•GAAP Highlights:

•Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $176 million, or $3.44 per share(1), for first quarter 2025.

•Shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share was $112.80 as of March 31, 2025.

•Gross written premiums (GWP) were $35 million for first quarter 2025.

•Non-GAAP Highlights:

•Adjusted operating income(2) was $162 million, or $3.18 per share, for first quarter 2025.

•Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share(2) and adjusted book value (ABV) per share(2) were $117.40 and $172.79, respectively, as of March 31, 2025.

•Present value of new business production (PVP)(2) was $39 million for first quarter 2025.

•Return of Capital to Shareholders:

•First quarter 2025 capital returned to shareholders was $138 million including share repurchases of $120 million and dividends of $18 million.

•LBIE Litigation

•The Company recognized a pre-tax gain in first quarter 2025 of $103 million, which represents the full satisfaction of the judgment it was awarded and its claims for attorneys’ fees, expenses and interest in connection with this litigation.

Hamilton, Bermuda, May 8, 2025 -- Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO) (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) announced today its financial results for the three-month period ended March 31, 2025 (first quarter 2025).

“Assured Guaranty produced strong first quarter 2025 results,” said Dominic Frederico, President and CEO. “First quarter net income increased 61% year-over-year, and adjusted operating income increased 43%. Shareholders’ equity per share, adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share, and adjusted book value per share all reached record levels of $112.80, $117.40 and $172.79, respectively.

“In U.S. public finance, we continued to lead the bond insurance industry. Our par written represented 64% of the total U.S. primary municipal market insured par sold and 58% of the transaction count. Further, 30% of the U.S. public finance par we closed during the quarter had a double-A category underlying rating by S&P or Moody’s. We saw new business contributions across each of our three sectors - U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance and global structured finance.

“During the quarter, we recognized a pre-tax gain of $103 million, as a result of our successful conclusion of the LBIE litigation. Additionally, first quarter 2025 capital returned to shareholders was $138 million, including share repurchases of $120 million, which represented 2.6% of our shares outstanding on December 31, 2024, and dividends of $18 million.”

________________________________________

(1)    Generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America.

(2)    Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release.

On a per share basis, shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL increased to $112.80 as of March 31, 2025 from $108.80 as of December 31, 2024, primarily due to net income, unrealized gains in the investment portfolio and share repurchases, partially offset by dividends. On a per share basis, ABV increased to $172.79 primarily due to adjusted operating income, new business production and share repurchases, partially offset by dividends.

The Insurance segment primarily consists of (i) the Company’s insurance subsidiaries that provide credit protection products to the United States (U.S.) and non-U.S. public finance (including infrastructure) and structured finance markets, excluding the effect of variable interest entities (VIE) consolidations, and (ii) Assured Guaranty Inc.’s (AG, formerly Assured Guaranty Corp.) investment subsidiary, AG Asset Strategies LLC.

________________________________________

(1)    PVP, a non-GAAP financial measure, measures the value of the Insurance segment’s new business production for all contracts regardless of form or GAAP accounting model. See “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release. PVP is based on “close date,” when the transaction settles. PVP was discounted at 5.0% in both first quarter 2025 and in the three-month period ended March 31, 2024 (first quarter 2024).

(2)    Gross Par Written is based on “close date,” when the transaction settles.

U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in first quarter 2025 were lower than GWP and PVP in first quarter 2024, primarily due to two large transportation transactions that were written in first quarter 2024. The Company’s primary par written represented 64% of the total U.S. municipal market insured par sold in first quarter 2025, compared with 53% in first quarter 2024, and the Company’s penetration of all municipal issuance was 3.9% in first quarter 2025 compared with 3.8% in first quarter 2024.

U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in the secondary market increased in first quarter 2025 compared with first quarter 2024. The Company’s par written in the secondary market represented almost 10% of U.S. public finance par written in first quarter 2025, compared with 1% in first quarter 2024.

Non-U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in first quarter 2025 included United Kingdom (U.K.) regulated utility transactions as well as a secondary market transaction for a U.K. public sector entity. Non-U.S. public finance GWP in first quarter 2025 also included a reduction in the present value of estimated future premiums from certain transactions in the legacy insured portfolio.

Structured finance GWP and PVP in first quarter 2025 were primarily attributable to subscription finance and pooled corporate transactions.

Business activity in the non-U.S. public finance and structured finance markets often has long lead times and therefore may vary from period to period.

Insurance segment adjusted operating income increased to $168 million in first quarter 2025 from $149 million in first quarter 2024, primarily due to the gain related to Lehman Brothers International (Europe) (in administration) (LBIE) litigation. This was offset in part by higher loss expense on public finance exposures, lower refundings and lower fair value gains on the trading portfolio in first quarter 2025 compared with first quarter 2024.

The components of the Insurance segment’s premiums, losses and income from the investment portfolio are presented below.

Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues included $40 million related to the resolution of the LBIE litigation in first quarter 2025.

Loss expense is a function of net economic loss development (benefit) and deferred premium revenue. The difference between loss expense and economic development in a given period represents the amount of deferred premium revenue absorbing expected losses to be paid.

Loss expense in first quarter 2025 was a benefit, primarily attributable to $63 million of recoveries in connection with the resolution of the LBIE litigation, offset in part by higher losses on the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) due to a potential delay in the expected timing of the resolution of PREPA, and certain healthcare exposures.

The table below presents the roll forward of net expected losses for first quarter 2025.

Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) (1)

_________________________________________________

(1)    Net economic loss development (benefit) represents the change in net expected loss to be paid (recovered) attributable to the effects of changes in the economic performance of insured transactions, changes in assumptions based on observed market trends, changes in discount rates, accretion of discount and the economic effects of loss mitigation efforts, each net of reinsurance. Net economic loss development (benefit) is the principal measure that the Company uses to evaluate the loss experience in its insured portfolio. Expected loss to be paid (recovered) includes all transactions insured by the Company, regardless of the accounting model prescribed under GAAP and without consideration of deferred premium revenue.

The net economic benefit of $15 million in first quarter 2025 was primarily attributable to $63 million of recoveries related to the resolution of the LBIE litigation, offset in part by higher losses on PREPA and certain U.K. regulated utilities. The effect of changes in risk-free rates used to discount expected losses was a loss of $5 million.

_________________________________________________

(1)    Equity in earnings (losses) of investees primarily relates to funds managed by Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management subsidiaries (Sound Point), Assured Healthcare Partners, LLC (AHP), and certain other managers. Investments in funds are reported on a one-quarter lag.

(2)    Total income from the investment portfolio decreased primarily due to lower fair value gains on contingent value instruments issued by Puerto Rico classified as trading securities, and the transfer of certain alternative investments from AG (Insurance segment) to AGMH (Corporate division) as part of a stock redemption that occurred on August 5, 2024.

Net investment income, which represents interest income on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments, increased in first quarter 2025 compared with first quarter 2024, primarily due to investment income on collateralized loan obligation (CLO) equity tranches. Certain CLO equity tranche investments were reclassified to the available-for-sale fixed-maturity portfolio in the fourth quarter of 2024, with interest income now reported in net investment income, and changes in fair value reported in other comprehensive income. The Company had previously held the CLO equity tranches in a Sound Point managed fund with changes in net asset value reported in “equity in earnings (losses) of investees” in the Insurance segment. This was partially offset by lower short-term investment income as a result of lower short-term interest rates and lower average short-term investment balances. The Company’s overall pre-tax book yield of available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments was 4.58% as of March 31, 2025 and 3.87% as of March 31, 2024.

Equity in earnings (losses) of investees decreased to $30 million in first quarter 2025 compared with $40 million in first quarter 2024, primarily due to the reclassification of certain CLO equity tranches to the available-for-sale portfolio, as described above. In addition, equity in earnings (losses) of investees in first quarter 2024 included $9 million related to certain alternative investments which AG transferred to AGMH as part of a stock redemption that occurred on August 5, 2024. See “Corporate Division” below. These decreases were partially offset by an increase in the net asset value of the AHP fund in first quarter 2025.

As of March 31, 2025, the Company had $892 million in alternative investments across a variety of asset classes: $753 million in the Insurance segment consisting primarily of CLOs equity tranches in the available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities portfolio, and Sound Point and AHP funds, as well as legacy investments in the Corporate division. The inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return for all alternative investments across all segments and the Corporate division was approximately 13% as of March 31, 2025.

Equity in earnings (losses) of investees may be more volatile than net investment income on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments. To the extent that the amounts invested in alternative fund investments accounted for under the equity method increase and available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities decrease, net investment income may decrease and mark-to-market volatility related to equity in earnings (losses) of investees may increase.

Asset management adjusted operating income was $12 million in first quarter 2025, primarily consisting of the Company’s ownership interest in Sound Point, including the amortization of intangible assets, and certain ongoing net performance fees. Sound Point’s results are reported on a one-quarter lag and are included in “equity in earnings (losses) of investees.”

The Corporate division primarily consists of interest expense on the debt of Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH), equity in earnings (losses) of investees related to certain alternative investments which AG transferred to AGMH as part of a stock redemption that occurred on August 5, 2024, as well as expenses attributed to the holding companies’ activities.

The following table presents a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

________________________________________

(1)    The effect of consolidating financial guaranty (FG) VIEs and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs).

Realized losses on investment portfolio in first quarter 2025 were primarily due to change in the allowance for credit losses for loss mitigation securities and realized losses on sales of securities.

Except for credit impairment, the fair value adjustments on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio are non-economic adjustments that reverse to zero over the remaining term of that portfolio.

Fair value of CCS is heavily affected by, and in part fluctuates with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and is not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Foreign exchange gains (losses) primarily relate to remeasurement of premiums receivable and are mainly due to changes in exchange rates relative to the U.S. dollar of the pound sterling and, to a lesser extent, the euro.

From the beginning of the repurchase program in 2013 through May 8, 2025, the Company has repurchased a total of 152 million common shares for $5.5 billion, representing approximately 78% of the total shares outstanding as of January 1, 2013. As of May 8, 2025, the Company was authorized to purchase approximately $181 million of its common shares. These repurchases can be made from time to time in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions.

_________________________________________________

(1)    Excludes commissions and excise taxes.

The Company’s share repurchase program may be modified, extended or terminated by the Company’s Board of Directors at any time and does not have an expiration date. The timing, form and amount of the share repurchases under the program are at the discretion of management and will depend on a variety of factors, including funds available at the parent company, other potential uses for such funds, market conditions, the Company’s capital position, legal requirements and other factors.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented below.

The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

 

 

Adjusted operating income per share is calculated by dividing adjusted operating income by the weighted average diluted shares. The method for calculating weighted average diluted shares is in accordance with GAAP. See “Reconciliation to GAAP” above for a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss. The Company’s management uses ABV, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. The Company’s management believes that ABV is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses.

1) Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are reported on the consolidated balance sheet, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses.

Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

        

The Company’s management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

The Company’s management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP GWP and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure.

PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums.

_________________________________________________

(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, and GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.

(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities.

The Company will host a conference call for investors at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (9:00 a.m. Atlantic Time) on Friday, May 9, 2025. The conference call will be available via live webcast in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com or by dialing 1-833-470-1428 (in the U.S.) or 1-404-975-4839 (International); the access code is 028417.

A replay of the conference call will be available approximately three hours after the call ends. The webcast replay will be available for 90 days in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com and the telephone replay will be available for 30 days by dialing 1-866-813-9403 (in the U.S.) or 1-929-458-6194 (International); the access code is 964306.

Please refer to Assured Guaranty’s March 31, 2025 Financial Supplement, which is posted on the Company's website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata, for more information on the Company’s financial guaranty portfolio, investment portfolio and other items. In addition, the Company is posting at assuredguaranty.com/presentations its “March 31, 2025 Equity Investor Presentation.”

The Company plans to post by early next week on its website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata the following:

•“Public Finance Transactions in 1Q 2025,” which lists the U.S. public finance new issues insured by the Company in first quarter 2025, and

•“Structured Finance Transactions at March 31, 2025,” which lists the Company’s structured finance exposure as of that date.

In addition, the Company will post on its website, when available, Assured Guaranty Inc.’s financial supplement and its “Fixed Income Presentation” for the current quarter. Those documents will be furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission in a Current Report on Form 8-K.

# # #

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a publicly traded (NYSE: AGO), Bermuda-based holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty provides credit enhancement products to the U.S. and non-U.S. public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. Assured Guaranty also participates in the asset management business through its ownership interest in Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management affiliates. More information on Assured Guaranty Ltd. and its subsidiaries can be found at AssuredGuaranty.com.

Any forward-looking statements made in this press release reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Among factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are:

(i) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates, tariff regimes or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession or stagflation; (ii) geopolitical risk, terrorism and political violence risk, including those arising out of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and intentional or accidental escalation between The North Atlantic Treaty Organization and Russia, conflicts in South Asia and the Middle East, confrontation over Iran’s nuclear program, the polarized political environment in the United States (U.S.), and strategic competition and tensions between the U.S. and China; (iii) cybersecurity risk and the impacts of artificial intelligence, machine learning and other technological advances, including potentially increasing the risks of malicious cyber attacks, dissemination of misinformation, and disruption of markets, including the markets in which the Company participates; (iv) the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (v) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in the financial condition of banking institutions in the U.S. and the possibility that increasing participation of unregulated financial institutions in these markets results in losses or lower valuations of assets, reduced liquidity and credit and/or contraction of these markets, that adversely affect repayment rates of insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, or investments of Assured Guaranty; (vi) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (vii) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls, difficulties in obtaining additional financing or other factors will result in credit losses or liquidity claims on obligations of state, territorial and local governments, their related authorities, public corporations and other obligors that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (viii) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including below-investment-grade (BIG) healthcare, United Kingdom (U.K.) regulated utilities, European renewable energy, and Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) exposures; (ix) the impact of Assured Guaranty satisfying its obligations under insurance policies with respect to legacy insured Puerto Rico bonds; (x) the possibility that underwriting insurance in new jurisdictions and/or covering new sectors or classes of business does not result in the benefits anticipated or subjects Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (xi) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry, nonpayment insurance and other forms of capital saving or risk syndication available to banks and insurers; (xii) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity, or to other negative or unanticipated consequences; (xiii) the possibility that Assured Guaranty’s mergers, acquisitions, divestitures and other strategic transactions, including the transactions with Sound Point Capital Management, LP (Sound Point, LP) and certain of its investment management affiliates (together with Sound Point, LP, Sound Point) and/or Assured Healthcare Partners LLC (AHP) and/or merger of Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM) with and into Assured Guaranty Inc. (AG, formerly Assured Guaranty Corp.), do not result in the benefits anticipated and/or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (xiv) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which Assured Guaranty holds a minority interest; (xv) the impact of market volatility on the fair value of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, contracts accounted for as derivatives, its committed capital securities (CCS), and its consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (xvi) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (xvii) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (xviii)

changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, including tariffs, or other governmental actions; (xix) the possibility that legal or regulatory decisions or determinations subject Assured Guaranty or obligations that it insures or reinsures to negative consequences; (xx) difficulties or delays with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (xxi) loss of key personnel; (xxii) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (xxiii) public health crises, including pandemics and endemics, and the governmental and private actions taken in response to such events; (xxiv) natural or man-made catastrophes; (xxv) the impact of climate change on Assured Guaranty’s business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (xxvi) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (xxvii) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (xxviii) management’s response to these factors.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of May 8, 2025, and Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.

Robert Tucker

212-339-0861

rtucker@agltd.com

Ashweeta Durani

212-408-6042

adurani@agltd.com

Table of Contents															Page
			Selected Financial Highlights												1
			Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)												3
			Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)												4
			Selected Financial Highlights GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations												5
			Income Components												8
			Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash												10
			Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs												11
			Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs												13
			Insurance Segment:												14
			Insurance Segment Results												15
			Claims-Paying Resources												16
			New Business Production												17
			Gross Par Written												18
			New Business Production by Quarter												19
			Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Financial Guaranty Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues												20
			Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses to be Paid (Recovered)												21
			Loss Measures												22
			Net Expected Loss to be Expensed												23
			Financial Guaranty Profile												24
			Specialty Business												27
			Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding												28
			Puerto Rico Profile												29
			Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile												30
			Below Investment Grade Exposures												31
			Largest Exposures by Sector												34
			Asset Management Segment												37
			Asset Management Results												38
			Corporate Division												39
			Corporate Results												40
			Other												41
			Other Results												42
			Summary												43
			Summary of Financial and Statistical Data												44
			Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations												45
			Glossary												47
			Non-GAAP Financial Measures												50

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) with the United States (U.S.) Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025.

Any forward looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty’s forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include: (i) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates, tariff regimes or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession or stagflation; (ii) geopolitical risk, terrorism and political violence risk, including those arising out of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and intentional or accidental escalation between The North Atlantic Treaty Organization and Russia, conflicts in South Asia and the Middle East, confrontation over Iran’s nuclear program, the polarized political environment in the United States (U.S.), and strategic competition and tensions between the U.S. and China; (iii) cybersecurity risk and the impacts of artificial intelligence, machine learning and other technological advances, including potentially increasing the risks of malicious cyber attacks, dissemination of misinformation, and disruption of markets, including the markets in which the Company participates; (iv) the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (v) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in the financial condition of banking institutions in the U.S. and the possibility that increasing participation of unregulated financial institutions in these markets results in losses or lower valuations of assets, reduced liquidity and credit and/or contraction of these markets, that adversely affect repayment rates of insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, or investments of Assured Guaranty; (vi) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (vii) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls, difficulties in obtaining additional financing or other factors will result in credit losses or liquidity claims on obligations of state, territorial and local governments, their related authorities, public corporations and other obligors that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (viii) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including below-investment-grade (BIG) healthcare, United Kingdom (U.K.) regulated utilities, European renewable energy, and Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) exposures; (ix) the impact of Assured Guaranty satisfying its obligations under insurance policies with respect to legacy insured Puerto Rico bonds; (x) the possibility that underwriting insurance in new jurisdictions and/or covering new sectors or classes of business does not result in the benefits anticipated or subjects Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (xi) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry, nonpayment insurance and other forms of capital saving or risk syndication available to banks and insurers; (xii) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity, or to other negative or unanticipated consequences; (xiii) the possibility that Assured Guaranty’s mergers, acquisitions, divestitures and other strategic transactions, including the transactions with Sound Point Capital Management, LP (Sound Point, LP) and certain of its investment management affiliates (together with Sound Point, LP, Sound Point) and/or Assured Healthcare Partners LLC (AHP) and/or merger of Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM) with and into Assured Guaranty Inc. (AG, formerly Assured Guaranty Corp.), do not result in the benefits anticipated and/or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (xiv) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which Assured Guaranty holds a minority interest; (xv) the impact of market volatility on the fair value of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, contracts accounted for as derivatives, its committed capital securities (CCS), and its consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (xvi) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (xvii) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (xviii) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, including tariffs, or other governmental actions; (xix) the possibility that legal or regulatory decisions or determinations subject Assured Guaranty or obligations that it insures or reinsures to negative consequences; (xx) difficulties or delays with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (xxi) loss of key personnel; (xxii) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (xxiii) public health crises, including pandemics and endemics, and the governmental and private actions taken in response to such events; (xxiv) natural or man-made catastrophes; (xxv) the impact of climate change on Assured Guaranty’s business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (xxvi) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (xxvii) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (xxviii) management’s response to these factors. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.

Selected Financial Highlights (1 of 2)

1)    Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).

2)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

3)    Represents the ratio of adjusted operating provision for income taxes to adjusted operating income before income taxes.

4)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns. See page 6 for additional information on calculation.

5)    Condensed consolidated statement of operations items mentioned in this Financial Supplement that are described as operating (i.e. operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues) are non-GAAP measures and represent components of adjusted operating income. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

6)    Represents the effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities (FG VIEs) and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs) (FG VIE and CIV consolidation).

Selected Financial Highlights (2 of 2)

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1 of 3)

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (2 of 3)

1)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (3 of 3)

Income Components (1 of 2)

Income Components (2 of 2)

Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash

1)    Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2)    Includes fair value of $130 million in subprime RMBS, of which 92% were rated BIG.

3)    Includes securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies.

4)    Cash is not included in the yield calculation.

5)    Ratings generally reflect the lower of Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. or Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC classifications except for purchased securities that the Company has insured, and for which it had expected losses to be paid (Loss Mitigation Securities) and certain other securities, which use internal ratings classifications. Loss mitigation and other securities total $820 million in par with carrying value of $590 million and are primarily included in the BIG category.

6)    Primarily includes contingent value instruments received in connection with the resolution of the Company’s exposure to insured Puerto Rico credits experiencing payment default other than PREPA. These securities are not rated.

7)    Primarily includes CLO equity tranches.