 
2025 Q4 $ 6,854  431,910  $ 78  $ 10  $ $
2026 24,710  407,200  294  37 
2027 21,881  385,319  272  35 
2028 21,516  363,803  258  33 
2029 22,432  341,371  240  31 
2025-2029 97,393  341,371  1,142  146  12  35 
2030-2034 104,295  237,076  954  130  26 
2035-2039 80,937  156,139  627  96  19 
2040-2044 56,960  99,179  414  63  —  12 
2045-2049 44,994  54,185  275  36  — 
2050-2054 31,169  23,016  142  16  —  — 
After 2054 23,016  —  104  12  —  — 
Total $ 438,764  $ 3,658  $ 499  $ 27  $ 99 

Reconciliation of Net Deferred Premium Revenue to Net Unearned Premium Reserve (4)

GAAP Effect of FG VIE Consolidation on Net Unearned Premium Reserve
Net deferred premium revenue:
Financial guaranty $ 3,658  $ 26 
Specialty — 
Net deferred premium revenue 3,663  26 
Contra-paid (23) (3)
Net unearned premium reserve $ 3,640  $ 23 

1)    Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of September 30, 2025. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations, terminations and because of management’s assumptions on structured finance amortization.
2)    See also page 26, for ‘‘Net Expected Loss to be Expensed.’’
3)    Represents expected future premiums on insured credit derivatives.
4)    Unearned premium reserve represents deferred premium revenue less claim payments made (net of recoveries received) that have been recognized in the statement of operations (contra-paid).
23


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (Recovered)
(dollars in millions)

Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (Recovered) (1) for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2025

Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of June 30, 2025 Net Economic Loss Development (Benefit) During 3Q-25 Net (Paid) Recovered Losses During 3Q-25 Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of September 30, 2025
Public Finance:
U.S. public finance $ 53  $ (2) $ (81) $ (30)
Non-U.S. public finance 139  (6) —  133 
Public Finance 192  (8) (81) 103 
Structured Finance:
U.S. RMBS (35) (31) (59)
Other structured finance 29  30  60 
Structured Finance (6) (30) 37 
Total $ 186  $ (38) $ (44) $ 104 

Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (Recovered) (1) for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025

Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of December 31, 2024 Net Economic Loss Development (Benefit) During 2025 Net (Paid) Recovered Losses During 2025 Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of September 30, 2025
Public Finance:
U.S. public finance $ 18  $ 51  $ (99) $ (30)
Non-U.S. public finance 98  36  (1) 133 
Public Finance 116  87  (100) 103 
Structured Finance:
U.S. RMBS (43) (40) 24  (59)
Other structured finance 33  (64) 91  60 
Structured Finance (10) (104) 115 
Total $ 106  $ (17) $ 15  $ 104 

1)    Includes net expected loss to be paid (recovered), economic loss development (benefit) and (paid) recovered losses for all contracts (i.e., those accounted for as insurance, credit derivatives and FG VIEs).

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of sectors.
24


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Loss Measures
(dollars in millions)

As of September 30, 2025 Three Months Ended September 30, 2025
 Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG Transactions Net Economic Loss Development (Benefit)
GAAP Loss and LAE (1)
Loss and LAE included in Adjusted Operating Income (2)
Insurance Segment
 Loss and
LAE (3)
Public finance:
U.S. public finance $ 3,596  $ (2) $ (5) $ (5) $ (5)
Non-U.S. public finance 6,929  (6) (2) (2) (2)
Public finance 10,525  (8) (7) (7) (7)
Structured finance:
U.S. RMBS 780  (31) (25) (25) (26)
Other structured finance 73 
Structured finance 853  (30) (23) (23) (24)
Total $ 11,378  $ (38) $ (30) $ (30) $ (31)

As of September 30, 2025 Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025
Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG Transactions Net Economic Loss Development (Benefit)
GAAP Loss and LAE (1)
Loss and LAE included in Adjusted Operating Income (2)
Insurance Segment
 Loss and
LAE (3)
Public finance:
U.S. public finance $ 3,596  $ 51  $ 46  $ 46  $ 46 
Non-U.S. public finance 6,929  36  18  18  18 
Public finance 10,525  87  64  64  64 
Structured finance:
U.S. RMBS 780  (40) (25) (25) (27)
Other structured finance 73  (64) (1) (64) (64)
Structured finance 853  (104) (26) (89) (91)
Total $ 11,378  $ (17) $ 38  $ (25) $ (27)

1)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts.
2)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts and credit derivatives.
3)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts, credit derivatives, and consolidated FG VIEs.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
25


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Net Expected Loss to be Expensed (1)
As of September 30, 2025
(dollars in millions)

GAAP
2025 Q4 $
2026 14 
2027 17 
2028 20 
2029 18 
2025-2029 72 
2030-2034 81 
2035-2039 37 
2040-2044 19 
2045-2049 25 
2050-2054 20 
After 2054
Total expected present value of net expected loss to be expensed (2)
257 
Future expected accretion 27 
Total expected future loss and LAE $ 284 

1)    The present value of net expected loss to be paid is discounted using risk free rates for U.S. and non-U.S. currencies ranging from 1.92% to 5.70%.
2)    Excludes $20 million related to FG VIEs, which are eliminated in consolidation.
26


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by Asset Type

As of September 30, 2025 As of December 31, 2024
U.S. public finance:
General obligation $ 80,656  $ 78,162 
Tax backed 35,205  33,288 
Municipal utilities 31,192  30,036 
Transportation 28,559  26,958 
Healthcare 16,666  14,007 
Infrastructure finance 8,540  8,663 
Higher education 8,533  7,381 
Housing revenue 1,356  1,272 
Renewable energy 164  164 
Other public finance 1,220  1,244 
Total U.S. public finance 212,091  201,175 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Regulated utilities 24,252  22,361 
Infrastructure finance 15,427  14,961 
Sovereign and sub-sovereign 8,852  9,181 
Renewable energy 1,690  1,596 
Pooled infrastructure 1,106  1,101 
Total non-U.S. public finance 51,327  49,200 
Total public finance 263,418  250,375 
U.S. structured finance:
Insurance reserve financings and securitizations 4,421  4,495 
RMBS 1,400  1,507 
Pooled corporate obligations 632  607 
Financial products 411  492 
Subscription finance facilities 211  185 
Other structured finance 1,027  1,167 
Total U.S. structured finance 8,102  8,453 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Subscription finance facilities 1,574  1,385 
Pooled corporate obligations 594  468 
RMBS 221  221 
Other structured finance 966  650 
Total non-U.S. structured finance 3,355  2,724 
Total structured finance 11,457  11,177 
Total net par outstanding $ 274,875  $ 261,552 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and various sectors.
27


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
As of September 30, 2025
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

Public Finance - U.S.      Public Finance - Non-U.S. Structured Finance - U.S. Structured Finance - Non-U.S. Total
Ratings: Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding %
AAA $ 22  —  % $ 1,873  3.7  % $ 474  5.8  % $ 515  15.4  % $ 2,884  1.0  %
AA 17,346  8.2  2,522  4.9  5,303  65.5  134  4.0  25,305  9.3 
A 121,320  57.2  12,422  24.2  766  9.5  2,698  80.4  137,206  49.9 
BBB 69,807  32.9  27,581  53.7  706  8.7  0.2  98,102  35.7 
BIG 3,596  1.7  6,929  13.5  853  10.5  —  —  11,378  4.1 
Net Par Outstanding (1)
$ 212,091  100.0  % $ 51,327  100.0  % $ 8,102  100.0  % $ 3,355  100.0  % $ 274,875  100.0  %

1)    As of September 30, 2025, the Company excluded $801 million of net par outstanding attributable to Loss Mitigation Securities.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.
28


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
As of September 30, 2025
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Net Par Outstanding % of Total
U.S.:
U.S. public finance:
California $ 35,769  13.0  %
Texas 27,417  10.0 
New York 21,117  7.7 
Pennsylvania 18,994  6.9 
Illinois 13,126  4.8 
Florida 13,085  4.8 
New Jersey 8,256  3.0 
Louisiana 5,377  2.0 
Michigan 5,094  1.9 
Colorado 4,603  1.6 
Other 59,253  21.5 
Total U.S. public finance 212,091  77.2 
U.S. structured finance (multiple states) 8,102  2.9 
Total U.S. 220,193  80.1 
Non-U.S.:
United Kingdom 43,044  15.7 
Australia 1,879  0.7 
Spain 1,873  0.7 
France 1,677  0.6 
Canada 1,211  0.4 
Other 4,998  1.8 
Total non-U.S. 54,682  19.9 
Total net par outstanding $ 274,875  100.0  %

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding.
29


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Specialty Business
(dollars in millions)

As of September 30, 2025 As of December 31, 2024
Gross Exposure (1)
Net Exposure (1)
Gross Exposure (1)
Net Exposure (1)
Diversified real estate $ 2,071  $ 2,071  $ 2,004  $ 2,004 
Insurance reserve financings and securitizations 1,502  1,179  1,449  1,126 
Pooled corporate obligations 840  840  868  868 
Aircraft residual value insurance 147  87  147  87 

1)    All exposures are rated investment-grade, except gross and net exposure of $5 million of aircraft residual value insurance as of both September 30, 2025 and December 31, 2024.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of sectors.
30


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Public Finance Non-U.S. Public Finance Total Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding U.S. RMBS U.S. and Non-U.S. Pooled Corporate Other Structured Finance Total Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding
2025 (as of September 30) $ 263,418  $ 11,457 
2025 Q4 $ 2,362  $ 1,075  $ 3,437  259,981  $ 52  $ 16  $ 173  $ 241  11,216 
2026 8,972  2,047  11,019  248,962  191  312  1,592  2,095  9,121 
2027 8,542  1,000  9,542  239,420  201  462  717  1,380  7,741 
2028 8,893  1,105  9,998  229,422  122  237  667  1,026  6,715 
2029 9,055  2,107  11,162  218,260  148  103  1,010  1,261  5,454 
2025-2029 37,824  7,334  45,158  218,260  714  1,130  4,159  6,003  5,454 
2030-2034 46,405  12,636  59,041  159,219  371  73  2,729  3,173  2,281 
2035-2039 40,430  9,464  49,894  109,325  308  23  652  983  1,298 
2040-2044 33,182  2,236  35,418  73,907  —  —  726  726  572 
2045-2049 27,484  3,663  31,147  42,760  —  565  572  — 
2050-2054 19,638  4,572  24,210  18,550  —  —  —  —  — 
After 2054 7,128  11,422  18,550  —  —  —  —  —  — 
Total $ 212,091  $ 51,327  $ 263,418  $ 1,400  $ 1,226  $ 8,831  $ 11,457 


Net par outstanding (end of period)
1Q-24 2Q-24 3Q-24 4Q-24 1Q-25 2Q-25 3Q-25
Public finance - U.S. $ 189,895  $ 194,593  $ 195,837  $ 201,175  $ 202,417  $ 208,716  $ 212,091 
Public finance - non-U.S. 48,237  49,583  52,083  49,200  50,114  53,132  51,327 
Structured finance - U.S. 8,643  8,759  8,717  8,453  8,373  8,166  8,102 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 1,369  1,461  1,559  2,724  2,687  2,764  3,355 
Net par outstanding $ 248,144  $ 254,396  $ 258,196  $ 261,552  $ 263,591  $ 272,778  $ 274,875 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
31


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Puerto Rico Profile
As of September 30, 2025
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding
  AG AG Re Total Net Par Outstanding Gross Par Outstanding
Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposure
PREPA $ 322  $ 142  $ 464  $ 470 
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposure
Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority $ —  $ 13  $ 13  $ 13 
Non-Defaulting Puerto Rico Exposure
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency (MFA) $ 64  $ 11  $ 75  $ 81 
University of Puerto Rico — 
Total non-defaulting $ 65  $ 11  $ 76  $ 82 


PREPA Amortization Schedule
Scheduled Net Par Amortization Scheduled Net Debt Service Amortization
2025 (October 1 - December 31) $ —  $
2026 (January 1 - March 31) — 
2026 (April 1 - June 30) — 
2026 (July 1 - September 30) 106  114 
2026 (October 1 - December 31) — 
Subtotal 2026 106  126 
2027 106  122 
2028 68  80 
2029 39  47 
2030-2034 141  158 
2035-2037
Total $ 464  $ 539 
32


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
As of September 30, 2025
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings
Net Par Outstanding % of Total Average Initial Credit Enhancement Average Current Credit Enhancement
Ratings:
AAA $ 590  48.1  % 40.3  % 47.1  %
AA 321  26.2  59.6  39.1 
A 162  13.2  40.2  44.1 
BBB 153  12.5  36.1  36.9 
Total exposures $ 1,226  100.0  % 44.8  % 43.4  %


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class
Net Par Outstanding % of Total Average Initial Credit Enhancement Average Current Credit Enhancement Number of Transactions
Asset class:
Trust preferred
Banks and insurance $ 185  15.1  % 42.3  % 66.8  % 7
U.S. mortgage and real estate investment trusts 49  4.0  48.4  68.1  3
CLOs 992  80.9  45.1  37.8  11
Total exposures $ 1,226  100.0  % 44.8  % 43.4  % 21

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of internal ratings, performance indicators and sectors.
33


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type

As of
September 30, December 31,
2025 2024
U.S. public finance:
Transportation $ 1,232  $ 107 
Healthcare 919  1,200 
Municipal utilities 746  813 
General obligation 270  286 
Tax backed 97  123 
Higher education 85  88 
Housing revenue 63  67 
Infrastructure finance 31  45 
Other public finance 153  159 
Total U.S. public finance 3,596  2,888 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Regulated utilities 5,165  4,744 
Renewable energy 930  851 
Infrastructure finance 834  765 
Sovereign and sub-sovereign —  38 
Total non-U.S. public finance 6,929  6,398 
Total public finance 10,525  9,286 
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS 780  819 
Insurance reserve financings and securitizations 40  40 
Other structured finance 33  37 
Total U.S. structured finance 853  896 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Total non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total structured finance 853  896 
Total BIG net par outstanding $ 11,378  $ 10,182 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.
34


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by BIG Surveillance Category (1)

As of
September 30, December 31,
2025 2024
BIG Category 1
U.S. public finance $ 2,584  $ 2,119 
Non-U.S. public finance 4,494  5,879 
U.S. structured finance 173  104 
Non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total BIG Category 1 7,251  8,102 
BIG Category 2
U.S. public finance 416  137 
Non-U.S. public finance 2,435  519 
U.S. structured finance 46  50 
Non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total BIG Category 2 2,897  706 
BIG Category 3
U.S. public finance 596  632 
Non-U.S. public finance —  — 
U.S. structured finance 634  742 
Non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total BIG Category 3 1,230  1,374 
BIG Total $ 11,378  $ 10,182 

1)    The Company assigns each BIG exposure to one of the three BIG surveillance categories below, which generally represent the following: BIG 1: Below-investment-grade exposures for which there are possible future losses, on a present value basis, and the aggregate probability weighting of scenarios with future losses is less than 50%, regardless of whether the Company has or has not paid a claim for which it expects to be reimbursed within one year (liquidity claim). BIG 2: Below-investment-grade exposures for which there are possible future losses, on a present value basis, and the aggregate probability weighting of scenarios with future losses is 50% or more, but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims) have yet been paid. BIG 3: Below-investment-grade exposures for which future losses are expected, on a present value basis, and the aggregate probability weighting of scenarios with future losses is 50% or more, and for which claims, other than liquidity claims have been paid.

For purposes of classifying BIG exposures into one of the three BIG categories, the Company calculates the present value of projected claim payments and recoveries using the pre-tax book yield of the investment portfolio as the applicable discount rate.

For financial statement measurement purposes, the Company uses risk-free rates (as determined each quarter) for discounting, rather than pre-tax book yield of the investment portfolio, to calculate the expected losses to be paid. Expected losses to be paid (recovered) are based on probability weighted scenarios and serve as the basis for the loss reserves reported in accordance with U.S. GAAP.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.
35


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3)
As of September 30, 2025
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance and Structured Finance BIG Exposures with Revenue Sources Greater Than $50 Million

Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
60+ Day Delinquencies
Name or description
U.S. public finance:
Brightline Trains Florida LLC $ 1,134  BB+
Westchester Medical Center 540  BB+
PREPA 464  CCC
Palomar Health 374  CCC
Jackson Water & Sewer System, Mississippi 142  BB
New Jersey City University 84  BB
Stockton City, California 82  B
MFA 75  B
Harrisburg Parking System, Pennsylvania 73  B
San Jacinto River Authority (GRP Project), Texas 56  BB+
Indiana University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania 50  CCC
Total U.S. public finance 3,074 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Southern Water Services Limited 2,820  BB
Thames Water Utilities Finance PLC 2,345  B
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) Plc 554  B+
Q Energy - Phase II - Pride Investments, S.A. 283  BB+
Hypersol Solar Inversiones, S.A.U. 276  BB+
Q Energy - Phase III - FSL Issuer, S.A.U. 259  B+
Dartford & Gravesham NHS Trust The Hospital Company (Dartford) Plc 114  BB+
Q Energy - Phase IV - Anselma Issuer, S.A. 112  BB+
University of Essex, United Kingdom 90  BB+
Road Management Services PLC (A13 Highway) 76  B+
Total non-U.S. public finance 6,929 
Total public finance 10,003 
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS:
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-Hl1 95  CCC 18.2%
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W4 93  CCC 7.6%
Option One 2007-FXD2 91  BB 15.5%
Total RMBS-U.S. structured finance 279 
Total non-U.S. structured finance — 
Total structured finance 279 
Total $ 10,282 

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.
36


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 3)
As of September 30, 2025
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name: Net Par Outstanding Internal
Rating
JFK New Terminal One, New York $ 2,209  BBB-
Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of) 1,864  BBB
New Jersey (State of) 1,856  BBB
Metro Washington Airports Authority (Dulles Toll Road) 1,649  BBB+
Alameda Corridor Transportation Authority, California 1,413  BBB
Lower Colorado River Authority 1,333  A
New York Power Authority 1,327  AA-
New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority 1,316  A-
Foothill/Eastern Transportation Corridor Agency, California 1,279  BBB+
South Carolina Public Service Authority - Santee Cooper 1,217  BBB+
North Texas Tollway Authority 1,210  A+
CommonSpirit Health, Illinois 1,157  A-
Brightline Trains Florida LLC 1,134  BB+
Philadelphia Water & Wastewater, Pennsylvania 1,133  A
Montefiore Medical Center, New York 1,129  BBB-
North Carolina Turnpike Authority 1,055  BBB
Pittsburgh International Airport, Pennsylvania 1,052  A-
Central Florida Expressway Authority, Florida 1,048  A+
San Joaquin Hills Transportation, California 970  BBB+
JFK Terminal 6, New York 924  BBB-
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio 918  BBB-
Yankee Stadium LLC New York City Industrial Development Authority 918  BBB
Pittsburgh Water & Sewer, Pennsylvania 900  A-
Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority, Illinois 880  BBB-
Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia 878  BBB+
San Diego Family Housing, LLC 863  AA
Chicago Water, Illinois 854  BBB+
Thomas Jefferson University 851  A-
Philadelphia School District, Pennsylvania 832  A-
Harris County - Houston Sports Authority, Texas 832  A-
Maine (State of) 801  A
Dade County Seaport, Florida 780  A-
Houston Airport System, Texas 767  A
Beth Israel Lahey Health, Massachusetts 709  A-
Chicago Public Schools, Illinois 705  BBB-
Illinois (State of) 701  BBB
Clark County School District, Nevada 695  A-
California (State of) 673  AA-
Nassau County, New York 667  AA-
Downtown Revitalization Public Infrastructure District (SEG Redevelopment Project), Utah 650  A+
Tucson (City of), Arizona 642  A+
New York Transportation Development Corporation (LaGuardia Airport Terminal Redevelopment Project) 631  BBB
Chicago-O'Hare International Airport, Illinois 624  A-
Anaheim (City of), California 614  A-
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources 605  AA
Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission 603  A-
Chicago (City of) Wastewater Transmission, Illinois 601  BBB+
Orlando Tourist Development Tax, Florida 596  A-
Private Transaction 583  BBB-
Duval County School Board, Florida 576  A
   Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures $ 48,224 
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
37


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 3)
As of September 30, 2025
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

Credit Name: Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
Private U.S. Insurance Reserve Financing $ 1,100  AA
Private U.S. Insurance Reserve Financing 1,100  AA-
Private U.S. Insurance Reserve Financing 1,048  AA-
Private U.S. Insurance Reserve Financing 422  AA-
Private U.S. Insurance Reserve Financing 397  AA-
Private Middle Market CLO 203  AA
Private US Insurance Securitization 167  A
DB Master Finance LLC 133  BBB
Private Middle Market CLO 125  BBB+
Private U.S. Insurance Securitization 116  AA
Private Subscription Finance Transaction 104  A-
Private Balloon Note Guarantee 100  A
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-A 99  AA
CWABS 2007-4 97  BBB
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-Hl1 95  CCC
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W4 93  CCC
Option One 2007-FXD2 91  BB
CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance 63  BBB
Private Balloon Note Guarantee 59  BBB
Private Balloon Note Guarantee 50  A
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1 48  CCC
Wendy's Funding, LLC 46  BBB
ALESCO Preferred Funding XIII, Ltd. 45  AAA
Sonic Capital LLC 2020-1 45  BBB
CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9 45  BBB+
   Total top 25 U.S. structured finance exposures $ 5,891 

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
38


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 3)
As of September 30, 2025
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name: Country Net Par Outstanding Internal Rating
Southern Water Services Limited United Kingdom $ 2,820  BB
Thames Water Utilities Finance PLC United Kingdom 2,345  B
Southern Gas Networks PLC United Kingdom 2,266  BBB+
Dwr Cymru Financing Limited United Kingdom 2,024  A-
Anglian Water Services Financing PLC United Kingdom 1,883  A-
National Grid Gas PLC United Kingdom 1,811  A-
Yorkshire Water Services Finance Plc United Kingdom 1,382  BBB
Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC France, United Kingdom 1,314  BBB
Severn Trent Water Utilities Finance Plc United Kingdom 1,079  BBB+
Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC United Kingdom 1,031  BBB-
United Utilities Water PLC United Kingdom 974  BBB+
British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) United Kingdom 972  A+
Quebec Province Canada 956  AA-
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction Australia 869  A-
Wessex Water Services Finance Plc United Kingdom 823  BBB+
National Grid Company PLC United Kingdom 811  BBB+
South West Water UK United Kingdom 769  BBB+
Verbund, Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric Equipment Austria 758  AAA
Verdun Participations 2 S.A.S. France 748  BBB-
Aspire Defence Finance plc United Kingdom 728  BBB+
South East Water United Kingdom 699  BBB
Heathrow Funding Limited United Kingdom 663  BBB
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction United Kingdom 580  A+
Campania Region - Healthcare receivable Italy 556  BBB-
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) Plc United Kingdom 554  B+
University of Sussex United Kingdom 552  BBB
NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLC United Kingdom 536  BBB+
North Staffordshire, United Kingdom United Kingdom 507  BBB-
Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals PLC United Kingdom 503  BBB-
Derby Healthcare PLC United Kingdom 478  BBB
Sydney Airport Finance Company Australia 464  BBB+
The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) Limited United Kingdom 456  BBB
Sutton and East Surrey Water plc United Kingdom 430  BBB
University of Essex, United Kingdom United Kingdom 391  BBB-
Western Power Distribution (South West) plc United Kingdom 375  BBB+
International Infrastructure Pool United Kingdom 369  AAA
International Infrastructure Pool United Kingdom 369  AAA
International Infrastructure Pool United Kingdom 369  AAA
South Lanarkshire Schools United Kingdom 368  BBB
Northumbrian Water PLC United Kingdom 344  BBB+
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction United Kingdom 334  A
Catalyst Healthcare (Romford) Financing PLC United Kingdom 327  BBB
Portsmouth Water, United Kingdom United Kingdom 312  BBB
South Staffordshire Water PLC United Kingdom 306  BBB+
Western Power Distribution (South Wales) PLC United Kingdom 303  BBB+
Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency Japan 298  A+
Bakethin Finance Plc United Kingdom 294  A-
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction United Kingdom 289  A
Comision Federal De Electricidad (CFE) El Cajon Project Mexico 288  BBB-
Feria Muestrario Internacional de Valencia Spain 287  BBB-
Total top 50 non-U.S. exposures $ 38,964 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
39















Asset Management Segment

40


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,
2025 2024 2025 2024
Segment revenues $ $ $ 29  $ 10 
Segment expenses 17 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  12 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes 24 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes — 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) $ $ $ 19  $
41












Corporate Division

42


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Corporate Division Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30,
2025 2024 2025 2024
Revenues $ $ $ 11  $ 13 
Expenses
Interest expense 24  24  74  75 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 20  25 
Other operating expenses 23  28 
Total expenses 38  37  117  128 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  28  — 
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (26) (33) (78) (115)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes (2) (4) (5) (14)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (24) $ (29) $ (73) $ (101)
43













Other

44


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Other Results (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended September 30, 2025
FG VIEs CIVs Intersegment Eliminations and Reclassifications Total Other
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ (1) $ —  $ —  $ (1)
Net investment income (1) —  (2) (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  17  —  17 
Other income (loss) (1) (2) —  (3)
Total revenues —  15  (2) 13 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit) —  — 
Interest expense —  —  (2) (2)
Total expenses —  (2) (1)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  (5) —  (5)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (1) 10  — 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes —  —  —  — 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  — 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (1) $ $ —  $ — 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2024
FG VIEs CIVs Intersegment Eliminations and Reclassifications Total Other
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ (1) $ —  $ —  $ (1)
Net investment income (1) —  (2) (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (7) —  —  (7)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  21  —  21 
Other income (loss) (1) (1) —  (2)
Total revenues (10) 20  (2)
Expenses
Interest expense —  —  (2) (2)
Total expenses —  —  (2) (2)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  (14) —  (14)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (10) —  (4)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes (2) —  —  (2)
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  — 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (8) $ $ —  $ (7)
45


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Other Results (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025
FG VIEs CIVs Intersegment Eliminations and Reclassifications Total Other
(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ (2) $ —  $ —  $ (2)
Net investment income (2) —  (7) (9)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  40  —  40 
Other income (loss) (1) (5) —  (6)
Total revenues 35  (7) 29 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit) —  — 
Interest expense —  —  (7) (7)
Total expenses —  (7) (5)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  (12) —  (12)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (1) 23  —  22 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes —  —  —  — 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  21  —  21 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (1) $ $ —  $

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024
FG VIEs CIVs Intersegment Eliminations and Reclassifications Total Other
(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ (2) $ —  $ —  $ (2)
Net investment income (2) —  (7) (9)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (11) —  —  (11)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  54  —  54 
Other income (loss) (2) (2) —  (4)
Total revenues (17) 52  (7) 28 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit) (5) —  —  (5)
Interest expense —  —  (7) (7)
Total expenses (5) —  (7) (12)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  (38) —  (38)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (12) 14  — 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes (2) —  —  (2)
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  12  —  12 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (10) $ $ —  $ (8)
46















Summary

47


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
As of and for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025 Year Ended December 31,
2024 2023 2022 2021
GAAP Summary Statements of Operations Data
Net earned premiums $ 274  $ 403  $ 344  $ 494  $ 414 
Net investment income 270  340  365  269  269 
Total expenses 412  446  733  536  465 
Income (loss) before income taxes 497  426  640  187  383 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL 384  376  739  124  389 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share 7.73  6.87  12.30  1.92  5.23 
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data
Total investments and cash $ 8,915  $ 8,784  $ 9,212  $ 8,472  $ 9,728 
Total assets 12,101  11,901  12,539  16,843  18,208 
Unearned premium reserve 3,663  3,719  3,658  3,620  3,716 
Loss and LAE reserve 308  268  376  296  869 
Long-term debt 1,702  1,699  1,694  1,675  1,673 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL 5,658  5,495  5,713  5,064  6,292 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL per share 121.13  108.80  101.63  85.80  93.19 
Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) $ 438,764  $ 415,966  $ 397,636  $ 369,951  $ 367,360 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) 439,263  416,463  398,037  370,172  367,770 
Net par outstanding (end of period) 274,875  261,552  249,153  233,258  236,392 
Gross par outstanding (end of period) 275,355  262,032  249,535  233,438  236,765 
Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis)(1)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) $ 437,249  $ 415,454  $ 396,448  $ 366,883  $ 362,013 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) 437,748  415,951  396,849  367,103  362,423 
Net par outstanding (end of period) 273,593  260,911  247,833  230,294  231,742 
Gross par outstanding (end of period) 274,073  261,391  248,215  230,474  232,115 
Claims-paying resources(2)
Policyholders' surplus $ 4,096  $ 4,329  $ 4,807  $ 5,155  $ 5,572 
Contingency reserve 1,481  1,392  1,296  1,202  1,225 
Qualified statutory capital 5,577  5,721  6,103  6,357  6,797 
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income 3,002  2,964  2,955  2,941  2,972 
Loss and LAE reserves 38  53  145  165  167 
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves 8,617  8,738  9,203  9,463  9,936 
Present value of installment premium 1,121  1,073  1,062  955  883 
CCS and standby line of credit 400  400  400  400  400 
Total claims-paying resources $ 10,138  $ 10,211  $ 10,665  $ 10,818  $ 11,219 
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital 50:1 46:1 41:1 36:1 34:1
Capital ratio 79:1 73:1 66:1 58:1 53:1
Financial resources ratio 44:1 41:1 37:1 34:1 32:1
Adjusted statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources 27:1 26:1 24:1 21:1 21:1
Par and Debt Service Written (Financial Guaranty and Specialty)
Gross debt service written:
Public finance - U.S. $ 37,697  $ 44,019  $ 41,902  $ 36,954  $ 35,572 
Public finance - non-U.S. 876  3,302  3,286  756  1,890 
Structured finance - U.S. 195  1,495  2,130  1,120  1,319 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 2,918  4,078  3,084  551  431 
Total gross debt service written $ 41,686  $ 52,894  $ 50,402  $ 39,381  $ 39,212 
Net debt service written $ 41,686  $ 52,760  $ 50,402  $ 39,381  $ 39,212 
Net par written 24,539  31,695  28,960  22,047  26,656 
Gross par written 24,539  31,829  28,960  22,047  26,656 

1)    Statutory amounts prepared on a consolidated basis. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners Annual Statements for the Company’s U.S. domiciled insurance subsidiary, Assured Guaranty Inc., are prepared on a stand-alone basis. As of September 30, 2025 par outstanding and debt service outstanding exclude par associated with Loss Mitigation Securities.
2)    See page 19 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
48


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2025
Year Ended December 31,
2024 2023 2022 2021
Total GWP $ 195  $ 440  $ 357  $ 360  $ 377 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (2)
83  300  247  145  158 
Upfront GWP 112  140  110  215  219 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (3)
82  262  294  160  142 
Total PVP $ 194  $ 402  $ 404  $ 375  $ 361 
PVP:
Public finance - U.S. $ 152  $ 270  $ 212  $ 257  $ 235 
Public finance - non-U.S. 19  67  83  68  79 
Structured finance - U.S. 25  68  43  42 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 20  40  41 
Total PVP $ 194  $ 402  $ 404  $ 375  $ 361 
Adjusted operating income reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 384  $ 376  $ 739  $ 124  $ 389 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (32) (14) (56) 15 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2) 14  106  (18) (64)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (10) (35) 24  (28)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves 82  (26) 51  (110) (21)
Total pre-tax adjustments 57  (13) 108  (160) (98)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments (9) —  (17) 17  17 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 336  $ 389  $ 648  $ 267  $ 470 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $ 7.73  $ 6.87  $ 12.30  $ 1.92  $ 5.23 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (0.65) 0.16  (0.23) (0.87) 0.20 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (0.05) 0.27  1.75  (0.27) (0.85)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 0.19  (0.19) (0.57) 0.37  (0.38)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves 1.66  (0.47) 0.84  (1.72) (0.29)
Total pre-tax adjustments 1.15  (0.23) 1.79  (2.49) (1.32)
Tax effect on pre-tax adjustments (0.19) —  (0.27) 0.27  0.23 
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share $ 6.77  $ 7.10  $ 10.78  $ 4.14  $ 6.32 

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
2)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, and GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
3)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. Includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other business written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under ASC 460, Guarantees.
49


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

As of September 30, 2025 As of December 31,
2024 2023 2022 2021
ABV reconciliation:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,658  $ 5,495  $ 5,713  $ 5,064  $ 6,292 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 46  49  34  (71) (54)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 12  13  47  23 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (159) (397) (361) (523) 404 
Less taxes 46  37  68  (72)
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 5,750  5,795  5,990  5,543  5,991 
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: DAC 190  176  161  147  131 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 191  202  199  157  160 
Plus: Net deferred premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 3,401  3,473  3,436  3,428  3,402 
Plus taxes (681) (702) (699) (602) (599)
ABV $ 8,471  $ 8,592  $ 8,765  $ 8,379  $ 8,823 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (net of tax provision (benefit) of $0, $0, $1, $4, and $5) $ $ —  $ $ 17  $ 32 
ABV (net of tax provision (benefit) of $0, $(2), $0, $3, and $3) $ (3) $ (6) $ —  $ 11  $ 23 
ABV per share reconciliation:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL per share $ 121.13  $ 108.80  $ 101.63  $ 85.80  $ 93.19 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 0.99  0.96  0.61  (1.21) (0.80)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 0.25  0.05  0.22  0.80  0.34 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (3.41) (7.86) (6.40) (8.86) 5.99 
Less taxes 0.20  0.90  0.66  1.15  (1.07)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share 123.10  114.75  106.54  93.92  88.73 
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: DAC 4.06  3.47  2.87  2.48  1.95 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 4.08  3.99  3.54  2.66  2.37 
Plus: Net deferred premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 72.81  68.75  61.12  58.10  50.40 
Plus taxes (14.56) (13.90) (12.41) (10.22) (8.88)
ABV per share $ 181.37  $ 170.12  $ 155.92  $ 141.98  $ 130.67 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share $ 0.05  $ 0.01  $ 0.07  $ 0.28  $ 0.47 
ABV per share $ (0.06) $ (0.13) $ —  $ 0.19  $ 0.34 

1)    See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
50


Glossary

Financial Guaranty Insurance
Net Par Outstanding and Internal Ratings
Net Par Outstanding is insured par exposure, net of reinsurance cessions. Unless otherwise indicated, net par outstanding amounts exclude amounts as a result of loss mitigation strategies, including securities the Company has purchased for loss mitigation purposes that are held in the investment portfolio.

Internal Rating utilizes the Company’s ratings scale, which is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations; however, the ratings in the tables may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Statutory Net Par and Net Debt Service Outstanding. Under statutory accounting, net par and net debt service outstanding would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., an issuer has legally discharged its obligations with respect to a municipal security by satisfying conditions set forth in defeasance provisions contained in transaction documents and is no longer responsible for the payment of debt service with respect to such obligations) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., transaction documents for a municipal security do not contain defeasance provisions but the issuer establishes an escrow account with U.S. government securities in amounts sufficient to pay the refunded bonds when due; the refunded bonds are not considered paid and continue to be outstanding under the transaction documents and the issuer remains responsible to pay debt service when due to the extent monies on deposit in the escrow account are insufficient for such purpose).

Performance Indicators
The performance information described below is obtained from third parties and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to revision as updated or additional information is obtained:

60+ Day Delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned divided by current collateral balance.

Average Credit Enhancement is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Some asset classes may not have subordinated tranches so they are excluded from the weighted averages.

Sectors
Below are brief descriptions of selected types of public and structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024.

U.S. Public Finance:
General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit obligations that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy property taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation and tax-backed revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or an income tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported obligations, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community-based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.
51


Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution’s revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue or revenue relating to student accommodation.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations backed by revenue from renewable energy sources.

Other Public Finance Bonds include other debt issued, guaranteed or otherwise supported by U.S. national or local governmental authorities, as well as student loans, revenue bonds, and obligations of some not-for-profit organizations.

Non-U.S. Public Finance:
Regulated Utility Obligations are obligations issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities, supported by the rates and charges paid by the utilities’ customers. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S. regulated utility business is conducted in the U.K.

Infrastructure Finance Obligations are obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of non-U.S. infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure, student accommodations, stadiums, and other physical assets delivering essential services supported either by long-term concession arrangements or a regulatory regime. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S. infrastructure business is conducted in the U.K.

Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Obligations primarily includes obligations of local, municipal, regional or national governmental authorities or agencies outside of the U.S.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations secured by revenues relating to renewable energy sources, typically solar or wind farms. These transactions often benefit from regulatory support in the form of regulated minimum prices for the electricity produced. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S. renewable energy business is conducted in Spain.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of credit default swap obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations. The Company has not entered into a pooled infrastructure transaction since 2006.

Structured Finance:
Insurance Reserve Financings and Securitizations are transactions, including life insurance transactions, where obligations are secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Residential Mortgage Backed Securities are obligations backed by first and second lien mortgage loans on residential properties. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including “prime,” “subprime” and “Alt-A.” A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with higher risk characteristics. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income. RMBS include home equity lines of credit, which refers to a type of residential mortgage-backed transaction backed by second-lien loan collateral. The Company has not provided insurance for RMBS in the primary market since 2008.

Subscription Finance Facilities are lending facilities provided to closed-end private market funds, most frequently private-equity funds. The facilities are secured by the uncalled capital commitments of the limited partners (LP) to the fund. The Company may guarantee new or existing facilities and on a single facility or portfolio basis. Assured Guaranty’s exposures are generally to facilities with characteristics that include a high-quality fund sponsor with strong historical performance, a diverse LP base composed primarily of institutional LPs and experienced bank lenders.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in “tranches,” with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company’s financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Financial Products Business is the guarantee of certain business written by financial products companies owned by Dexia SA, which comprised guaranteed investment contracts, medium term notes and equity payment undertaking agreements associated with leveraged lease business. This business is being run off with the final maturity due in 2031. Assured Guaranty is indemnified by Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates against loss from the former financial products business.
52


Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Other Structured Finance Obligations are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other U.S. and Non-U.S. Structured Finance Obligations categories above.

Specialty Business
The Company also guarantees specialty business with similar risk profiles to its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form. Specialty business includes, for example, diversified real estate, insurance reserve financings and securitizations, pooled corporate obligations and aircraft residual value insurance transactions.
53


Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The Company discloses both: (i) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP; and (ii) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures). Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.

The Company believes its presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and for investors, analysts and the financial news media to evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and CIVs in which certain subsidiaries invest.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Insurance segment.

The Company’s management and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process for and in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (i) adjusted operating income per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core operating income per share); (ii) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core operating shareholders’ equity per share); (iii) ABV per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core ABV per share); (iv) core operating return on equity, which is calculated as core operating income divided by the average of core operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and end of the period; and (v) PVP.

The Company’s management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or ABV, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented within this financial supplement.

Adjusted Operating Income: The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL, which is the amount of fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

3)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4)    Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL. Long-dated receivables and loss and LAE reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.
54


Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

5)    The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Adjusted operating income per share is calculated by dividing adjusted operating income by the weighted average diluted shares. The method for calculating weighted average diluted shares is in accordance with GAAP.

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and ABV: The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss. The Company’s management uses ABV, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. The Company’s management believes that ABV is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share and ABV per share, each further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core operating shareholders’ equity per share and core ABV per share, respectively), are two of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are reported on the consolidated balance sheet, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

2)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are reported on the consolidated balance sheet. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
3)    Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not result in an economic gain or loss.

4)     The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

ABV is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2)    Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.
 
3)    Addition of the deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the present value of the expected future net earned premiums, net of the present value of expected losses to be expensed.

4)    The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Shares outstanding as of the end of the reporting period are used to calculate adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share and ABV per share.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in ABV will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current ABV due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors.


55


Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

Adjusted Operating ROE: Adjusted Operating ROE represents adjusted operating income for a specified period divided by the average of adjusted operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that adjusted operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company’s return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, to evaluate AGL’s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the AGL common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date adjusted operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis. Adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, is one of the key management financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors.

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue: The Company’s management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production: The Company’s management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP GWP and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums. 

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

56

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Assured Guaranty Ltd.                        
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com





Contacts:

Equity and Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@agltd.com

Michael Walker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@agltd.com

Andre Thomas
Managing Director, Equity Investor Relations
(212) 339-3551
athomas@agltd.com

Media:
Ashweeta Durani
Director, Media Relations
(212) 408-6042
adurani@agltd.com