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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
Current Report
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15 (d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)—May 7, 2024
AG_300 - Logo.jpg
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Bermuda 001-32141 98-0429991
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation or organization)
(Commission File Number)  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda
(Address of principal executive offices)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (441) 279-5700
Not applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class: Trading Symbol(s) Name of exchange on which registered
Common Shares $0.01 par value per share AGO New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 6.125% Senior Notes due 2028 (and the related guarantee of Registrant) AGO/28 New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.150% Senior Notes due 2031 (and the related guarantee of Registrant) AGO/31 New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.600% Senior Notes due 2051 (and the related guarantee of Registrant) AGO/51 New York Stock Exchange
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐



Item 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On May 7, 2024 Assured Guaranty Ltd. issued a press release reporting its first quarter 2024 results and the availability of its March 31, 2024 financial supplement. The press release and the financial supplement are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, and are incorporated by reference herein.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) Exhibits
Exhibit
Number
Description
99.1
99.2
104.1 Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document

2


SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
By:
/s/ BENJAMIN G. ROSENBLUM
Name: Benjamin G. Rosenblum
Title: Chief Financial Officer
DATE: May 7, 2024








































3
EX-99.1 2 agl1q24pressrelease.htm AGL PRESS RELEASE Document

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Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Results for First Quarter 2024

•GAAP Highlights:
•Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $109 million, or $1.89 per share(1), for first quarter 2024.
•Shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share was $102.19 as of March 31, 2024.
•Gross written premiums (GWP) were $61 million for first quarter 2024.

•Non-GAAP Highlights:
•Adjusted operating income(2) was $113 million, or $1.96 per share, for first quarter 2024.
•Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity(2) per share and adjusted book value (ABV)(2) per share were $107.69 and $157.31, respectively, as of March 31, 2024.
•Present value of new business production (PVP)(2) was $63 million for first quarter 2024.

•Return of Capital to Shareholders:
•First quarter 2024 capital returned to shareholders was $148 million including share repurchases of $129 million and dividends of $19 million.
•Share repurchase authorization was increased by $300 million on May 2, 2024.


Hamilton, Bermuda, May 7, 2024 -- Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO) (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) announced today its financial results for the three-month period ended March 31, 2024 (first quarter 2024).
“Assured Guaranty produced excellent first quarter 2024 results,” said Dominic Frederico, President and CEO. “First quarter net income increased 35% year over year, and adjusted operating income increased 66%. Shareholders’ equity per share, adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share, and adjusted book value per share all reached record levels of $102.19, $107.69 and $157.31, respectively. New business written produced $61 million of GWP and $63 million of PVP, reflecting strong production in U.S. public finance and global structured finance.
“In U.S. public finance, we continued to lead the bond insurance industry in primary market par sold. Premiums were strong in the first quarter, with new municipal business producing approximately twice as much GWP and PVP as in last year’s first quarter, on a similar amount of gross par written, due to several large transportation revenue issuances this year.

“In April of this year, we celebrated the 20th anniversary of our IPO. Since that time through the end of the first quarter, our share price has increased almost 385%, more than those of the S&P 500 Financials, the S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NYSE Composite Index, and we have paid common share dividends of $1 billion. For 2024, we have ramped up our share repurchase program, repurchasing $129 million of common shares in the first quarter alone, which equals 2.7% of our shares outstanding on December 31, 2023.”






(1)    All per share information for net income and adjusted operating income is based on diluted shares.
(2)    Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”

1


Summary Financial Results
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Quarter Ended
  March 31,
  2024 2023
GAAP (1)
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 109  $ 81 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $ 1.89  $ 1.34 
Weighted average diluted shares 57.1  60.4 
Non-GAAP
Adjusted operating income (loss) (2)
$ 113  $ 68 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share (2)
$ 1.96  $ 1.12 
Weighted average diluted shares 57.1  60.4 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation (3) included in adjusted operating income
$ —  $ (4)
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income per share $ —  $ (0.06)
Components of total adjusted operating income (loss)
Insurance segment $ 149  $ 117 
Asset Management segment (1)
Corporate division (37) (44)
Other —  (4)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 113  $ 68 

As of
March 31, 2024 December 31, 2023
Amount Per Share Amount Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,629  $ 102.19  $ 5,713  $ 101.63 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (2)
5,932  107.69  5,990  106.54 
ABV (2)
8,665  157.31  8,765  155.92 
Common Shares Outstanding 55.1  56.2 
________________________________________________
(1)    Generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America.
(2)    Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release.
(3)    The effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities (FG VIEs) and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs).

On a per share basis, shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL increased to $102.19 as of March 31, 2024 from $101.63 as of December 31, 2023, primarily due to net income and share repurchases, partially offset by dividends and unrealized losses in the investment portfolio. On a per share basis, ABV increased to $157.31 primarily due to adjusted operating income, new business production and share repurchases, partially offset by dividends.


2


Insurance Segment

The Insurance segment primarily consists of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries that provide credit protection products to the United States (U.S.) and non-U.S. public finance (including infrastructure) and structured finance markets.

Insurance Segment New Business Production

Insurance Segment
New Business Production
(in millions)
Quarter Ended March 31,
2024 2023
GWP
PVP (1)
Gross Par Written (2)
GWP
PVP (1)
Gross Par Written (2)
Public finance - U.S. $ 44  $ 43  $ 2,909  $ 22  $ 22  $ 2,907 
Public finance - non-U.S. —  36  30  360 
Structured finance - U.S. 13  15  480  28  27  582 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 354  —  33  1,514 
Total $ 61  $ 63  $ 3,743  $ 86  $ 112  $ 5,363 
________________________________________________
(1)    PVP, a non-GAAP financial measure, measures the value of the Insurance segment’s new business production for all contracts regardless of form or GAAP accounting model. See “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release. PVP is based on “close date,” when the transaction settles. PVP was discounted at 5% and 4% in first quarter 2024 and in the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 (first quarter 2023), respectively.
(2)    Gross Par Written is based on “close date,” when the transaction settles.

U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in first quarter 2024 were higher than the comparable GWP and PVP in first quarter 2023, primarily due to several large transportation revenue transactions that closed in first quarter 2024. The Company’s direct par written represented 53% of the total U.S. municipal market insured issuance in first quarter 2024, compared with 60% in first quarter 2023, and the Company’s penetration of all municipal issuance was 3.8% in first quarter 2024 compared with 4.6% in first quarter 2023.

Structured finance GWP and PVP in first quarter 2024 were primarily attributable to insurance securitization and subscription finance transactions.

Business activity in the non-U.S. public finance and structured finance sectors often has long lead times and therefore may vary from period to period.

Insurance Segment Adjusted Operating Income

Insurance segment adjusted operating income increased to $149 million in first quarter 2024, from $117 million in first quarter 2023. The increase was primarily due to higher net earned premiums and fair value gains on trading securities in first quarter 2024.

3


Insurance Segment Results
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues $ 122  $ 84 
Net investment income 83  82 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities 26  (2)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement — 
Other income (loss) (2) 25 
Total segment revenues 229  190 
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit)
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs (DAC)
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 48  39 
Other operating expenses 27  28 
Total segment expenses 85  79 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 40  30 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes 184  141 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 35  24 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) $ 149  $ 117 

The components of the Insurance segment’s premiums, losses and income from the investment portfolio are presented below.

Insurance Segment Net Earned Premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues

Insurance Segment
Net Earned Premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Scheduled net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues $ 83  $ 80 
Accelerations 39 
Total $ 122  $ 84 

Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues increased in first quarter 2024 compared with first quarter 2023 primarily due to a large refunded transaction in first quarter 2024.
4


Insurance Segment Loss Expense (Benefit) and the Roll Forward of Expected Losses

Loss expense is a function of net economic loss development (benefit) and deferred premium revenue.

Insurance Segment
Loss Expense (Benefit)
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Public finance $ $
U.S. residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS)
Other structured finance
Total $ $

The table below presents the roll forward of net expected losses for first quarter 2024.

Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) (1)
(in millions)
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of December 31, 2023 Net
Economic Loss Development (Benefit)
Net (Paid) Recovered
Losses
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of March 31, 2024
Public finance $ 418  $ (3) $ (17) $ 398 
U.S. RMBS 43  (3) (42) (2)
Other structured finance 44  (1) (6) 37 
Total $ 505  $ (7) $ (65) $ 433 
________________________________________________
(1)    Net economic loss development (benefit) represents the change in net expected loss to be paid (recovered) attributable to the effects of changes in the economic performance of insured transactions, changes in assumptions based on observed market trends, changes in discount rates, accretion of discount and the economic effects of loss mitigation efforts, each net of reinsurance. Net economic loss development (benefit) is the principal measure that the Company uses to evaluate the loss experience in its insured portfolio. Expected loss to be paid (recovered) includes all transactions insured by the Company, regardless of the accounting model prescribed under GAAP and without consideration of deferred premium revenue.

The net economic loss development was a benefit of $7 million in first quarter 2024, mainly attributable to improved performance across various public finance exposures and higher recoveries in second-lien RMBS. The effect of changes in risk-free rates used to discount expected losses was a benefit of $3 million.

5


Insurance Segment Income from Investment Portfolio
Insurance Segment
Income from Investment Portfolio
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Net investment income $ 83  $ 82 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (1)
26  (2)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees (2)
40  30 
Total $ 149  $ 110 
________________________________________________
(1)    Represents contingent value instruments issued by Puerto Rico that are classified as trading securities with changes in fair value reported in the condensed consolidated statements of operations.
(2)     Equity in earnings (losses) of investees primarily relates to funds managed by Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management subsidiaries (Sound Point) and Assured Healthcare Partners, LLC (AHP), and certain other managers, as well as, prior to July 1, 2023, Assured Investment Management LLC and its investment management affiliates (AssuredIM). Investments in funds are reported on a one-quarter lag.


Net investment income, which represents interest income on available-for-sale fixed-maturity debt securities and short-term investments, increased to $83 million in first quarter 2024 from $82 million in first quarter 2023 primarily due to higher short-term interest rates and average balances, partially offset by lower income on loss mitigation securities.

As of March 31, 2024, the Insurance segment had $796 million in alternative investments, which had an inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return of approximately 14.4%. In the Insurance segment, alternative investments consist primarily of funds managed by Sound Point, AHP and other managers, and are generally recorded at net asset value (NAV), with changes in NAV reported in “equity in earnings (losses) of investees.” Equity in earnings of investees is more volatile than net investment income on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments. To the extent that the amounts invested in alternative fund investments increase and available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities decrease, net investment income may decline and mark-to-market volatility related to equity in earnings of investees may increase.

Ratings Action

On April 30th 2024, Moody’s Ratings (Moody’s) upgraded the insurance financial strength rating of Assured Guaranty Corp. (AGC) and affirmed the rating of Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM), both with a stable outlook. In the report, Moody’s cited AGC’s strong risk-adjusted capital adequacy, the significant improvement in the credit quality of its insured portfolio, and an increased strategic role within Assured Guaranty. About AGM, Moody’s noted AGM’s strong capital profile and leading market position in the financial guaranty sector.
Asset Management Segment

Since July 2023, the Company participates in the asset management business through its ownership interest in Sound Point. Prior to July 1, 2023, the Company participated in the asset management business through AssuredIM. Asset Management segment adjusted operating income was $1 million for first quarter 2024 and a loss of $1 million for first quarter 2023. Sound Point’s results are reported on a one quarter lag and are included in “equity in earnings (losses) of investees.” In first quarter 2024, equity in earnings (losses) of investees consisted of a $4 million gain on the Company’s ownership interest in Sound Point and a $3 million impairment loss related to a legacy investment in a small financial services advisory firm.

6


Corporate Division

The Corporate division primarily consists of interest expense on the debt of Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc., as well as other operating expenses attributed to holding company activities. Adjusted operating loss for the Corporate division was $37 million in first quarter 2024 compared with $44 million in first quarter 2023. The decrease in the net loss attributable to the Corporate division is primarily due to an additional value added tax in the United Kingdom and expenses related to the Sound Point transaction in first quarter 2023, offset in part by increases in premises related expenses.

Reconciliation to GAAP

The following table presents a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Attributable to AGL to
Adjusted Operating Income (Loss)
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Total Per Diluted Share Total Per Diluted Share
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 109  $ 1.89  $ 81  $ 1.34 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments 0.14  (2) (0.03)
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 10  0.16  13  0.21 
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS) (10) (0.17) (16) (0.26)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves (12) (0.20) 20  0.32 
Total pre-tax adjustments (4) (0.07) 15  0.24 
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments —  —  (2) (0.02)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 113  $ 1.96  $ 68  $ 1.12 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income $ —  $ —  $ (4) $ (0.06)

Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives in first quarter 2024 were generated primarily as a result of the termination of certain structured finance contracts. Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives in first quarter 2023 were generated primarily as a result of the increased cost to buy protection on AGC. Except for credit impairment, the fair value adjustments on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio are non-economic adjustments that reverse to zero over the remaining term of that portfolio.

Fair value losses on CCS in first quarter 2024 and first quarter 2023 were primarily due to a tightening in market spreads. Fair value of CCS is heavily affected by, and in part fluctuates with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and is not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Foreign exchange gains (losses) in both periods primarily relate to remeasurement of premiums receivable and are mainly due to changes in the exchange rate relative to the U.S. dollar of the pound sterling and, to a lesser extent, the euro.

7


Common Share Repurchases

On May 2, 2024, AGL’s Board of Directors (the Board) authorized the repurchase of an additional $300 million of the Company’s common shares. From the beginning of the repurchase program in 2013 through May 7, 2024, the Company repurchased a total of 146 million common shares at an average price of $34.50, representing approximately 75% of the total shares outstanding. As of May 7, 2024, the Company was authorized to purchase $414 million of its common shares. These repurchases can be made from time to time in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions.

Summary of Share Repurchases
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Amount (1)
Number of Shares Average Price Per Share
2024 (January 1 - March 31) $ 129  1.54  $ 84.07 
2024 (April 1 - May 7) 61  0.75  80.70 
Total 2024 $ 190  2.29  82.96 
________________________________________________
(1)    Excludes commissions and excise taxes.

The timing, form and amount of the share repurchases under the program are at the discretion of management and will depend on a variety of factors, including funds available at the parent company, other potential uses for such funds, market conditions, the Company’s capital position, legal requirements and other factors. The repurchase program may be modified, extended or terminated by the Board at any time. It does not have an expiration date.

8


Financial Statements

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 119  $ 81 
Net investment income 84  81 
Asset management fees —  26 
Net realized investment gains (losses) (2)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 10  15 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (10) (16)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (3) (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs 22  58 
Foreign exchange gain (loss) on remeasurement (12) 20 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities 26  (2)
Other income (loss) 27 
Total revenues 245  283 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (1)
Interest expense 23  21 
Amortization of DAC
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 58  82 
Other operating expenses 39  55 
Total expenses 125  165 
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees 120  118 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 24 
Income (loss) before income taxes 144  120 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 31  23 
Net income (loss) 113  97 
Less: Noncontrolling interests 16 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 109  $ 81 
9


Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(in millions)
As of
March 31, 2024 December 31, 2023
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value $ 6,091  $ 6,307 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value 272  318 
Short-term investments, at fair value 1,649  1,661 
Other invested assets 875  829 
Total investments 8,887  9,115 
Cash 115  97 
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable 1,450  1,468 
DAC 164  161 
Salvage and subrogation recoverable 295  298 
FG VIEs’ assets 167  328 
Assets of CIVs 377  366 
Other assets 713  706 
Total assets $ 12,168  $ 12,539 
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve $ 3,612  $ 3,658 
Loss and LAE reserve 307  376 
Long-term debt 1,695  1,694 
Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value 43  53 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value 399  554 
Other liabilities 430  439 
Total liabilities 6,486  6,774 
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares
Retained earnings 6,014  6,070 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (387) (359)
Deferred equity compensation
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL 5,629  5,713 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests 53  52 
Total shareholders’ equity 5,682  5,765 
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 12,168  $ 12,539 
10


Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The Company discloses both: (i) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP; and (ii) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures). Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.

The Company believes its presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and for investors, analysts and the financial news media to evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include:
•FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and
•CIVs in which certain subsidiaries invest.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Insurance segment.

Management of the Company and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process for and in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (1) adjusted operating income, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (2) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (3) adjusted book value per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; and (4) PVP.

Management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or adjusted book value, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares. Management also believes that many of the Company’s fixed income investors also use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented below.

Adjusted Operating Income

Management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:
11



1)    Elimination of realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
3)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are recognized in net income. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4)    Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves that are recognized in net income. Long-dated receivables and loss and LAE reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.
 
5)    The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

See “Reconciliation to GAAP” above for a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and Adjusted Book Value

Management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

2)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

3)    Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not recognize an economic gain or loss.
12



4)     The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Management uses adjusted book value, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. Adjusted book value per share, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core adjusted book value), is one of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors. Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses. Adjusted book value is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2)    Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.
        
3)    Addition of the deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the present value of the expected future net earned premiums, net of the present value of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

4)     The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors.


13


Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity Attributable to AGL to
Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and ABV
(in millions, except per share amounts)
As of
March 31, 2024 December 31, 2023
Total Per Share Total Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,629  $ 102.19  $ 5,713  $ 101.63 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 44  0.79  34  0.61 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 0.05  13  0.22 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (393) (7.13) (361) (6.40)
Less taxes 43  0.79  37  0.66 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 5,932  107.69  5,990  106.54 
Pre-tax adjustments:  
Less: DAC 164  2.99  161  2.87 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 191  3.47  199  3.54 
Plus: Net deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 3,393  61.61  3,436  61.12 
Plus taxes (687) (12.47) (699) (12.41)
ABV $ 8,665  $ 157.31  $ 8,765  $ 155.92 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity $ $ 0.06  $ $ 0.07 
ABV (3) (0.05) —  — 
Shares outstanding at the end of the period 55.1  56.2 

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue

Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production

Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP gross written premiums and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure.
14


PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. 

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31, 2024
Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Non - U.S. U.S. Non - U.S. Total
GWP $ 44  $ $ 13  $ $ 61 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
12  12  28 
Upfront GWP 32  —  —  33 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (2)
11  14  30 
PVP $ 43  $ $ 15  $ $ 63 

Quarter Ended
March 31, 2023
Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Non - U.S. U.S. Non - U.S. Total
GWP $ 22  $ 36  $ 28  $ —  $ 86 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
33  28  —  69 
Upfront GWP 14  —  —  17 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (2)
27  27  33  95 
PVP $ 22  $ 30  $ 27  $ 33  $ 112 
________________________________________________
(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. First quarter 2023 also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.

15


Conference Call and Webcast Information

The Company will host a conference call for investors at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (9:00 a.m. Atlantic Time) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. The conference call will be available via live webcast in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com or by dialing 1-833-470-1428 (in the U.S.) or 1-404-975-4839 (International); the access code is 480610.

A replay of the conference call will be available approximately three hours after the call ends. The webcast replay will be available for 90 days in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com and the telephone replay will be available for 30 days by dialing 1-866-813-9403 (in the U.S.) or 1-929-458-6194 (International); the access code is 626852.

Please refer to Assured Guaranty’s March 31, 2024 Financial Supplement, which is posted on the Company's website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata, for more information on the Company’s financial guaranty portfolio, investment portfolio and other items. In addition, the Company is posting at assuredguaranty.com/presentations its “March 31, 2024 Equity Investor Presentation.”

The Company plans to post by early next week on its website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata the following:

•“Public Finance Transactions in 1Q 2024,” which lists the U.S. public finance new issues insured by the Company in first quarter 2024, and

•“Structured Finance Transactions at March 31, 2024,” which lists the Company’s structured finance exposure as of that date.

In addition, the Company will post on its website, when available, the Company’s separate-company subsidiary financial supplements and its “Fixed Income Presentation” for the current quarter. Those documents will be furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission in a Current Report on Form 8-K.

# # #


Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a publicly traded (NYSE: AGO), Bermuda-based holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty provides credit enhancement products to the U.S. and international public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. Assured Guaranty also participates in the asset management business through its ownership interest in Sound Point. More information on Assured Guaranty Ltd. and its subsidiaries can be found at AssuredGuaranty.com.

16


Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Any forward-looking statements made in this press release reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Among factors that could cause actual results to differ adversely are: (1) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession or stagflation; (2) geopolitical risk, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and risk of intentional or accidental escalation between The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and Russia, conflict in the Middle East, confrontation over Iran’s nuclear program, United States (U.S.) – China strategic competition and pursuit of technological independence; (3) global terrorism risk with threats increasing from conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine/Russia, and the polarized political environment of the 2024 U.S. presidential election; (4) the impacts of artificial intelligence, machine learning and other technological advances, including potentially increasing the risks of malicious cyber attacks, dissemination of misinformation, and disruption of markets; (5) the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (6) public health crises, including pandemics and endemics, and the governmental and private actions taken in response to such events; (7) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in the financial condition of banking institutions in the U.S. and the possibility that increasing participation of unregulated financial institutions in these markets results in losses or lower valuations of assets, reduced liquidity and credit and/or contraction of these markets, that adversely affect repayment rates of insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, or investments of Assured Guaranty; (8) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (9) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or liquidity claims on obligations of state, territorial and local governments and their related authorities and public corporations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (10) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including as a result of the final resolution of Assured Guaranty’s Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority exposure or the amounts recovered on securities received in connection with the resolution of Puerto Rico exposures already resolved; (11) the impact of Assured Guaranty satisfying its obligations under insurance policies with respect to legacy insured Puerto Rico bonds; (12) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry, nonpayment insurance and other forms of capital saving or risk syndication available to banks and insurers; (13) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity, or to other negative or unanticipated consequences; (14) the impacts of Assured Guaranty’s transactions with Sound Point Capital Management, LP (Sound Point, LP) and certain of its investment management affiliates (together with Sound Point, LP, Sound Point) and/or Assured Healthcare Partners LLC (AHP) on Assured Guaranty and its relationships with its shareholders, regulators, rating agencies, employees and the obligors it insures and on the asset management business contributed to Sound Point, LP and on the business of AHP and their relationships with their respective clients and employees; (15) the possibility that strategic transactions made by Assured Guaranty, including the consummation of the transactions with Sound Point and/or AHP, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (16) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which Assured Guaranty holds a minority interest; (17) the impact of market volatility on the fair value of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, contracts accounted for as derivatives, its committed capital securities, its consolidated investment vehicles and certain consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (18) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (19) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (20) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (21) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, or other governmental actions; (22) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (23) loss of key personnel; (24) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (25) natural or man-made catastrophes; (26) the impact of climate change on Assured Guaranty’s business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (27) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (28) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (29) management’s response to these factors. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of May 7, 2024, and Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.
17

































Contact Information

Robert Tucker
Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
212-339-0861
rtucker@agltd.com

Ashweeta Durani
Director, Media Relations
212-408-6042
adurani@agltd.com


18
EX-99.2 3 agl1q24supplement.htm AGL FINANCIAL SUPPLEMENT Document

agllogoa08a.jpg
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
March 31, 2024
Financial Supplement
Table of Contents Page

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) with the United States (U.S.) Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2024.





Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward Looking Statements


Any forward looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession or stagflation; (2) geopolitical risk, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and risk of intentional or accidental escalation between The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and Russia, conflict in the Middle East, confrontation over Iran’s nuclear program, United States (U.S.) – China strategic competition and pursuit of technological independence; (3) global terrorism risk with threats increasing from conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine/Russia, and the polarized political environment of the 2024 U.S. presidential election; (4) the impacts of artificial intelligence, machine learning and other technological advances, including potentially increasing the risks of malicious cyber attacks, dissemination of misinformation, and disruption of markets; (5) the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (6) public health crises, including pandemics and endemics, and the governmental and private actions taken in response to such events; (7) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in the financial condition of banking institutions in the U.S. and the possibility that increasing participation of unregulated financial institutions in these markets results in losses or lower valuations of assets, reduced liquidity and credit and/or contraction of these markets, that adversely affect repayment rates of insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, or investments of Assured Guaranty; (8) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (9) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or liquidity claims on obligations of state, territorial and local governments and their related authorities and public corporations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (10) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including as a result of the final resolution of Assured Guaranty’s Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority exposure or the amounts recovered on securities received in connection with the resolution of Puerto Rico exposures already resolved; (11) the impact of Assured Guaranty satisfying its obligations under insurance policies with respect to legacy insured Puerto Rico bonds; (12) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry, nonpayment insurance and other forms of capital saving or risk syndication available to banks and insurers; (13) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity, or to other negative or unanticipated consequences; (14) the impacts of Assured Guaranty’s transactions with Sound Point Capital Management, LP (Sound Point, LP) and certain of its investment management affiliates (together with Sound Point, LP, Sound Point) and/or Assured Healthcare Partners LLC (AHP) on Assured Guaranty and its relationships with its shareholders, regulators, rating agencies, employees and the obligors it insures and on the asset management business contributed to Sound Point, LP and on the business of AHP and their relationships with their respective clients and employees; (15) the possibility that strategic transactions made by Assured Guaranty, including the consummation of the transactions with Sound Point and/or AHP, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (16) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which Assured Guaranty holds a minority interest; (17) the impact of market volatility on the fair value of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, contracts accounted for as derivatives, its committed capital securities, its consolidated investment vehicles and certain consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (18) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (19) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (20) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (21) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, or other governmental actions; (22) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (23) loss of key personnel; (24) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (25) natural or man-made catastrophes; (26) the impact of climate change on Assured Guaranty’s business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (27) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (28) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (29) management’s response to these factors. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
GAAP (1) Highlights
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 109  $ 81 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $ 1.89  $ 1.34 
Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic shares outstanding 55.6  59.1 
Diluted shares outstanding
57.1  60.4 
Effective tax rate on net income 21.4  % 19.1  %
GAAP return on equity (ROE) (4)
7.7  % 6.3  %
Non-GAAP Highlights (2)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 113  $ 68 
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share $ 1.96  $ 1.12 
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding 57.1  60.4 
Effective tax rate on adjusted operating income (3)
20.9  % 20.3  %
Adjusted operating ROE (4)
7.6  % 4.9  %
Components of adjusted operating income (loss) (2)
Insurance segment $ 149  $ 117 
Asset Management segment (1)
Corporate division (37) (44)
Other (6)
—  (4)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 113  $ 68 
Insurance Segment
Gross written premiums (GWP) $ 61  $ 86 
Present value of new business production (PVP) (2)
63  112 
Gross par written 3,743  5,363 
Effect of refundings and terminations on GAAP measures:
Net earned premiums, pre-tax $ 39  $
Net income effect 30 
Net income per diluted share 0.52  0.06 
Effect of refundings and terminations on non-GAAP measures:
Operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues(5), pre-tax
$ 39  $
Adjusted operating income(5) effect
30 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share (5)
0.52  0.06 

1)    Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).
2)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
3)    Represents the ratio of adjusted operating provision for income taxes to adjusted operating income before income taxes.
4)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns. See page 6 for additional information on calculation.
5)    Condensed consolidated statement of operations items mentioned in this Financial Supplement that are described as operating (i.e. operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues) are non-GAAP measures and represent components of adjusted operating income. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
6)    Represents the effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities (FG VIEs) and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs) (FG VIE and CIV consolidation).

1


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
As of
March 31, 2024 December 31, 2023
Amount Per Share Amount Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,629  $ 102.19  $ 5,713  $ 101.63 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (1)
5,932  107.69  5,990  106.54 
Adjusted book value (1)
8,665  157.31  8,765  155.92 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 0.06  0.07 
Adjusted book value (3) (0.05) —  — 
Shares outstanding at the end of period 55.1  56.2 
Exposure
Financial guaranty net debt service outstanding $ 394,849  $ 397,636 
Financial guaranty net par outstanding:
Investment grade $ 242,951  $ 243,716 
Below-investment-grade (BIG) 5,193  5,437 
Total $ 248,144  $ 249,153 
Claims-paying resources (2)
$ 10,533  $ 10,665 

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
2)    See page 16 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.


2


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 119  $ 81 
Net investment income 84  81 
Asset management fees —  26 
Net realized investment gains (losses) (2)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 10  15 
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS) (10) (16)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (3) (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs 22  58 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement (12) 20 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities 26  (2)
Other income (loss) 27 
Total revenues 245  283 
Expenses
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) (benefit) (1)
Interest expense 23  21 
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs (DAC)
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 58  82 
Other operating expenses 39  55 
Total expenses 125  165 
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees 120  118 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 24 
Income (loss) before income taxes 144  120 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 31  23 
Net income (loss) 113  97 
Less: Noncontrolling interests 16 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 109  $ 81 
Earnings per share:
Basic $ 1.94  $ 1.37 
Diluted $ 1.89  $ 1.34 

3


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(dollars in millions)

As of
March 31, December 31,
2024 2023
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value $ 6,091  $ 6,307 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value 272  318 
Short-term investments, at fair value 1,649  1,661 
Other invested assets 875  829 
Total investments 8,887  9,115 
Cash 115  97 
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable 1,450  1,468 
DAC 164  161 
Salvage and subrogation recoverable 295  298 
FG VIEs’ assets 167  328 
Assets of CIVs 377  366 
Other assets 713  706 
Total assets $ 12,168  $ 12,539 
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve $ 3,612  $ 3,658 
Loss and LAE reserve 307  376 
Long-term debt 1,695  1,694 
Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value 43  53 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value 399  554 
Other liabilities 430  439 
Total liabilities 6,486  6,774 
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares
Retained earnings 6,014  6,070 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (387) (359)
Deferred equity compensation
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL 5,629  5,713 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests 53  52 
Total shareholders’ equity 5,682  5,765 
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 12,168  $ 12,539 



4


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Adjusted Operating Income Reconciliation Three Months Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 109  $ 81 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (2)
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 10  13 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS
(10) (16)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves (12) 20 
Total pre-tax adjustments (4) 15 
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments —  (2)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 113  $ 68 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income $ —  $ (4)
Components of adjusted operating income:
Segments:
Insurance $ 149  117 
Asset Management (1)
Total segments 150  116 
Corporate division (37) (44)
Other —  (4)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 113  $ 68 
Per diluted share:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 1.89  $ 1.34 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments 0.14  (0.03)
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 0.16  0.21 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (0.17) (0.26)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves
(0.20) 0.32 
Total pre-tax adjustments (0.07) 0.24 
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments —  (0.02)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 1.96  $ 1.12 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income $ —  $ (0.06)



Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
5


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

ROE Reconciliation and Calculation As of
March 31, December 31, March 31, December 31,
2024 2023 2023 2022
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,629  $ 5,713  $ 5,220  $ 5,064 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 5,932  5,990  5,606  5,543 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity 13  17 
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 109  $ 81 
Adjusted operating income (loss) 113  68 
Average shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,671  $ 5,142 
Average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 5,961  5,575 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 15 
GAAP ROE (1)
7.7  % 6.3  %
Adjusted operating ROE (1)
7.6  % 4.9  %

1)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

6


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

As of
March 31, December 31, March 31, December 31,
2024 2023 2023 2022
Reconciliation of shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL to adjusted book value:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,629  $ 5,713  $ 5,220  $ 5,064 
Less pre-tax reconciling items:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 44  34  (59) (71)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 13  32  47 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (393) (361) (413) (523)
Less taxes 43  37  54  68 
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity 5,932  5,990  5,606  5,543 
Pre-tax reconciling items:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 164  161  151  147 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 191  199  196  157 
Plus: Net deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 3,393  3,436  3,436  3,428 
Plus taxes (687) (699) (609) (602)
Adjusted book value $ 8,665  $ 8,765  $ 8,478  $ 8,379 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(1), $(1) $(4), and $(4)) $ $ $ 13  $ 17 
Adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $1, $0, $(3), and $(3)) $ (3) $ —  $ $ 11 

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.


7


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (1 of 2)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2024

Segments Corporate and Other
Insurance Asset Management Corporate
Other (1)
Reconciling Items Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 120  $ —  $ —  $ (1) $ —  $ 119 
Net investment income 83  —  (2) —  84 
Asset management fees —  —  —  —  —  — 
Net realized investment gains (losses) —  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
—  —  —  10 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS —  —  —  —  (10) (10)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  —  —  (3) —  (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  —  —  22  —  22 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement —  —  —  —  (12) (12)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities 26  —  —  —  —  26 
Other income (loss) (2) —  — 
Total revenues 229  16  (6) 245 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
—  —  (3) (2) (1)
Interest expense —  —  25  (2) —  23 
Amortization of DAC —  —  —  — 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 48  —  10  —  —  58 
Other operating expenses 27  —  12  —  —  39 
Total expenses 85  —  47  (5) (2) 125 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 40  —  (17) —  24 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 35  (5) —  —  31 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  — 
Total $ 149  $ $ (37) $ —  $ (4) $ 109 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).

8


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (2 of 2)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023

Segments Corporate and Other
Insurance Asset Management Corporate
Other (1)
Reconciling Items Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 82  $ —  $ —  $ (1) $ —  $ 81 
Net investment income 82  —  (3) —  81 
Asset management fees —  37  —  (11) —  26 
Net realized investment gains (losses) —  —  —  —  (2) (2)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
—  —  —  13  15 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS —  —  —  —  (16) (16)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  —  —  (5) —  (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  —  —  58  —  58 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement —  —  (1) 20  20 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (2) —  —  —  —  (2)
Other income (loss) 25  —  (2) —  27 
Total revenues 190  41  35  15  283 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
—  —  (5) — 
Interest expense —  —  23  (2) —  21 
Amortization of DAC —  —  —  — 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 39  34  —  —  82 
Other operating expenses 28  16  —  55 
Total expenses 79  42  48  (4) —  165 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 30  —  —  (28) — 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 24  —  (2) (1) 23 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  16  —  16 
Total $ 117  $ (1) $ (44) $ (4) $ 13  $ 81 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).
9


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)
Amortized Cost Allowance for Credit Losses Pre-Tax Book Yield After-Tax Book Yield Fair Value
Annualized Investment Income (1)
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale:
Obligations of states and political subdivisions(3)(6)
$ 2,418  $ (14) 3.53  % 3.15  % $ 2,331  $ 85 
U.S. government and agencies 60  —  2.21  1.80  55 
Corporate securities 2,307  (6) 3.09  2.60  2,101  71 
Mortgage-backed securities:
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) (2)(3)
490  (22) 5.04  4.03  402  25 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities 202  —  3.79  3.03  196 
Asset-backed securities (ABS)
Collateralized loan obligation (CLOs) 442  —  7.64  6.04  439  34 
Other ABS (3)
535  (25) 3.96  3.18  483  21 
Non-U.S. government securities 99  —  1.12  1.10  84 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale 6,553  (67) 3.76  3.17  6,091  246 
Short-term investments 1,649  —  5.07  4.08  1,649  84 
Cash (4)
115  —  —  —  115  — 
Total $ 8,317  $ (67) 4.02  % 3.36  % $ 7,855  $ 330 
Fixed maturity securities, trading (6)
$ 272 
Ratings (5):
Fair Value % of Portfolio
U.S. government and agencies $ 55  0.9  %
AAA/Aaa 845  13.9 
AA/Aa 2,292  37.6 
A/A 1,589  26.1 
BBB 729  12.0 
BIG
503  8.2 
Not rated 78  1.3 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 6,091  100.0  %
Duration of available-for-sale fixed maturity securities and short-term investments (in years): 3.1




1)    Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.
2)    Includes fair value of $134 million in subprime RMBS, of which 91% were rated BIG.
3)    Includes securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies.
4)    Cash is not included in the yield calculation.
5)    Ratings are the lower of the Moody’s Ratings or S&P Global Ratings Services classifications except for purchased securities that the Company has insured, and for which it had expected losses to be paid (Loss Mitigation Securities) and certain other securities, which use internal ratings classifications. Loss mitigation and other securities total $840 million in par with carrying value of $560 million and are primarily included in the BIG category.
6)    Represents contingent value instruments (CVI) received in connection with the 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions (see page 29). These securities are not rated.
10


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs
GAAP (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of March 31, 2024

Insurance Related Subsidiaries (1)
Holding Companies (2)
Other (3)
AGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 6,071  $ 20  $ —  $ 6,091 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading 272  —  —  272 
Total fixed-maturity securities 6,343  20  —  6,363 
Short-term investments 1,370  278  1,649 
Cash 66  40  115 
Total short-term investments and cash 1,436  287  41  1,764 
Other invested assets
Equity method investments:
Sound Point —  417  —  417 
Funds:
CLOs 317  —  (233) 84 
Healthcare 137  —  —  137 
Asset-based/specialty finance 175  —  (80) 95 
Middle market direct lending —  — 
Other 123  —  —  123 
Total funds 760  —  (313) 447 
Other —  — 
Total equity method investments 760  421  (313) 868 
Other — 
Other invested assets 764  424  (313) 875 
Total investment portfolio and cash(4)
$ 8,543  $ 731  $ (272) $ 9,002 
CIVs
Assets of CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 377  $ 377 
Liabilities of CIVs —  —  (3) (3)
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests —  —  (53) (53)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 321  $ 321 

1)    Includes the Company’s U.S., Bermuda, U.K. and French insurance subsidiaries and AG Asset Strategies LLC (separate company, excluding the effect of consolidating CIVs).
2)    Includes the Company’s holding companies: AGL, Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc.
3)    Includes the Company’s non insurance subsidiaries, non-U.S. holding companies and CIVs and related intercompany eliminations.
4)    The alternative investments had an inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return (IRR) of 13.3% and the quarter-to-date return of 4.4%. For funds, the returns represent IRR based on mark-to-market gains (losses). The inception-to-date IRRs are annualized; the quarterly and year-to-date returns are not annualized.


11


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs
GAAP (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of December 31, 2023

Insurance Related Subsidiaries (1)
Holding Companies (2)
Other (3)
AGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 6,286  $ 21  $ —  $ 6,307 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading 318  —  —  318 
Total fixed-maturity securities 6,604  21  —  6,625 
Short-term investments 1,328  332  1,661 
Cash 52  38  97 
Total short-term investments and cash 1,380  339  39  1,758 
Other invested assets
Equity method investments:
Sound Point —  429  —  429 
Funds:
CLOs 302  —  (223) 79 
Healthcare 102  —  —  102 
Asset-based/specialty finance 166  —  (82) 84 
Middle market direct lending —  — 
Other 117  —  —  117 
Total funds 692  —  (305) 387 
Other —  — 
Total equity method investments 692  436  (305) 823 
Other — 
Other invested assets 695  439  (305) 829 
Total investment portfolio and cash(4)
$ 8,679  $ 799  $ (266) $ 9,212 
CIVs
Assets of CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 366  $ 366 
Liabilities of CIVs —  —  (4) (4)
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests —  —  (52) (52)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 310  $ 310 

1)    Includes the Company’s U.S., Bermuda, U.K. and French insurance subsidiaries and AG Asset Strategies LLC (separate company, excluding the effect of consolidating CIVs).
2)    Includes the Company’s holding companies: AGL, Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc.
3)    Includes the Company’s non insurance subsidiaries, non-U.S. holding companies and CIVs and related intercompany eliminations.
4)    The alternative investments had an inception-to-date annualized IRR of 12.8%, the year-to-date return of 13.8% and the quarter-to-date return of 3.4%.

12


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs
Segment
(dollars in millions)

Income from Investment Portfolio and Fair Value Gains (Losses) on CIVs on a Segment basis

Three Months Ended March 31, 2024
Insurance Asset Management Corporate Other Total
Net investment income $ 83  $ —  $ $ (2) $ 84 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities $ 26  $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 26 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
Sound Point $ —  $ $ —  $ —  $
Funds:
CLOs 20  —  —  (15)
Healthcare —  —  — 
Asset-based/specialty finance —  —  (2)
Middle market direct lending —  —  — 
Other —  —  — 
Total funds (1)
40  —  —  (17) 23 
Other —  (3) —  —  (3)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees $ 40  $ $ —  $ (17) $ 24 
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 22  $ 22 
Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  (4) (4)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 18  $ 18 


Three Months Ended March 31, 2023
Insurance Asset Management Corporate Other Total
Net investment income $ 82  $ —  $ $ (3) $ 81 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities $ (2) $ —  $ —  $ —  (2)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
CLOs $ 19  $ —  $ —  $ (19) $ — 
Healthcare —  —  (8) — 
Asset-based —  —  (1) — 
Other —  —  — 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees $ 30  $ —  $ —  $ (28) $
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 58  $ 58 
Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  (16) (16)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 42  $ 42 

1)    Relates to funds managed by Sound Point and AHP, and certain other managers, as well as, prior to July 1, 2023, AssuredIM. Investments in funds are reported on a one-quarter lag.

13
























Insurance Segment
14


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Insurance Segment Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues $ 122  $ 84 
Net investment income 83  82 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities 26  (2)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss) (2) 26 
Total segment revenues 229  190 
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit)
Amortization of DAC
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 48  39 
Other operating expenses 27  28 
Total segment expenses 85  79 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 40  30 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes 184  141 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 35  24 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) $ 149  $ 117 

15


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Claims-Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)
As of March 31, 2024
AGM AGC
AG Re(6)
Eliminations(2)
Consolidated
Claims-paying resources
Policyholders’ surplus $ 2,665  $ 1,638  $ 732  $ (228) $ 4,807 
Contingency reserve 892  420  —  —  1,312 
Qualified statutory capital 3,557  2,058  732  (228) 6,119 
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income(1)
2,036  349  586  (62) 2,909 
Loss and LAE reserves (1)(7)
—  10  129  —  139 
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves 5,593  2,417  1,447  (290) 9,167 
Present value of installment premium
488  236  242  —  966 
CCS 200  200  —  —  400 
Total claims-paying resources $ 6,281  $ 2,853  $ 1,689  $ (290) $ 10,533 
Statutory net exposure (1)(3)
$ 160,856  $ 29,041  $ 61,136  $ (894) $ 250,139 
Net debt service outstanding (1)(3)
$ 258,785  $ 47,077  $ 92,856  $ (1,740) $ 396,978 
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital 45:1 14:1 84:1 41:1
Capital ratio (4)
73:1 23:1 127:1 65:1
Financial resources ratio (5)
41:1 17:1 55:1 38:1
Statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources 26:1 10:1 36:1 24:1

1)    The numbers shown for Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM) have been adjusted to include 100% share of its United Kingdom (U.K.) and French insurance subsidiaries.
2)    Eliminations are primarily for (i) intercompany surplus notes between AGM and Assured Guaranty Corp. (AGC), and (ii) eliminations of intercompany deferred ceding commissions. Net exposure and net debt service outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.
3)    Net exposure and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Includes $3,268 million of specialty business.
4)    The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
5)    The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims-paying resources.
6)    Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG Re) numbers represent the Company's estimate of AG Re on a U.S. statutory-basis, except for contingency reserves.
7)    Loss and LAE reserves exclude adjustments to claims-paying resources for AGM because the balance was in a net recoverable position of $32 million.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding.

16


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP

Three Months Ended Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024 March 31, 2023
Public Finance Structured Finance Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Non - U.S.
U.S.
Non - U.S. Total U.S. Non - U.S. U.S. Non - U.S. Total
Total GWP $ 44  $ $ 13  $ $ 61  $ 22  $ 36  $ 28  $ —  $ 86 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
12  12  28  33  28  —  69 
Upfront GWP 32  —  —  33  14  —  —  17 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
11  14  30  27  27  33  95 
Total PVP $ 43  $ $ 15  $ $ 63  $ 22  $ 30  $ 27  $ 33  $ 112 
Gross par written $ 2,909  $ —  $ 480  $ 354  $ 3,743  $ 2,907  $ 360  $ 582  $ 1,514  $ 5,363 

(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. First quarter 2023 also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

17


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Gross Par Written
(dollars in millions)

Gross Par Written by Asset Type

Three Months Ended March 31,
2024 2023
Sector:
U.S. public finance
General obligation $ 1,162  $ 1,410 
Transportation 642  36 
Tax backed 571  103 
Municipal utilities 418  765 
Healthcare 116  388 
Higher education —  205 
Total U.S. public finance 2,909  2,907 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Sovereign and sub-sovereign —  253
Regulated utilities —  107 
Total non-U.S. public finance —  360 
Total public finance 2,909  3,267 
U.S. structured finance:
Insurance securitizations 250  500 
Subscription finance facilities 151  32 
Pooled corporate obligations 43  — 
Structured credit —  50 
Other structured finance 36  — 
Total U.S. structured finance 480  582 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Subscription finance facilities 354  95 
Other structured finance —  1,419 
Total non-U.S. structured finance 354  1,514 
Total structured finance 834  2,096 
Total gross par written $ 3,743  $ 5,363 





Please refer to the Glossary for a description of sectors.



18


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production by Quarter
(dollars in millions)

1Q-23 2Q-23 3Q-23 4Q-23 1Q-24
PVP:
Public finance - U.S. $ 22  $ 77  $ 30  $ 83  $ 43 
Public finance - non-U.S. 30  45 
Structured finance - U.S. 27  12  26  15 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 33 
Total PVP (1)
$ 112  $ 91  $ 46  $ 155  $ 63 
Reconciliation of GWP to PVP:
Total GWP $ 86  $ 95  $ 40  $ 136  $ 61 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments 69  58  17  103  28 
Upfront GWP 17  37  23  33  33 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
95  54  23  122  30 
Total PVP $ 112  $ 91  $ 46  $ 155  $ 63 
Gross par written:
Public finance - U.S. 2,907  $ 7,747  $ 5,098  $ 6,712  $ 2,909 
Public finance - non-U.S. 360  249  61  874  — 
Structured finance - U.S. 582  252  267  785  480 
Structured finance - non-U.S. (1)
1,514  726  522  304  354 
Total $ 5,363  $ 8,974  $ 5,948  $ 8,675  $ 3,743 


1)    PVP and gross par written include the present value (PV) of future premiums and total exposure, respectively, associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under ASC 460, Guarantees.
2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. First quarter 2023 also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.


Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

19


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization(1) and Estimated Future Financial Guaranty Net Premium
and Credit Derivative Revenues
(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance (2)
Estimated Net Debt Service Amortization Estimated Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding Expected PV Net Earned Premiums (i.e. Net Deferred Premium Revenue) Accretion of Discount Effect of FG VIE Consolidation on Expected PV Net Earned Premiums and Accretion of Discount
Future Credit Derivative Revenues (3)
2024 (as of March 31) $ 394,849 
2024 2Q $ 4,132  390,717  $ 71  $ $ $
2024 3Q 6,746  383,971  71 
2024 4Q 5,074  378,897  70 
2025 21,960  356,937  266  27 
2026 20,899  336,038  249  25 
2027 18,835  317,203  234  24 
2028 19,405  297,798  222  22 
2024-2028 97,051  297,798  1,183  119  12  37 
2029-2033 90,914  206,884  913  91  11  29 
2034-2038 70,730  136,154  603  63  23 
2039-2043 50,560  85,594  378  42  —  14 
After 2043 85,594  —  520  54  — 
Total $ 394,849  $ 3,597  $ 369  $ 32  $ 111 

Reconciliation of Net Deferred Premium Revenue to Net Unearned Premium Reserve(4)

GAAP Effect of FG VIE Consolidation on Net Unearned Premium Reserve
Net deferred premium revenue:
Financial guaranty $ 3,597  $ 31 
Specialty — 
Net deferred premium revenue 3,604  31 
Contra-paid (22) (3)
Net unearned premium reserve $ 3,582  $ 28 


1)    Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of March 31, 2024. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations, terminations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization.
2)    See also page 23, for ‘‘Net Expected Loss to be Expensed.’’
3)     Represents expected future premiums on insured credit derivatives.
4)    Unearned premium reserve represents deferred premium revenue less claim payments made (net of recoveries received) that have been recognized in the statement of operations (contra-paid).






20


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid
(dollars in millions)

Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (1) for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2024

Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of December 31, 2023 Net Economic Loss Development (Benefit) During 1Q-24 Net (Paid) Recovered Losses
During 1Q-24
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of March 31, 2024
Public Finance:
U.S. public finance $ 398  $ (3) $ (17) $ 378 
Non-U.S public finance 20  —  —  20 
Public Finance 418  (3) (17) 398 
Structured Finance:
U.S. RMBS 43  (3) (42) (2)
Other structured finance 44  (1) (6) 37 
Structured Finance 87  (4) (48) 35 
Total $ 505  $ (7) $ (65) $ 433 


1)    Includes net expected loss to be paid (recovered), economic loss development (benefit) and (paid) recovered losses for all contracts (i.e. those accounted for as insurance, credit derivatives and FG VIEs).
21


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Loss Measures
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2024
 Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG Transactions
GAAP Loss and LAE (1)
Loss and LAE included in Adjusted Operating Income (2)
Insurance Segment
 Loss and
LAE (3)
Public finance:
U.S. public finance $ 3,119  $ (2) $ (2) $
Non-U.S public finance 1,105  —  —  — 
Public finance 4,224  (2) (2)
Structured finance:
U.S. RMBS 878 
Other structured finance 91  (1)
Structured finance 969 
Total $ 5,193  $ (1) $ $

1)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts.
2)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts and credit derivatives.
3)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts, credit derivatives, and consolidated FG VIEs.




Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.

22


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Net Expected Loss to be Expensed (1)
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)

GAAP
2024 (as of March 31)
2024 2Q $
2024 3Q
2024 4Q
2025 12 
2026 15 
2027 16 
2028 14 
2024-2028 67 
2029-2033 67 
2034-2038 47 
2039-2043 11 
After 2043 11 
Total expected present value of net expected loss to be expensed(2)
203 
Future accretion (18)
Total expected future loss and LAE $ 185 

1)    The present value of net expected loss to be paid is discounted using risk free rates ranging from 4.14% to 5.33% for U.S. dollar denominated obligations.
2)     Excludes $24 million related to FG VIEs, which are eliminated in consolidation.


23


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by Asset Type
As of March 31, 2024 As of December 31, 2023
U.S. public finance:
General obligation $ 74,884  $ 74,609 
Tax backed 32,866  33,060 
Municipal utilities 28,657  29,300 
Transportation 22,393  22,052 
Healthcare 12,532  12,604 
Infrastructure finance 8,737  8,796 
Higher education 7,225  7,250 
Housing revenue 1,152  1,152 
Investor-owned utilities 328  329 
Renewable energy 167  167 
Other public finance 954  970 
Total U.S. public finance 189,895  190,289 
Non-U.S public finance:
Regulated utilities 20,427  20,545 
Infrastructure finance 15,028  15,430 
Sovereign and sub-sovereign 9,658  9,869 
Renewable energy 2,005  2,030 
Pooled infrastructure 1,119  1,133 
Total non-U.S. public finance 48,237  49,007 
Total public finance 238,132  239,296 
U.S. structured finance:
Insurance securitizations 4,557  4,379 
RMBS 1,684  1,774 
Pooled corporate obligations 565  631 
Financial products 469  464 
Consumer receivables 287  314 
Subscription finance facilities 225  178 
Other structured finance 856  892 
Total U.S. structured finance 8,643  8,632 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Subscription finance facilities 612  444 
Pooled corporate obligations 412  425 
RMBS 242  252 
Other structured finance 103  104 
Total non-U.S. structured finance 1,369  1,225 
Total structured finance 10,012  9,857 
Total net par outstanding $ 248,144  $ 249,153 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and various sectors.


24


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Public Finance - U.S.      Public Finance - Non-U.S. Structured Finance - U.S. Structured Finance - Non-U.S. Total
Ratings: Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding %
AAA $ 27  —  % $ 2,058  4.3  % $ 762  8.8  % $ 454  33.2  % $ 3,301  1.3  %
AA 17,872  9.5  3,336  6.9  5,591  64.7  84  6.1  26,883  10.8 
A 103,551  54.5  12,740  26.4  816  9.5  738  53.9  117,845  47.5 
BBB 65,326  34.4  28,998  60.1  505  5.8  93  6.8  94,922  38.3 
BIG 3,119  1.6  1,105  2.3  969  11.2  —  —  5,193  2.1 
Net Par Outstanding (1)
$ 189,895  100.0  % $ 48,237  100.0  % $ 8,643  100.0  % $ 1,369  100.0  % $ 248,144  100.0  %

1)    As of March 31, 2024, the Company excluded $1.2 billion of net par outstanding attributable to Loss Mitigation Securities.


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.




25


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)


Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Net Par Outstanding % of Total
U.S.:
U.S. public finance:
California $ 36,291  14.6  %
Texas 23,268  9.4 
New York 17,489  7.0 
Pennsylvania 16,964  6.8 
Illinois 12,873  5.2 
Florida 8,916  3.6 
New Jersey 8,805  3.5 
Michigan 5,660  2.3 
Louisiana 4,699  1.9 
Georgia 3,381  1.4 
Other 51,549  20.8 
Total U.S. public finance 189,895  76.5 
U.S. structured finance (multiple states) 8,643  3.5 
Total U.S. 198,538  80.0 
Non-U.S.:
United Kingdom 38,883  15.7 
Canada 1,648  0.7 
Spain 1,608  0.6 
France 1,544  0.6 
Australia 1,455  0.6 
Other 4,468  1.8 
Total non-U.S. 49,606  20.0 
Total net par outstanding $ 248,144  100.0  %

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.


26


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Specialty Business
(dollars in millions)


As of March 31, 2024 As of December 31, 2023
Gross Exposure (2)
Net Exposure (2)
Gross Exposure (2)
Net Exposure (2)
Insurance securitizations (1)
$ 1,398  $ 1,067  $ 1,370  $ 1,043 
Aircraft residual value insurance 355  200  355  200 
Other guaranties 2,001  2,001  2,057  2,057 


1)    Insurance securitizations exposure is projected to reach $1.5 billion gross in 2025 and $1.2 billion net in 2026.
2)    All exposures are rated investment-grade, except gross exposure of $144 million and net exposure of $84 million of aircraft residual value insurance as of both March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023.



27


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding
(dollars in millions)


Public Finance Structured Finance
Estimated Net Par Amortization Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding U.S. and Non-U.S. Pooled Corporate U.S. RMBS Financial Products Other Structured Finance Total Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding
2024 (as of March 31) $ 238,132  $ 10,012 
2024 2Q $ 1,467  236,665  $ $ 62  $ $ 30  $ 103  9,909 
2024 3Q 3,947  232,718  63  (4) 101  166  9,743 
2024 4Q 2,084  230,634  64  (7) 328  392  9,351 
2025 10,956  219,678  119  224  31  540  914  8,437 
2026 10,515  209,163  222  199  39  362  822  7,615 
2027 8,999  200,164  255  192  (9) 310  748  6,867 
2028 10,005  190,159  199  163  53  331  746  6,121 
2024-2028 47,973  190,159  817  967  105  2,002  3,891  6,121 
2029-2033 50,897  139,262  116  356  280  2,814  3,566  2,555 
2034-2038 43,892  95,370  44  354  68  739  1,205  1,350 
2039-2043 32,560  62,810  —  —  16  762  778  572 
After 2043 62,810  —  —  —  565  572  — 
Total $ 238,132  $ 977  $ 1,684  $ 469  $ 6,882  $ 10,012 


Net par outstanding (end of period)
1Q-23 2Q-23 3Q-23 4Q-23 1Q-24
Public finance - U.S. $ 180,837  $ 186,323  $ 185,973  $ 190,289  $ 189,895 
Public finance - non-U.S. 45,909  47,658  45,748  49,007  48,237 
Structured finance - U.S. 8,660  8,827  8,975  8,632  8,643 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 977  1,205  1,137  1,225  1,369 
Net par outstanding $ 236,383  $ 244,013  $ 241,833  $ 249,153  $ 248,144 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
28


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Puerto Rico Profile (1 of 2)
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)

Exposure to Puerto Rico
Par Outstanding Debt Service Outstanding
  Gross Net Gross Net
   Total $ 976  $ 961  $ 1,270  $ 1,252 


Exposure to Puerto Rico by Company
Net Par Outstanding
  AGM AGC AG Re
Eliminations (1)
Total Net Par Outstanding Gross Par Outstanding
Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) $ 377  $ 67  $ 180  $ —  $ 624  $ 633 
Total Defaulted 377  67  180  —  624  633 
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures (2)
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) (Transportation revenue) 12  130  74  (12) 204  204 
PRHTA (Highway revenue) 21  —  24  24 
Total Resolved 33  132  75  (12) 228  228 
Non-Defaulting Puerto Rico Exposures(3)
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency (MFA) 84  18  —  108  114 
Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority (PRASA) and University of Puerto Rico (U of PR) —  —  — 
Total Non-Defaulting 84  18  —  109  115 
Total exposure to Puerto Rico $ 494  $ 206  $ 273  $ (12) $ 961  $ 976 

1)    Net par outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.
2)    In 2022, the Company resolved its exposure to insured Puerto Rico credits experiencing payment default other than PREPA (2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions). In connection with the resolution of PRHTA exposures, the Company received cash, new bonds backed by toll revenues (Toll Bonds) and CVIs. In January 2024, $144 million of the remaining PRHTA net par was paid down. All of the Toll Bonds received from the PRHTA under the 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions for the insured PRHTA bonds have been sold or redeemed; therefore, the remaining amounts owed for such insured PRHTA bonds are payable in full by the Company’s insurance subsidiaries under their financial guaranty policies and are no longer dependent on the credit of the PRHTA.
3)    All debt service on these insured exposures have been paid to date without any insurance claim being made on the Company.



29


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Puerto Rico Profile (2 of 2)
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)

Amortization Schedule of Net Par Outstanding of Puerto Rico

  2024 (2Q) 2024 (3Q) 2024 (4Q) 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 - 2038 2039 - 2041 Total
Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures
PREPA $ —  $ 93  $ —  $ 68  $ 105  $ 105  $ 68  $ 39  $ 44  $ 75  $ 14  $ $ $ —  $ 624 
Total Defaulted —  93  —  68  105  105  68  39  44  75  14  —  624 
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures
PRHTA (Transportation revenue) —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  107  97  204 
PRHTA (Highway revenue) —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  16  —  24 
Total Resolved —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  123  97  228 
Non-Defaulting Puerto Rico Exposures
MFA —  16  —  16  35  15  13  —  —  —  —  —  108 
PRASA and U of PR —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  — 
Total Non-Defaulting —  17  —  16  35  15  13  —  —  —  —  —  109 
Total $ —  $ 110  $ —  $ 84  $ 140  $ 120  $ 81  $ 46  $ 50  $ 75  $ 19  $ $ 132  $ 97  $ 961 


Amortization Schedule of Net Debt Service Outstanding of Puerto Rico

  2024 (2Q) 2024 (3Q) 2024 (4Q) 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 - 2038 2039 - 2041 Total
Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures
PREPA $ $ 105  $ $ 92  $ 126  $ 122  $ 80  $ 47  $ 51  $ 81  $ 15  $ $ $ —  $ 739 
Total Defaulted 105  92  126  122  80  47  51  81  15  —  739 
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures
PRHTA (Transportation revenue) —  —  11  11  11  11  11  11  10  11  10  143  106  351 
PRHTA (Highway revenue) —  —  18  —  38 
Total Resolved —  —  12  12  12  12  13  12  11  17  15  161  106  389 
Non-Defaulting Puerto Rico Exposures
MFA —  19  —  20  39  17  14  —  —  —  —  —  123 
PRASA and U of PR —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  — 
Total Non-Defaulting —  20  —  20  39  17  14  —  —  —  —  —  124 
Total $ $ 131  $ $ 124  $ 177  $ 151  $ 106  $ 68  $ 69  $ 92  $ 32  $ 20  $ 170  $ 106  $ 1,252 
30


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings
Net Par Outstanding % of Total Average Initial Credit Enhancement Average Current Credit Enhancement
Ratings:
AAA $ 695  71.1  % 41.2  % 49.2  %
AA 98  10.0  36.7  36.7 
A 156  16.0  55.6  52.2 
BBB 28  2.9  41.8  45.8 
Total exposures $ 977  100.0  % 43.1  % 48.3  %


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class
Net Par Outstanding % of Total Average Initial Credit Enhancement Average Current Credit Enhancement Number of Transactions
Asset class:
Trust preferred
Banks and insurance $ 223  22.8  % 42.6  % 66.1  % 7
U.S. mortgage and real estate investment trusts 78  8.0  47.3  64.0  3
CLOs 676  69.2  42.7  40.7  8
Total exposures $ 977  100.0  % 43.1  % 48.3  % 18


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of internal ratings, performance indicators and sectors.



31


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type
As of
March 31, December 31,
2024 2023
U.S. public finance:
Healthcare $ 1,079  $ 1,079 
Municipal utilities 914  914 
Tax backed 357  503 
General obligation 284  286 
Transportation 106  109 
Higher education 99  100 
Housing revenue 70  70 
Investor-owned utilities 47  47 
Infrastructure finance 45  45 
Other public finance 118  118 
Total U.S. public finance 3,119  3,271 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Infrastructure finance 797  815 
Renewable energy 265  271 
Sovereign and sub-sovereign 43  45 
Total non-U.S. public finance 1,105  1,131 
Total public finance 4,224  4,402 
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS 878  941 
Consumer receivables 50  52 
Insurance securitizations 40  40 
Other structured finance
Total U.S. structured finance 969  1,035 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Total non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total structured finance 969  1,035 
Total BIG net par outstanding $ 5,193  $ 5,437 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.


32


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)


Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category (1)
As of
March 31, December 31,
2024 2023
BIG Category 1
U.S. public finance $ 1,249  $ 1,257 
Non-U.S. public finance 1,105  1,131 
U.S. structured finance 17  22 
Non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total BIG Category 1 2,371  2,410 
BIG Category 2
U.S. public finance 926  926 
Non-U.S. public finance —  — 
U.S. structured finance 61  63 
Non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total BIG Category 2 987  989 
BIG Category 3
U.S. public finance 944  1,088 
Non-U.S. public finance —  — 
U.S. structured finance 891  950 
Non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total BIG Category 3 1,835  2,038 
BIG Total $ 5,193  $ 5,437 

1)    Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring the Company's portfolio of credits and maintains a list of BIG credits. BIG Category 1: Below-investment-grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make future losses possible, but for which none are currently expected. BIG Category 2: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims which are claims that the Company expects to be reimbursed within one year) have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.



33


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3)
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance and Structured Finance BIG Exposures with Revenue Sources Greater Than $50 Million
Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
60+ Day Delinquencies
Name or description
U.S. public finance:
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio $ 820  BB-
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority 624  CCC
OU Health (Medicine), Oklahoma 253  BB+
Puerto Rico Highways & Transportation Authority 228  CCC
Jackson Water & Sewer System, Mississippi 157  BB
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency 108  CCC
Stockton City, California 91  B
New Jersey City University 87  BB
Harrisburg Parking System, Pennsylvania 78  B
San Jacinto River Authority (GRP Project), Texas 59  BB+
Indiana University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania 56  CCC
Total U.S. public finance 2,561 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) Plc 529  B+
Q Energy - Phase III - FSL Issuer, S.A.U. 265  BB
Dartford & Gravesham NHS Trust The Hospital Company (Dartford) Plc 121  BB+
Road Management Services PLC (A13 Highway) 111  B+
Total non-U.S. public finance 1,026 
Total public finance 3,587 
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS:
Option One 2007-FXD2 104  CCC 15.4%
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HI1 97  CCC 21.6%
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W4 93  CCC 12.2%
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1 56  CCC 15.1%
New Century 2005-A 50  CCC 12.1%
Total RMBS-U.S. structured finance 400 
Total non-U.S. structured finance — 
Total structured finance 400 
Total $ 3,987 

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.
34


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 3)
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)
50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name: Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
New Jersey (State of) $ 2,549  BBB
Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of) 2,193  BBB+
Metro Washington Airports Authority (Dulles Toll Road) 1,640  BBB+
New York Power Authority 1,460  AA-
New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority 1,459  A-
Alameda Corridor Transportation Authority, California 1,359  BBB
North Texas Tollway Authority 1,309  A+
Lower Colorado River Authority 1,294  A
Foothill/Eastern Transportation Corridor Agency, California 1,259  BBB+
North Carolina Turnpike Authority 1,039  BBB
CommonSpirit Health, Illinois 1,000  A-
San Joaquin Hills Transportation, California 983  BBB
Yankee Stadium LLC New York City Industrial Development Authority 922  BBB
Illinois (State of) 909  BBB
Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia 902  BBB+
Philadelphia School District, Pennsylvania 891  A-
San Diego Family Housing, LLC 888  AA
Chicago Water, Illinois 864  BBB+
Montefiore Medical Center, New York 835  BBB-
Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority, Illinois 822  BBB-
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio 820  BB-
JFK New Terminal One, New York 800  BBB-
Dade County Seaport, Florida 795  A-
Houston Airport System, Texas 784  A
Pittsburgh Water & Sewer, Pennsylvania 766  A-
California (State of) 757  AA-
Great Lakes Water Authority (Sewerage), Michigan 748  A-
Chicago Public Schools, Illinois 746  BBB-
Wisconsin (State of) 742  A
Tucson (City of), Arizona 719  A+
South Carolina Public Service Authority - Santee Cooper 711  BBB
Nassau County, New York 709  AA-
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources 704  AA
Central Florida Expressway Authority, Florida 698  A+
Anaheim (City of), California 678  A-
New York (City of), New York 676  AA-
Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission 670  A-
Clark County School District, Nevada 669  A-
Philadelphia (City of), Pennsylvania 653  A-
New York Transportation Development Corporation (LaGuardia Airport Terminal Redevelopment Project) 638  BBB-
Chicago (City of) Wastewater Transmission, Illinois 632  BBB+
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority 624  CCC
Maine (State of) 621  A
Pittsburgh International Airport, Pennsylvania 617  A-
Private Transaction 598  BBB-
Mets Queens Ballpark 590  BBB
Chicago-O'Hare International Airport, Illinois 570  A-
Philadelphia Water & Wastewater, Pennsylvania 565  A
Palomar Health 558  BBB
Suffolk County, New York 547  BBB+
   Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures $ 44,982 
1) Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.

35


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 3)
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
Credit Name: Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
Private US Insurance Securitization $ 1,100  AA
Private US Insurance Securitization 1,100  AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization 946  AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization 400  AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization 399  AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization 386  AA-
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-A 152  AA
Private Middle Market CLO 129  AAA
Private US Insurance Securitization 124  AA
DB Master Finance LLC 104  BBB
Option One 2007-FXD2 103  CCC
CWABS 2007-4 101  BBB
Private Balloon Note Guarantee 100  A
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-Hl1 97  CCC
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W4 93  CCC
Private Middle Market CLO 75  A
CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance 63  BBB
Private Balloon Note Guarantee 60  BBB
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction 57  A-
Private Subscription Finance Transaction 57  A
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1 56  CCC
CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9 52  BBB+
New Century 2005-A 50  CCC
Private Balloon Note Guarantee 50  A
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction 48  A-
   Total top 25 U.S. structured finance exposures $ 5,902 

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
36


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 3)
As of March 31, 2024
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name: Country Net Par Outstanding Internal Rating
Southern Water Services Limited United Kingdom $ 2,392  BBB-
Thames Water Utilities Finance PLC United Kingdom 2,095  BBB
Southern Gas Networks PLC United Kingdom 2,054  BBB+
Dwr Cymru Financing Limited United Kingdom 1,822  A-
Anglian Water Services Financing PLC United Kingdom 1,723  A-
National Grid Gas PLC United Kingdom 1,624  A-
Quebec Province Canada 1,399  AA-
Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC France, United Kingdom 1,245  BBB
Yorkshire Water Services Finance Plc United Kingdom 1,079  BBB
British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) United Kingdom 1,017  A+
Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC United Kingdom 979  BBB-
Verbund, Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric Equipment Austria 926  AAA
Aspire Defence Finance plc United Kingdom 732  BBB+
National Grid Company PLC United Kingdom 725  BBB+
Verdun Participations 2 S.A.S. France 709  BBB-
Severn Trent Water Utilities Finance Plc United Kingdom 653  BBB+
Envestra Limited Australia 606  A-
Heathrow Funding Limited United Kingdom 595  BBB
Wessex Water Services Finance Plc United Kingdom 567  BBB+
United Utilities Water PLC United Kingdom 565  A-
Campania Region - Healthcare receivable Italy 563  BBB-
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction United Kingdom 550  A+
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) Plc United Kingdom 528  B+
University of Sussex United Kingdom 528  BBB
South East Water United Kingdom 520  BBB
NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLC United Kingdom 506  BBB+
South West Water UK United Kingdom 500  BBB+
North Staffordshire PFI, 32-year EIB Index-Linked Facility United Kingdom 488  BBB-
Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals PLC United Kingdom 486  BBB-
Derby Healthcare PLC United Kingdom 464  BBB
Sydney Airport Finance Company Australia 457  BBB+
The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) Limited United Kingdom 453  BBB
University of Essex, United Kingdom United Kingdom 398  BBB+
International Infrastructure Pool United Kingdom 373  AAA
International Infrastructure Pool United Kingdom 373  AAA
International Infrastructure Pool United Kingdom 373  AAA
South Lanarkshire Schools United Kingdom 357  BBB
Western Power Distribution (South West) PLC United Kingdom 337  BBB+
Sutton and East Surrey Water plc United Kingdom 327  BBB
Comision Federal De Electricidad (CFE) El Cajon Project Mexico 325  BBB-
Northumbrian Water PLC United Kingdom 319  BBB+
Catalyst Healthcare (Romford) Financing PLC United Kingdom 319  BBB
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction United Kingdom 314  A
Q Energy - Phase II - Pride Investments, S.A. Spain 291  BBB
Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency Japan 291  A+
Hypersol Solar Inversiones, S.A.U. Spain 285  BBB
Bakethin Finance Plc United Kingdom 284  A-
Western Power Distribution (South Wales) PLC United Kingdom 284  BBB+
Portsmouth Water, United Kingdom United Kingdom 280  BBB
Feria Muestrario Internacional de Valencia Spain 276  BBB-
Total top 50 non-U.S. exposures $ 35,356 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
37















Asset Management Segment

38


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Segment revenues $ $ 41 
Segment expenses —  42 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees — 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (1)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes — 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) $ $ (1)


39












Corporate Division

40


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Corporate Division Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
Total revenues $ $
Expenses
Interest expense 25  23 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 10 
Other operating expenses 12  16 
Total expenses 47  48 
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (42) (46)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes (5) (2)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (37) $ (44)

41













Other

42


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Other Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2024
FG VIEs CIVs Intersegment Eliminations and Reclassifications Total Other
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ (1) $ —  $ —  $ (1)
Net investment income —  —  (2) (2)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (3) —  —  (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  22  —  22 
Other income (loss) —  —  —  — 
Total revenues (4) 22  (2) 16 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit) (3) —  —  (3)
Interest expense —  —  (2) (2)
Total expenses (3) —  (2) (5)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  (17) —  (17)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (1) — 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes —  —  —  — 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  — 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (1) $ $ —  $ — 

Three Months Ended March 31, 2023
FG VIEs CIVs Intersegment Eliminations and Reclassifications Total Other
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ (1) $ —  $ —  $ (1)
Net investment income (1) —  (2) (3)
Asset management fees —  (14) (11)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (5) —  —  (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  58  —  58 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement —  (1) —  (1)
Other income (loss) —  (2) —  (2)
Total revenues (7) 41  35 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit) (5) —  —  (5)
Interest expense —  —  (2) (2)
Other operating expenses —  — 
Total expenses (5) —  (4)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  (28) —  (28)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (2) 13  —  11 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes —  (1) —  (1)
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  16  —  16 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (2) $ (2) $ —  $ (4)


43















Summary

44


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
As of and for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 Year Ended December 31,
2023 2022 2021 2020
GAAP Summary Statements of Operations Data
Net earned premiums $ 119  $ 344  $ 494  $ 414  $ 485 
Net investment income 84  365  269  269  297 
Total expenses 125  733  536  465  729 
Income (loss) before income taxes 144  640  187  383  386 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL 109  739  124  389  362 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share 1.89  12.30  1.92  5.23  4.19 
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data
Total investments and cash $ 9,002  $ 9,212  $ 8,472  $ 9,728  $ 10,000 
Total assets 12,168  12,539  16,843  18,208  15,334 
Unearned premium reserve 3,612  3,658  3,620  3,716  3,735 
Loss and LAE reserve 307  376  296  869  1,088 
Long-term debt 1,695  1,694  1,675  1,673  1,224 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL 5,629  5,713  5,064  6,292  6,643 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL per share 102.19  101.63  85.80  93.19  85.66 
Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) $ 394,849  $ 397,636  $ 369,951  $ 367,360  $ 366,233 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) 395,350  398,037  370,172  367,770  366,692 
Net par outstanding (end of period) 248,144  249,153  233,258  236,392  234,153 
Gross par outstanding (end of period) 248,626  249,535  233,438  236,765  234,571 
Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis)(1)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) $ 393,710  $ 396,448  $ 366,883  $ 362,013  $ 360,392 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) 394,211  396,849  367,103  362,423  360,852 
Net par outstanding (end of period) 246,871  247,833  230,294  231,742  229,008 
Gross par outstanding (end of period) 247,353  248,215  230,474  232,115  229,426 
Claims-paying resources(2)
Policyholders' surplus $ 4,807  $ 4,807  $ 5,155  $ 5,572  $ 5,077 
Contingency reserve 1,312  1,296  1,202  1,225  1,557 
Qualified statutory capital 6,119  6,103  6,357  6,797  6,634 
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income 2,909  2,955  2,941  2,972  2,983 
Loss and LAE reserves 139  145  165  167  202 
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves 9,167  9,203  9,463  9,936  9,819 
Present value of installment premium 966  1,062  955  883  858 
CCS and standby line of credit 400  400  400  400  400 
Total claims-paying resources $ 10,533  $ 10,665  $ 10,818  $ 11,219  $ 11,077 
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital 41  :1 41  :1 36  :1 34  :1 35  :1
Capital ratio 65  :1 66  :1 58  :1 53  :1 54  :1
Financial resources ratio 38  :1 37  :1 34  :1 32  :1 33  :1
Adjusted statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources 24  :1 24  :1 21  :1 21  :1 21  :1
Par and Debt Service Written (Financial Guaranty and Specialty)
Gross debt service written:
Public finance - U.S. $ 5,772  $ 41,902  $ 36,954  $ 35,572  $ 33,596 
Public finance - non-U.S. —  3,286  756  1,890  1,860 
Structured finance - U.S. 480  2,130  1,120  1,319  508 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 356  3,084  551  431  254 
Total gross debt service written $ 6,608  $ 50,402  $ 39,381  $ 39,212  $ 36,218 
Net debt service written $ 6,508  $ 50,402  $ 39,381  $ 39,212  $ 35,965 
Net par written 3,643  28,960  22,047  26,656  23,012 
Gross par written 3,743  28,960  22,047  26,656  23,265 
1)    Statutory amounts prepared on a consolidated basis. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners Annual Statements for U.S. Domiciled Insurance Subsidiaries are prepared on a stand-alone basis.
2)    See page 16 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
45


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024
Year Ended December 31,
2023 2022 2021 2020
Total GWP $ 61  $ 357  $ 360  $ 377  $ 454 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (2)
28  247  145  158  191 
Upfront GWP 33  110  215  219  263 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (3)
30  294  160  142  127 
Total PVP $ 63  $ 404  $ 375  $ 361  $ 390 
PVP:
Public finance - U.S. $ 43  $ 212  $ 257  $ 235  $ 292 
Public finance - non-U.S. 83  68  79  82 
Structured finance - U.S. 15  68  43  42  14 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 41 
Total PVP $ 63  $ 404  $ 375  $ 361  $ 390 
Adjusted operating income reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 109  $ 739  $ 124  $ 389  $ 362 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (14) (56) 15  18 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 10  106  (18) (64) 65 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (10) (35) 24  (28) (1)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves (12) 51  (110) (21) 42 
Total pre-tax adjustments (4) 108  (160) (98) 124 
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments —  (17) 17  17  (18)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 113  $ 648  $ 267  $ 470  $ 256 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $ 1.89  $ 12.30  $ 1.92  $ 5.23  $ 4.19 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments 0.14  (0.23) (0.87) 0.20  0.21 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 0.16  1.75  (0.27) (0.85) 0.75 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (0.17) (0.57) 0.37  (0.38) (0.01)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves (0.20) 0.84  (1.72) (0.29) 0.49 
Total pre-tax adjustments (0.07) 1.79  (2.49) (1.32) 1.44 
Tax effect on pre-tax adjustments —  (0.27) 0.27  0.23  (0.22)
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share $ 1.96  $ 10.78  $ 4.14  $ 6.32  $ 2.97 

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
2)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
3)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The years 2023 and 2022 also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.


46


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

As of March 31, 2024 As of December 31,
2023 2022 2021 2020
Adjusted book value reconciliation:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,629  $ 5,713  $ 5,064  $ 6,292  $ 6,643 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 44  34  (71) (54)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 13  47  23  52 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (393) (361) (523) 404  611 
Less taxes 43  37  68  (72) (116)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity 5,932  5,990  5,543  5,991  6,087 
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 164  161  147  131  119 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 191  199  157  160  182 
Plus: Net deferred premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 3,393  3,436  3,428  3,402  3,355 
Plus taxes (687) (699) (602) (599) (597)
Adjusted book value $ 8,665  $ 8,765  $ 8,379  $ 8,823  $ 8,908 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(1), $(1), $(4), $(5), and $-)) $ $ $ 17  $ 32  $
Adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $1, $0, $(3), $(3), and $2) $ (3) $ —  $ 11  $ 23  $ (8)
Adjusted book value per share reconciliation:
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL per share $ 102.19  $ 101.63  $ 85.80  $ 93.19  $ 85.66 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 0.79  0.61  (1.21) (0.80) 0.12 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 0.05  0.22  0.80  0.34  0.66 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (7.13) (6.40) (8.86) 5.99  7.89 
Less taxes 0.79  0.66  1.15  (1.07) (1.50)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share 107.69  106.54  93.92  88.73  78.49 
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 2.99  2.87  2.48  1.95  1.54 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 3.47  3.54  2.66  2.37  2.35 
Plus: Net deferred premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 61.61  61.12  58.10  50.40  43.27 
Plus taxes (12.47) (12.41) (10.22) (8.88) (7.70)
Adjusted book value per share $ 157.31  $ 155.92  $ 141.98  $ 130.67  $ 114.87 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share $ 0.06  $ 0.07  $ 0.28  $ 0.47  $ 0.03 
Adjusted book value per share $ (0.05) $ —  $ 0.19  $ 0.34  $ (0.10)

1)    See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

47


Glossary

Financial Guaranty Insurance
Net Par Outstanding and Internal Ratings
Net Par Outstanding is insured par exposure, net of reinsurance cessions. Unless otherwise indicated, GAAP net par outstanding amounts exclude amounts as a result of loss mitigation strategies, including securities the Company has purchased for loss mitigation purposes that are held in the investment portfolio.

Internal Rating utilizes the Company’s ratings scale, which is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations; however, the ratings in the tables may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Statutory Net Par and Net Debt Service Outstanding. Under statutory accounting, net par and net debt service outstanding would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., an issuer has legally discharged its obligations with respect to a municipal security by satisfying conditions set forth in defeasance provisions contained in transaction documents and is no longer responsible for the payment of debt service with respect to such obligations) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., transaction documents for a municipal security do not contain defeasance provisions but the issuer establishes an escrow account with U.S. government securities in amounts sufficient to pay the refunded bonds when due; the refunded bonds are not considered paid and continue to be outstanding under the transaction documents and the issuer remains responsible to pay debt service when due to the extent monies on deposit in the escrow account are insufficient for such purpose).

Performance Indicators
The performance information described below is obtained from third parties and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to revision as updated or additional information is obtained:

60+ Day Delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned divided by current collateral balance.

Average Credit Enhancement is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Some asset classes may not have subordinated tranches so they are excluded from the weighted averages.

Sectors
Below are brief descriptions of selected types of public and structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023.

U.S. Public Finance:
General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit obligations that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy property taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation and tax-backed revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or an income tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported obligations, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community-based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.
48


Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution’s revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue or revenue relating to student accommodation.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily issued by investor-owned utilities and include first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, as well as sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations backed by revenue from renewable energy sources.

Other Public Finance Bonds include other debt issued, guaranteed or otherwise supported by U.S. national or local governmental authorities, as well as student loans, revenue bonds, and obligations of some not-for-profit organizations.

Non-U.S. Public Finance:
Regulated Utility Obligations are obligations issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities, supported by the rates and charges paid by the utilities’ customers. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S regulated utility business is conducted in the United Kingdom.

Infrastructure Finance Obligations are obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of non-U.S. infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure, student accommodations, stadiums, and other physical assets delivering essential services supported either by long-term concession arrangements or a regulatory regime. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S. infrastructure business is conducted in the United Kingdom.

Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Obligations primarily includes obligations of local, municipal, regional or national governmental authorities or agencies outside of the U.S.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations secured by revenues relating to renewable energy sources, typically solar or wind farms. These transactions often benefit from regulatory support in the form of regulated minimum prices for the electricity produced. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S. renewable energy business is conducted in Spain.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of credit default swap obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations. The Company has not entered into a pooled infrastructure transaction since 2006.

Structured Finance:
Insurance Securitizations are transactions, including life insurance transactions, where obligations are secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities are obligations backed by first and second lien mortgage loans on residential properties. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including “prime,” “subprime” and “Alt-A.” A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with higher risk characteristics. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income. RMBS include home equity lines of credit, which refers to a type of residential mortgage-backed transaction backed by second-lien loan collateral. The Company has not provided insurance for RMBS in the primary market since 2008.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in “tranches,” with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company’s financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Subscription Finance Facilities are lending facilities provided to closed-end private market funds, most frequently private-equity funds. The facilities are secured by the uncalled capital commitments of the limited partners (LP) to the fund. The Company may guarantee new or existing facilities and on a single facility or portfolio basis. Assured Guaranty’s exposures are generally to facilities with characteristics that include a high-quality fund sponsor with strong historical performance, diverse LP base composed primarily of institutional LPs and experienced bank lenders.
49


Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Financial Products Business is the guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) portion of a line of business previously conducted by Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH) that the Company did not acquire when it purchased AGMH in 2009 from Dexia SA and that is being run off. That line of business consisted of AGMH’s guaranteed investment contracts business, its medium term notes business and the equity payment agreements associated with AGMH’s leveraged lease business. Although Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates (Dexia) assumed the liabilities related to such businesses when the Company purchased AGMH, AGM policies related to such businesses remained outstanding. Assured Guaranty is indemnified by Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates against loss from the former financial products business.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as student loans, automobile loans and leases, manufactured home loans and other consumer receivables.

Other Structured Finance Obligations are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other U.S. and Non-U.S. Structured Finance Obligations categories above.

Specialty Business
The Company also guarantees specialty business with similar risk profiles to its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form. Specialty business includes, for example, excess-of-loss guarantees of minimum amount of billed rent on diversified portfolios of real estate properties, insurance securitizations and aircraft residual value insurance (RVI) transactions.




50


Non-GAAP Financial Measures
 
The Company discloses both: (i) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP; and (ii) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures). Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.

The Company believes its presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and for investors, analysts and the financial news media to evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include:
•FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and
•CIVs in which certain subsidiaries invest.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Insurance segment.

Management of the Company and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process for and in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (1) adjusted operating income, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (2) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (3) adjusted book value per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; and (4) PVP.

Management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or adjusted book value, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares. Management also believes that many of the Company’s fixed income investors also use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented within this financial supplement.

Adjusted Operating Income: Management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
51


Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

3)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are recognized in net income. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4)    Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves that are recognized in net income. Long-dated receivables and loss and LAE reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.
 
5)    The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and Adjusted Book Value: Management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

2)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
3)    Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not recognize an economic gain or loss.

4)     The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Management uses adjusted book value, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. Adjusted book value per share, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core adjusted book value), is one of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors. Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses. Adjusted book value is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2)    Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.
 
3)    Addition of the deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the present value of the expected future net earned premiums, net of the present value of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

4)     The tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors.

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Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

Adjusted Operating Return on Equity (Adjusted Operating ROE): Adjusted Operating ROE represents adjusted operating income for a specified period divided by the average of adjusted operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that adjusted operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company’s return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, to evaluate AGL’s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the AGL common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date adjusted operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis. Adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, is one of the key management financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors.

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue: Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production: Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP gross written premiums and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums. 

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. 

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Assured Guaranty Ltd.                        
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com





Contacts:

Equity and Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@agltd.com

Michael Walker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@agltd.com

Andre Thomas
Managing Director, Equity Investor Relations
(212) 339-3551
athomas@agltd.com

Media:
Ashweeta Durani
Director, Media Relations
(212) 408-6042
adurani@agltd.com