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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
Current Report
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15 (d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)—May 9, 2023
AG_300 - Logo.jpg
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Bermuda 001-32141 98-0429991
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation or organization)
(Commission File Number)  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda
(Address of principal executive offices)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (441) 279-5700
Not applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class: Trading Symbol(s) Name of exchange on which registered
Common Shares $0.01 par value per share AGO New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 5.000% Senior Notes due 2024 (and the related guarantee of Registrant) AGO 24 New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.150% Senior Notes due 2031 (and the related guarantee of Registrant) AGO/31 New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.600% Senior Notes due 2051 (and the related guarantee of Registrant) AGO/51 New York Stock Exchange
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐



Item 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On May 9, 2023 Assured Guaranty Ltd. issued a press release reporting its first quarter 2023 results and the availability of its March 31, 2023 financial supplement. The press release and the financial supplement are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, and are incorporated by reference herein.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) Exhibits
Exhibit
Number
Description
99.1
99.2
104.1 Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document
2


SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
By:
/s/ ROBERT A. BAILENSON
Name: Robert A. Bailenson
Title: Chief Financial Officer
DATE: May 9, 2023








































3
EX-99.1 2 agl1q23pressrelease.htm AGL PRESS RELEASE Document

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Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Results for First Quarter 2023

•GAAP Highlights:
•Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $81 million, or $1.34 per share(1), for first quarter 2023.
•Shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share was $88.07 as of March 31, 2023.

•Non-GAAP Highlights:
•Adjusted operating income(2) was $68 million, or $1.12 per share, for first quarter 2023.
•Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity(2) per share and adjusted book value (ABV)(2) per share were $94.58 and $143.04, respectively, as of March 31, 2023.

•Return of Capital to Shareholders:
•First quarter 2023 dividends were $18 million.

•Insurance Segment:
•Insurance segment adjusted operating income was $117 million for first quarter 2023.
•Gross written premiums (GWP) were $86 million for first quarter 2023.
•Present value of new business production (PVP)(2) was $112 million for first quarter 2023.

•Asset Management Segment:
•Asset Management segment adjusted operating loss was $1 million for first quarter 2023.

Hamilton, Bermuda, May 9, 2023 -- Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO) (AGL and, together with its consolidated entities, Assured Guaranty or the Company) announced today its financial results for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 (first quarter 2023).

“Assured Guaranty’s diversified financial guaranty strategy led to impressive new business production in the first quarter of 2023,” said Dominic Frederico, President and CEO. “Gross written premium of $86 million was 23% higher than in the first quarter of 2022 and 59% higher than the average for the previous 10 first quarters. In terms of PVP, it was our most successful first quarter in over a decade. We closed $112 million of PVP in the quarter, up 62% from first quarter 2022 and approximately double the PVP average for the previous 10 first quarters.

“We benefited from a strong start to the year for both global structured finance, where we achieved our best GWP and PVP results in more than a decade, and international infrastructure, where we more than doubled the first quarter 2022 results for both GWP and PVP. In U.S. public finance, we guaranteed 60% of insured municipal bonds’ par issued in the first quarter.

“And, significantly, on April 5, we reached an agreement with Sound Point Capital Management that, when implemented, is expected to advance our strategic objectives in the asset management sector.”






(1)    Per share information for net income and adjusted operating income is based on diluted shares.
(2)    Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”

1


Summary Financial Results
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Quarter Ended
  March 31,
  2023 2022
GAAP (1)
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 81  $ 66 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $ 1.34  $ 0.98 
Weighted average diluted shares 60.4  67.4 
Non-GAAP
Adjusted operating income (loss) (2)
$ 68  $ 90 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share (2)
$ 1.12  $ 1.34 
Weighted average diluted shares 60.4  67.4 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation (3) included in adjusted operating income
$ (4) $ (10)
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income per share $ (0.06) $ (0.14)
Components of total adjusted operating income (loss)
Insurance segment $ 117  $ 133 
Asset Management segment (1) — 
Corporate division (44) (33)
Other (4) (10)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 68  $ 90 

As of
March 31, 2023 December 31, 2022
Amount Per Share Amount Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,220  $ 88.07  $ 5,064  $ 85.80 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (2)
5,606  94.58  5,543  93.92 
ABV (2)
8,478  143.04  8,379  141.98 
Common Shares Outstanding (4)
59.3  59.0 
________________________________________________
(1)    Generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America.
(2)    Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release.
(3)    The effect of consolidating financial guaranty (FG) variable interest entities (VIEs) (FG VIEs) and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs).
(4)    The increase in shares is due to vesting of share-based compensation.

On a per share basis, shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL increased to $88.07 as of March 31, 2023 from $85.80 as of December 31, 2022, primarily due to net income and unrealized gains on the investment portfolio during first quarter 2023. On a per share basis, adjusted operating shareholders’ equity increased to $94.58 as of March 31, 2023, from $93.92 as of December 31, 2022, primarily due to operating income in first quarter 2023, and ABV increased to $143.04 as of March 31, 2023 from $141.98 as of December 31, 2022, primarily due to new business production.
2


Insurance Segment

The Insurance segment primarily consists of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries that provide credit protection products to the United States (U.S.) and non-U.S. public finance (including infrastructure) and structured finance markets.

Insurance Segment Results
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues $ 84  $ 219 
Net investment income 82  63 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (2) (4)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss) 26  — 
Total segment revenues 190  278 
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit) 60 
Interest expense — 
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs (DAC)
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 39  38 
Other operating expenses 28  19 
Total segment expenses 79  122 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 30  (1)
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes 141  155 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 24  22 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) $ 117  $ 133 

Insurance segment adjusted operating income was $117 million in first quarter 2023, compared with $133 million in the three-month period ended March 31, 2022 (first quarter 2022). The variance was primarily due to a benefit in first quarter 2022 of $63 million (after-tax) associated with the resolution of general obligation bonds of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and obligations of its related authorities and public corporations, the Public Buildings Authority, the Convention Center District Authority and the Infrastructure Financing Authority under the Puerto Rico Oversight, Management, and Economic Stability Act (March 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions). This benefit consisted of premium accelerations, offset in part by the recognition of loss expense that was previously embedded in unearned premium reserve. In first quarter 2023, the Company reported larger gains on alternative investments, higher net investment income and the release of a litigation accrual (reported in “other income (loss)”). The components of premiums, losses and income from the investment portfolio are presented below.

3


Insurance Segment Net Earned Premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues

Insurance Segment
Net Earned Premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Scheduled net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues $ 80  $ 89 
Accelerations - Puerto Rico —  104 
Accelerations - other 26 
Total $ 84  $ 219 

Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues in first quarter 2023 were lower than in first quarter 2022 primarily due to lower accelerations. The largest component of accelerations in first quarter 2022 was attributable to the March 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions, which extinguished $1.3 billion of Puerto Rico insured net par.

Insurance Segment Loss Expense (Benefit) and the Rollforward of Expected Losses

Loss expense is a function of economic loss development (benefit), as well as the amortization of deferred premium revenue.
Insurance Segment
Loss Expense (Benefit)
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Public finance $ $ 55 
U.S. residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS)
Other structured finance (1)
Total $ $ 60 

The table below presents the rollforward of expected losses for first quarter 2023.

Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) (1)
(in millions)
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of December 31, 2022 Economic Loss Development (Benefit) Net (Paid) Recovered
Losses
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of March 31, 2023
Public finance $ 412  $ $ (24) $ 393 
U.S. RMBS 66  11  82 
Other structured finance 44  (3) 42 
Total $ 522  $ 11  $ (16) $ 517 
________________________________________________
(1)    Economic loss development (benefit) represents the change in net expected loss to be paid (recovered) attributable to the effects of changes in the economic performance of insured transactions, changes in assumptions based on observed market trends, changes in discount rates, accretion of discount and the economic effects of loss mitigation efforts, each net of reinsurance. Economic loss development (benefit) is the principal measure that the Company uses to evaluate the loss experience in its insured portfolio. Expected loss to be paid (recovered) includes all transactions insured by the Company, regardless of the accounting model prescribed under GAAP and without consideration of deferred premium revenue.

4


The economic loss development in first quarter 2023 of $11 million was mainly attributable to the effect of lower risk-free rates used to discount expected losses of $10 million.

Insurance Segment Income from Investment Portfolio
Insurance Segment
Income from Investment Portfolio
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Net investment income $ 82  $ 63 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (1)
(2) (4)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees:
AssuredIM Funds (2)
28  11 
Other alternative investments (12)
Total $ 110  $ 58 
________________________________________________
(1)    Contingent value instruments (CVIs) issued by Puerto Rico are classified as trading securities with changes in fair value reported in the condensed consolidated statements of operations.
(2)    Funds managed by Assured Investment Management LLC (AssuredIM LLC) and its investment management affiliates (together with AssuredIM LLC, AssuredIM).

Net investment income, which represents interest income on fixed-maturity debt securities and short-term investments, was higher in first quarter 2023 compared to first quarter 2022 primarily due to higher short-term interest rates and higher average balances in short-term investments, as well as higher income on floating rate assets in the available-for-sale investment portfolio.

In the Insurance segment, investments in AssuredIM Funds are recorded at net asset value (NAV), with the change in NAV reported in “equity in earnings (losses) of investees.” The increase in equity in earnings of AssuredIM Funds in first quarter 2023 compared with first quarter 2022 was primarily attributable to higher valuations of assets held in the collateralized loan obligation (CLO) and healthcare funds. As of March 31, 2023, the Insurance segment had invested $396 million (based on NAV) in AssuredIM Funds, and inception-to-date realized and unrealized gains on AssuredIM Funds totaled $187 million.

Equity in earnings of investees is more volatile than net investment income on fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments. To the extent that the amounts invested in AssuredIM Funds and other alternative investments increase and available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities decrease, net investment income may decline and mark-to-market volatility may increase.

5


Insurance Segment New Business Production

Insurance Segment
New Business Production
(in millions)
Quarter Ended March 31,
2023 2022
GWP
PVP (1)
Gross Par Written (1)
GWP
PVP (1)
Gross Par Written (1)
Public finance - U.S. $ 22  $ 22  $ 2,907  $ 49  $ 49  $ 3,931 
Public finance - non-U.S. 36  30  360  16  12  223 
Structured finance - U.S. 28  27  582  60 
Structured finance - non-U.S. —  33  1,514  —  257 
Total $ 86  $ 112  $ 5,363  $ 70  $ 69  $ 4,471 
________________________________________________
(1)    PVP, a non-GAAP financial measure, measures the value of the Insurance segment’s new business production for all contracts regardless of form or GAAP accounting model. See “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release. PVP and Gross Par Written in the table above are based on “close date,” when the transaction settles. The maximum potential exposure under a financial guaranty (not accounted for as insurance) is included in non-U.S. structured finance for both periods.

In first quarter 2023, structured finance GWP was over five times the amount of GWP in first quarter 2022, and PVP was over seven times the amount of PVP in first quarter 2022. First quarter 2023 structured finance GWP primarily includes a large insurance securitization transaction. Structured finance PVP in first quarter 2023 included the insurance securitization, as well as an excess-of-loss guaranty of a minimum amount of billed rent on a diversified portfolio of real estate properties for which no GWP was reported under GAAP because it is not accounted for as insurance. The average internal rating of structured finance new business production in first quarter 2023 was AA-.

In first quarter 2023, non-U.S. public finance GWP and PVP were more than double the GWP and PVP in first quarter 2022. In first quarter 2023, new business primarily included the guaranty of a long-term sale and leaseback transaction with Glasgow City Council and several regulated utility transactions. The average internal rating of non-U.S. public finance new business production was A in first quarter 2023.

U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in first quarter 2023 were lower than the comparable GWP and PVP in first quarter 2022, primarily due to reduced market issuance and fewer secondary market transactions in first quarter 2023. The average internal rating of U.S. public finance par written was A- in first quarter 2023 and first quarter 2022.

The Company’s U.S. public finance par written represented 60% of the total U.S. municipal market insured issuance in first quarter 2023, compared with 58% in first quarter 2022. Total insured market penetration based on par was 7.7% in first quarter 2023, compared with 8.5% in first quarter 2022, and insured market penetration based on number of transactions was 18.8% in first quarter 2023, compared with 17.8% in first quarter 2022. For transactions rated A and BBB, insured market penetration based on number of transactions was over 60% in first quarter 2023, and 58% in first quarter 2022.

Business activity in the infrastructure (reported in non-U.S. public finance) and structured finance sectors typically has long lead times and therefore may vary from period to period.
Asset Management Segment

In the Asset Management segment, the Company provides investment advisory services, which include the management of CLOs and opportunity funds, as well as certain legacy hedge and opportunity funds now subject to an orderly wind-down.
6



On April 5, 2023, Assured Guaranty entered into a transaction agreement (Transaction Agreement) pursuant to which it agreed to contribute to Sound Point Capital Management, LP (Sound Point) most of its asset management business, other than that conducted by Assured Healthcare Partners LLC (AssuredIM Contributed Business). In addition, Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. and Assured Guaranty Corp. (AGC) (U.S. Insurance Subsidiaries) entered into a letter agreement (Letter Agreement) pursuant to which they agreed that, after the closing of the transactions contemplated by the Transaction Agreement, they would (a) engage Sound Point as their sole alternative credit manager, (b) transition to Sound Point the management of certain existing alternative investments and related commitments, and (c) subject to regulatory approval, over time make new investments in funds, other vehicles and separately managed accounts managed by Sound Point which, when aggregated with the transitioned alternative investments and commitments, will total $1 billion. Assured Guaranty will receive, subject to certain potential post-closing adjustments, common interests in Sound Point representing a 30% participation percentage in Sound Point, and certain other interests in related Sound Point entities (the transactions contemplated under the Transaction Agreement and the Letter Agreement, the Sound Point Transaction).

The Sound Point Transaction is expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2023, subject to certain customary closing conditions, including the receipt of certain consents and regulatory approval. As a result of its pending Sound Point Transaction, the Company was limited in its ability to raise third party assets under management (AUM) in first quarter 2023 due to regulatory and practical considerations.

Asset Management Segment Results
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Segment revenues
Management fees:
CLOs (1)
$ 12  $ 12 
Opportunity funds and liquid strategies
Wind-down funds — 
Total management fees 17  21 
Performance fees 20  16 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss)
Total segment revenues 41  39 
Segment expenses
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 34  29 
Other operating expenses (2)
10 
Total segment expenses 42  39 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (1) — 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes —  — 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) $ (1) $ — 
________________________________________________
(1) CLO fees are the net management fees that AssuredIM retains after rebating the portion of these fees that pertains to the CLO equity that is held directly by AssuredIM Funds.
(2)    Includes amortization of intangible assets of $2 million and $3 million in first quarter 2023 and first quarter 2022, respectively.

7


Roll Forward of Assets Under Management
(in millions)
  CLOs
Opportunity Funds (1)
Liquid Strategies Wind-Down Funds Total
AUM, December 31, 2022 $ 15,150  $ 1,884  $ 248  $ 182  $ 17,464 
Inflows-third party —  —  — 
Inflows-intercompany —  —  —  —  — 
Outflows:
Redemptions —  —  —  —  — 
Distributions (64) (133) —  (48) (245)
Total outflows (64) (133) —  (48) (245)
Net flows (64) (132) —  (48) (244)
Change in value 54  24  (1) 82 
AUM, March 31, 2023 $ 15,140  $ 1,776  $ 253  $ 133  $ 17,302 
_______________________________________________
(1)    As of March 31, 2023, AUM related to the AssuredIM Funds created prior to the acquisition of BlueMountain Capital Management, LLC (now known as AssuredIM LLC) was $67 million.

Components of Assets Under Management (1)
(in millions)
As of
  March 31,
2023
December 31,
2022
Funded AUM $ 16,484  $ 16,672 
Unfunded AUM 818  792 
Fee-earning AUM $ 16,657  $ 16,795 
Non-fee earning AUM 645  669 
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM (2)
$ 965  $ 1,022 
Unfunded AUM 247  218 
_______________________________________________
(1)    Please see “Definitions” at the end of this press release.
(2)    Includes assets managed by AssuredIM under an Investment Management Agreement with its insurance affiliates of $569 million in investment-grade CLO and liquid municipal strategies as of March 31, 2023 and of $558 million as of December 31, 2022.

Corporate Division

The Corporate division primarily consists of interest expense on the debt of Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc., as well as other operating expenses attributed to holding company activities. Adjusted operating loss for the Corporate division was $44 million in first quarter 2023 compared with $33 million in first quarter 2022. The increase in adjusted operating loss in the Corporate division is primarily due to an additional value added tax in the United Kingdom (U.K.) for cost allocations with U.K. affiliates and expenses related to the Sound Point Transaction.

Other (Effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation)

The effect of consolidating FG VIEs and CIVs was a loss of $4 million in first quarter 2023 compared with a loss of $10 million in first quarter 2022.

8


Reconciliation to GAAP

The following table presents a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Attributable to AGL to
Adjusted Operating Income (Loss)
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Total Per Diluted Share Total Per Diluted Share
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 81  $ 1.34  $ 66  $ 0.98 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (2) (0.03) 0.05 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 13  0.21  (3) (0.04)
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS) (16) (0.26) 0.02 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves 20  0.32  (29) (0.44)
Total pre-tax adjustments 15  0.24  (28) (0.41)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments (2) (0.02) 0.05 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 68  $ 1.12  $ 90  $ 1.34 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income $ (4) $ (0.06) $ (10) $ (0.14)


Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives in first quarter 2023 were generated primarily as a result of the increased cost to buy protection on AGC, as the market cost of AGC’s credit protection increased during the period. In first quarter 2022, non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value losses on credit derivatives were mainly attributable to increases in the credit spread of underlying reference obligations, offset in part by the increased cost to buy protection on AGC, as the market cost of AGC’s protection increased during the period. Except for credit impairment, the fair value adjustments on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio are non-economic adjustments that reverse to zero over the remaining term of that portfolio.

Fair value losses on CCS in first quarter 2023 were primarily due to a tightening in market spreads. Fair value of CCS is heavily affected by, and in part fluctuates with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Foreign exchange gains (losses) in both periods primarily relate to remeasurement of premiums receivable and are mainly due to changes in the exchange rate relative to the U.S. dollar of the pound sterling and, to a lesser extent, the euro.

Common Share Repurchases

From 2013 through May 9, 2023, the Company repurchased a total of 141 million common shares at an average price of $33.09, representing approximately 73% of the total shares outstanding at the beginning of the repurchase program in 2013. As of May 9, 2023, the Company was authorized to purchase $201 million of its common shares. These repurchases can be made from time to time in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions.

9


The timing, form and amount of the share repurchases under the program are at the discretion of management and will depend on a variety of factors, including funds available at the parent company, other potential uses for such funds, market conditions, the Company's capital position, legal requirements and other factors. The repurchase program may be modified, extended or terminated by the Board of Directors at any time. It does not have an expiration date.


10


Financial Statements

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 81  $ 214 
Net investment income 81  62 
Asset management fees 26  34 
Net realized investment gains (losses) (2)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 15  (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (16)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs 58  14 
Foreign exchange gain (loss) on remeasurement 20  (30)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (2) (4)
Other income (loss) 27 
Total revenues 283  300 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) 57 
Interest expense 21  20 
Amortization of DAC
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 82  73 
Other operating expenses 55  42 
Total expenses 165  196 
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees 118  104 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees (11)
Income (loss) before income taxes 120  93 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 23  18 
Net income (loss) 97  75 
Less: Noncontrolling interests 16 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 81  $ 66 


11


Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(in millions)
As of
March 31, 2023 December 31, 2022
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value $ 6,869  $ 7,119 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value 300  303 
Short-term investments, at fair value 1,273  810 
Other invested assets 140  133 
Total investments 8,582  8,365 
Cash 118  107 
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable 1,346  1,298 
DAC 151  147 
Salvage and subrogation recoverable 258  257 
FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value 415  416 
Assets of CIVs 5,118  5,493 
Goodwill and other intangible assets 163 
Assets held for sale 227  — 
Other assets 557  597 
Total assets $ 16,778  $ 16,843 
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve $ 3,631  $ 3,620 
Loss and LAE reserve 291  296 
Long-term debt 1,676  1,675 
Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value 150  163 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value 704  715 
Liabilities of CIVs 4,458  4,625 
Liabilities held for sale 51  — 
Other liabilities 402  457 
Total liabilities 11,363  11,551 
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares
Retained earnings 5,638  5,577 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (420) (515)
Deferred equity compensation
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL 5,220  5,064 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests 195  228 
Total shareholders’ equity 5,415  5,292 
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 16,778  $ 16,843 
12


Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The Company discloses both (a) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP and (b) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures).

Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.

The Company believes its presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and for investors, analysts and the financial news media to evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include:
•FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and
•CIVs in which certain subsidiaries invest and which are managed by AssuredIM.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Insurance segment.

Management of the Company and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process for and in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (1) adjusted operating income, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (2) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (3) adjusted book value per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; and (4) PVP.

Management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or adjusted book value, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares. Management also believes that many of the Company’s fixed income investors also use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented below.

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Adjusted Operating Income

Management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
3)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are recognized in net income. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4)    Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves that are recognized in net income. Long-dated receivables and loss and LAE reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.
 
5)    Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

See “Reconciliation to GAAP” above for a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and Adjusted Book Value

Management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

2)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
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3)    Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not recognize an economic gain or loss.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Management uses adjusted book value, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. Adjusted book value per share, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core adjusted book value), is one of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors. Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses. Adjusted book value is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2)    Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.
        
3)    Addition of the deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the present value of the expected future net earned premiums, net of the present value of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors.


15


Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity Attributable to AGL to
Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and ABV
(in millions, except per share amounts)
As of
March 31, 2023 December 31, 2022
Total Per Share Total Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,220  $ 88.07  $ 5,064  $ 85.80 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (59) (0.99) (71) (1.21)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 32  0.53  47  0.80 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (413) (6.97) (523) (8.86)
Less taxes 54  0.92  68  1.15 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 5,606  94.58  5,543  93.92 
Pre-tax adjustments:  
Less: DAC 151  2.55  147  2.48 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 196  3.30  157  2.66 
Plus: Net deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 3,436  57.97  3,428  58.10 
Plus taxes (609) (10.26) (602) (10.22)
ABV $ 8,478  $ 143.04  $ 8,379  $ 141.98 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity $ 13  $ 0.22  $ 17  $ 0.28 
ABV 0.15  11  0.19 
Shares outstanding at the end of the period 59.3  59.0 

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue

Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production

Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP gross written premiums and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure.
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PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. 

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP
(in millions)
Quarter Ended
March 31, 2023
Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Non - U.S. U.S. Non - U.S. Total
GWP $ 22  $ 36  $ 28  $ —  $ 86 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
33  28  —  69 
Upfront GWP 14  —  —  17 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (2)
27  27  33  95 
PVP $ 22  $ 30  $ 27  $ 33  $ 112 

Quarter Ended
March 31, 2022
Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Non - U.S. U.S. Non - U.S. Total
GWP $ 49  $ 16  $ $ —  $ 70 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
—  16  —  19 
Upfront GWP 49  —  —  51 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (2)
—  12  —  18 
PVP $ 49  $ 12  $ $ $ 69 
________________________________________________
(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. This also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.


17


AUM Definitions

The Company uses AUM as a metric to measure progress in its Asset Management segment. Management fee revenue is based on a variety of factors and is not perfectly correlated with AUM. However, the Company believes that AUM is a useful metric for assessing the relative size and scope of the Company’s asset management business. Investors also use AUM to evaluate companies that participate in the asset management business. AUM refers to the assets managed, advised or serviced by the Asset Management segment and equals the sum of the following:

•the amount of aggregate collateral balance and principal cash of AssuredIM’s CLOs, including CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds. This also includes CLO assets managed by BlueMountain Fuji Management, LLC (BM Fuji), which was sold to a third party in the second quarter of 2021. AssuredIM is not the investment manager of BM Fuji-advised CLOs, but following the sale, AssuredIM sub-advises and continues to provide personnel and other services to BM Fuji associated with the management of BM Fuji-advised CLOs pursuant to a sub-advisory agreement and a personnel and services agreement, consistent with past practices; and

•the net asset value of all funds and accounts other than CLOs, plus any unfunded commitments. Changes in NAV attributable to movements in fund value of certain private equity funds are reported on a quarter lag.

The Company’s calculation of AUM may differ from the calculation employed by other investment managers and, as a result, this measure may not be directly comparable to similar measures presented by other investment managers. The calculation also differs from the manner in which AssuredIM affiliates registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) report “Regulatory Assets Under Management” on Form ADV and Form PF in various ways.

    The Company also uses several other measurements of AUM to understand and measure its AUM in more detail and for various purposes, including its relative position in the market and its income and income potential:

“Third-party AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of third-party investors. This includes current and former employee investments in AssuredIM Funds. For CLOs, this also includes CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds.

“Intercompany AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of the Company. This includes investments from affiliates of Assured Guaranty along with general partners’ investments of AssuredIM (or its affiliates) into the AssuredIM Funds.

“Funded AUM” refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs.

“Unfunded AUM” refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse funds.

“Fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM collects fees and has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors.

“Non-fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors. AssuredIM reserves the right to waive some or all fees for certain investors, including investors affiliated with AssuredIM and/or the Company. Further, to the extent that the Company’s wind-down and/or opportunity funds are invested in AssuredIM managed CLOs, AssuredIM may rebate any management fees and/or performance fees earned from the CLOs to the extent such fees are attributable to the wind-down and opportunity funds’ holdings of CLOs also managed by AssuredIM.

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Conference Call and Webcast Information

The Company will host a conference call for investors at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (9:00 a.m. Atlantic Time) on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. The conference call will be available via live webcast in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com or by dialing 1-844-200-6205 (in the U.S.) or 1-929-526-1599 (International); the access code is 446445.

A replay of the conference call will be available approximately three hours after the call ends. The webcast replay will be available for 90 days in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com and the telephone replay will be available for 30 days by dialing 1-866-813-9403 (in the U.S.) or 1-929-458-6194 (International); the access code is 413985.

Please refer to Assured Guaranty’s March 31, 2023 Financial Supplement, which is posted on the Company's website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata, for more information on the Company’s financial guaranty portfolio, investment portfolio and other items. In addition, the Company is posting at assuredguaranty.com/presentations its “March 31, 2023 Equity Investor Presentation”.

The Company plans to post by early next week on its website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata the following:

•“Public Finance Transactions in 1Q 2023,” which lists the U.S. public finance new issues insured by the Company in first quarter 2023, and

•“Structured Finance Transactions at March 31, 2023,” which lists the Company’s structured finance exposure as of that date.

In addition, the Company will post on its website, when available, the Company’s separate-company subsidiary financial supplements and its “Fixed Income Presentation” for the current quarter. Those documents will be furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission in a Current Report on Form 8-K.

# # #


Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a publicly traded (NYSE: AGO), Bermuda-based holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty provides credit enhancement products to the U.S. and international public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets and also provides asset management services. More information on Assured Guaranty Ltd. and its subsidiaries can be found at AssuredGuaranty.com.
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Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Any forward-looking statements made in this press release reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Among factors that could cause actual results to differ adversely are: (1) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession; (2) geopolitical risk, including United States (U.S.)-China strategic competition and technology decoupling, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the resulting economic sanctions, fragmentation of global supply chains, volatility in energy prices, potential for increased cyberattacks, and risk of intentional or accidental escalation between NATO and Russia; (3) the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (4) the development, course and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic and the governmental and private actions taken in response, and the global consequences of the pandemic and such actions, including their impact on the factors listed in this section; (5) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in the financial condition of banking institutions in the U.S., that adversely affect repayment rates related to commercial real estate, municipalities and other insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, investments of Assured Guaranty or assets it manages; (6) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (7) the loss of investors in Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies or the failure to attract new investors to Assured Guaranty’s asset management business; (8) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or impairments on obligations of state, territorial and local governments and their related authorities and public corporations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (9) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including as a result of the final resolution of Assured Guaranty’s remaining Puerto Rico exposures or the amounts recovered on securities received in connection with the resolution of Puerto Rico exposures already resolved; (10) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry, nonpayment insurance and other forms of capital saving or risk syndication available to banks and insurers; (11) poor performance of Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies compared to the performance of the asset management strategies of Assured Guaranty’s competitors; (12) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments and investments it manages, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity, or to unanticipated consequences; (13) the possibility that Assured Guaranty’s planned transactions pursuant to which Assured Guaranty will contribute to Sound Point Capital Management, LP (Sound Point) most of its asset management business, other than that conducted by Assured HealthCare Partners LLC (AssuredIM Contributed Business) and receive an ownership interest in Sound Point, fail to close or are delayed due to the failure to fulfill or waive certain customary closing conditions, which include the receipt of certain consents and regulatory approval, or due to other reasons; (14) the impacts of the announcement and the completion of Assured Guaranty’s planned transactions with Sound Point on Assured Guaranty and its relationships with its shareholders, regulators, rating agencies, employees and the obligors it insures and on the AssuredIM Contributed Business and on the business of Assured Healthcare Partners LLC and their relationships with their respective clients and employees; (15) the possibility that strategic transactions made by Assured Guaranty, including the consummation of the planned transactions with Sound Point, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (16) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which the Company holds a minority interest; (17) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, most of its financial guaranty contracts written in credit default swap (CDS) form, and certain consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (18) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (19) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (20)
20


changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (21) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, or other governmental actions; (22) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (23) loss of key personnel; (24) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (25) natural or man-made catastrophes or pandemics; (26) the impact of climate change on our business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (27) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (28) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (29) management’s response to these factors. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of May 9, 2023, and Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.
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Contact Information

Robert Tucker
Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
212-339-0861
rtucker@agltd.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Media Relations
212-408-6042
adurani@agltd.com






22
EX-99.2 3 agl1q23supplement.htm AGL FINANCIAL SUPPLEMENT Document

agllogoa08a.jpg
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
March 31, 2023
Financial Supplement
Table of Contents Page

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) with the United States (U.S.) Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2023.





Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward Looking Statements


Any forward looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession; (2) geopolitical risk, including United States (U.S.)-China strategic competition and technology decoupling, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the resulting economic sanctions, fragmentation of global supply chains, volatility in energy prices, potential for increased cyberattacks, and risk of intentional or accidental escalation between NATO and Russia; (3) the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (4) the development, course and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic and the governmental and private actions taken in response, and the global consequences of the pandemic and such actions, including their impact on the factors listed in this section; (5) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in the financial condition of banking institutions in the U.S., that adversely affect repayment rates related to commercial real estate, municipalities and other insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, investments of Assured Guaranty or assets it manages; (6) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (7) the loss of investors in Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies or the failure to attract new investors to Assured Guaranty’s asset management business; (8) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or impairments on obligations of state, territorial and local governments and their related authorities and public corporations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (9) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including as a result of the final resolution of Assured Guaranty’s remaining Puerto Rico exposures or the amounts recovered on securities received in connection with the resolution of Puerto Rico exposures already resolved; (10) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry, nonpayment insurance and other forms of capital saving or risk syndication available to banks and insurers; (11) poor performance of Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies compared to the performance of the asset management strategies of Assured Guaranty’s competitors; (12) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments and investments it manages, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity, or to unanticipated consequences; (13) the possibility that Assured Guaranty’s planned transactions pursuant to which Assured Guaranty will contribute to Sound Point Capital Management, LP (Sound Point) most of its asset management business, other than that conducted by Assured HealthCare Partners LLC (AssuredIM Contributed Business) and receive an ownership interest in Sound Point, fail to close or are delayed due to the failure to fulfill or waive certain customary closing conditions, which include the receipt of certain consents and regulatory approval, or due to other reasons; (14) the impacts of the announcement and the completion of Assured Guaranty’s planned transactions with Sound Point on Assured Guaranty and its relationships with its shareholders, regulators, rating agencies, employees and the obligors it insures and on the AssuredIM Contributed Business and on the business of Assured Healthcare Partners LLC and their relationships with their respective clients and employees; (15) the possibility that strategic transactions made by Assured Guaranty, including the consummation of the planned transactions with Sound Point, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (16) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which the Company holds a minority interest; (17) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, most of its financial guaranty contracts written in credit default swap (CDS) form, and certain consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (18) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (19) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (20) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (21) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, or other governmental actions; (22) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (23) loss of key personnel; (24) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (25) natural or man-made catastrophes or pandemics; (26) the impact of climate change on our business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (27) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (28) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (29) management’s response to these factors. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
GAAP (1) Highlights
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 81  $ 66 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $ 1.34  $ 0.98 
Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic shares outstanding 59.1  66.3 
Diluted shares outstanding 60.4  67.4 
Effective tax rate on net income 19.1  % 20.0  %
GAAP return on equity (ROE) (4)
6.3  % 4.4  %
Non-GAAP Highlights (2)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 68  $ 90 
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share (2)
$ 1.12  $ 1.34 
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding 60.4  67.4 
Effective tax rate on adjusted operating income (3)
20.3  % 18.3  %
Adjusted operating ROE (2)(4)
4.9  % 6.1  %
Components of adjusted operating income (loss) (2)
Insurance segment $ 117  $ 133 
Asset Management segment (1) — 
Corporate division (44) (33)
Other (5)
(4) (10)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 68  $ 90 
Insurance Segment
Gross written premiums (GWP) $ 86  $ 70 
Present value of new business production (PVP) (2)
112  69 
Gross par written 5,363  4,471 
Asset Management Segment
Assets under management (AUM):
Inflows-third party $ $ 91 
Inflows-intercompany —  — 
Effect of refundings and terminations on GAAP measures:
Net earned premiums, pre-tax $ $ 128 
Fair value gains (losses) of credit derivatives, pre-tax — 
Net income effect 103 
Net income per diluted share 0.06  1.52 
Effect of refundings and terminations on non-GAAP measures:
Operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues(5), pre-tax
$ $ 130 
Adjusted operating income(5) effect
103 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share (5)
0.06  1.52 

1)    Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).
2)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
3)    Represents the ratio of adjusted operating provision for income taxes to adjusted operating income before income taxes.
4)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns. See page 6 for additional information on calculation.
5)    Condensed consolidated statement of operations items mentioned in this Financial Supplement that are described as operating (i.e. operating net earned premiums) are non-GAAP measures and represent components of adjusted operating income. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
6)    Represents the effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities and consolidated investment vehicles (FG VIE and CIV consolidation).

1


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
As of
March 31, 2023 December 31, 2022
Amount Per Share Amount Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,220  $ 88.07  $ 5,064  $ 85.80 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (1)
5,606  94.58  5,543  93.92 
Adjusted book value (1)
8,478  143.04  8,379  141.98 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 13  0.22  17  0.28 
Adjusted book value 0.15  11  0.19 
Shares outstanding at the end of period 59.3  59.0 
Exposure
Financial guaranty net debt service outstanding $ 374,475  $ 369,951 
Financial guaranty net par outstanding:
Investment grade $ 230,501  $ 227,366 
Below-investment-grade (BIG) 5,882  5,892 
Total $ 236,383  $ 233,258 
Claims-paying resources (2)
$ 10,829  $ 10,818 
AUM
Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) $ 15,140  $ 15,150 
Opportunity funds 1,776  1,884 
Liquid strategies 253  248 
Wind-down funds 133  182 
Total $ 17,302  $ 17,464 

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
2)    See page 16 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.


2


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 81  $ 214 
Net investment income 81  62 
Asset management fees 26  34 
Net realized investment gains (losses) (2)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 15  (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS) (16)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs 58  14 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement 20  (30)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (2) (4)
Other income (loss) 27 
Total revenues 283  300 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) 57 
Interest expense 21  20 
Amortization of DAC
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 82  73 
Other operating expenses 55  42 
Total expenses 165  196 
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees 118  104 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees (11)
Income (loss) before income taxes 120  93 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 23  18 
Net income (loss) 97  75 
Less: Noncontrolling interests 16 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 81  $ 66 
Earnings per share:
Basic $ 1.37  $ 1.00 
Diluted $ 1.34  $ 0.98 

3


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(dollars in millions)

As of
March 31, December 31,
2023 2022
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value $ 6,869  $ 7,119 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value 300  303 
Short-term investments, at fair value 1,273  810 
Other invested assets 140  133 
Total investments 8,582  8,365 
Cash 118  107 
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable 1,346  1,298 
Deferred acquisition costs (DAC) 151  147 
Salvage and subrogation recoverable 258  257 
Financial guaranty variable interest entities’ (FG VIEs’) assets, at fair value 415  416 
Assets of consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs) 5,118  5,493 
Goodwill and other intangible assets 163 
Assets held for sale 227  — 
Other assets 557  597 
Total assets $ 16,778  $ 16,843 
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve $ 3,631  $ 3,620 
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserve 291  296 
Long-term debt 1,676  1,675 
Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value 150  163 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value 704  715 
Liabilities of CIVs 4,458  4,625 
Liabilities held for sale 51  — 
Other liabilities 402  457 
Total liabilities 11,363  11,551 
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares
Retained earnings 5,638  5,577 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (420) (515)
Deferred equity compensation
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL 5,220  5,064 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests 195  228 
Total shareholders’ equity 5,415  5,292 
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 16,778  $ 16,843 



4


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Adjusted Operating Income Reconciliation Three Months Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 81  $ 66 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (2)
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 13  (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS
(16)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves 20  (29)
Total pre-tax adjustments 15  (28)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments (2)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 68  $ 90 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income $ (4) $ (10)
Components of adjusted operating income:
Segments:
Insurance $ 117  $ 133 
Asset Management (1) — 
Total segments 116  133 
Corporate division (44) (33)
Other (4) (10)
Adjusted operating income (loss) 68  90 
Per diluted share:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 1.34  $ 0.98 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (0.03) 0.05 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 0.21  (0.04)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (0.26) 0.02 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves
0.32  (0.44)
Total pre-tax adjustments 0.24  (0.41)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments (0.02) 0.05 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 1.12  $ 1.34 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income $ (0.06) $ (0.14)



Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
5


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

ROE Reconciliation and Calculation As of
March 31, December 31, March 31, December 31,
2023 2022 2022 2021
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,220  $ 5,064  $ 5,802  $ 6,292 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 5,606  5,543  5,860  5,991 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity 13  17  22  32 
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 81  $ 66 
Adjusted operating income (loss) 68  90 
Average shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,142  $ 6,047 
Average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 5,575  5,926 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 15  27 
GAAP ROE (1)
6.3  % 4.4  %
Adjusted operating ROE (1)
4.9  % 6.1  %

1)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

6


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

As of
March 31, December 31, March 31, December 31,
2023 2022 2022 2021
Reconciliation of shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL to adjusted book value:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,220  $ 5,064  $ 5,802  $ 6,292 
Less pre-tax reconciling items:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (59) (71) (57) (54)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 32  47  24  23 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (413) (523) (26) 404 
Less taxes 54  68  (72)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity 5,606  5,543  5,860  5,991 
Pre-tax reconciling items:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 151  147  135  131 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 196  157  164  160 
Plus: Net deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 3,436  3,428  3,369  3,402 
Plus taxes (609) (602) (593) (599)
Adjusted book value $ 8,478  $ 8,379  $ 8,665  $ 8,823 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(4), $(4), $(5) and $(5)) $ 13  $ 17  $ 22  $ 32 
Adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(3), $(3), $(3), and $(3)) $ $ 11  $ 13  $ 23 

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.


7


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (1 of 2)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023

Segments Corporate and Other
Insurance Asset Management Corporate Other (1) Reconciling Items Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 82  $ —  $ —  $ (1) $ —  $ 81 
Net investment income 82  —  (3) —  81 
Asset management fees —  37  —  (11) —  26 
Net realized investment gains (losses) —  —  —  —  (2) (2)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
—  —  —  13  15 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS —  —  —  —  (16) (16)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  —  —  (5) —  (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  —  —  58  —  58 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement —  —  (1) 20  20 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (2) —  —  —  —  (2)
Other income (loss) 25  —  (2) —  27 
Total revenues 190  41  35  15  283 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
—  —  (5) — 
Interest expense —  —  23  (2) —  21 
Amortization of DAC —  —  —  — 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 39  34  —  —  82 
Other operating expenses 28  16  —  55 
Total expenses 79  42  48  (4) —  165 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 30  —  —  (28) — 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 24  —  (2) (1) 23 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  16  —  16 
Total $ 117  $ (1) $ (44) $ (4) $ 13  $ 81 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).

8


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (2 of 2)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2022

Segments Corporate and Other
Insurance Asset Management Corporate Other (1) Reconciling Items Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ 215  $ —  $ —  $ (1) $ —  $ 214 
Net investment income 63  —  (2) —  62 
Asset management fees —  37  —  (3) —  34 
Net realized investment gains (losses) —  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
—  —  —  (7) (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS —  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  —  —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  —  —  14  —  14 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement (1) —  —  —  (29) (30)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (4) —  —  —  —  (4)
Other income (loss) —  — 
Total revenues 278  39  14  (32) 300 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
60  —  —  (4) 57 
Interest expense —  21  (2) —  20 
Amortization of DAC —  —  —  — 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 38  29  —  —  73 
Other operating expenses 19  10  —  42 
Total expenses 122  39  34  (4) 196 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees (1) —  —  (10) —  (11)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 22  —  —  —  (4) 18 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  — 
Total $ 133  $ —  $ (33) $ (10) $ (24) $ 66 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).
9


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)
Amortized Cost Allowance for Credit Losses Pre-Tax Book Yield After-Tax Book Yield Fair Value
Annualized Investment Income (1)
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale:
Obligations of states and political subdivisions(2)(4)(7)
$ 3,161  $ (14) 3.58  % 3.29  % $ 3,097  $ 113 
U.S. government and agencies 94  —  2.05  1.80  88 
Corporate securities 2,408  (6) 2.78  2.45  2,153  67 
Mortgage-backed securities:
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) (3)(4)
429  (20) 4.85  4.03  350  21 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities 267  —  3.48  3.03  258 
Asset-backed securities (ABS)
CLOs 453  —  6.77  5.35  433  31 
Other ABS (4)
426  (29) 5.97  4.77  389  26 
Non-U.S. government securities 121  —  1.08  1.07  101 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale 7,359  (69) 3.67  3.20  6,869  270 
Short-term investments 1,273  —  4.67  3.80  1,273  59 
Cash (5)
118  —  —  —  118  — 
Total $ 8,750  $ (69) 3.81  % 3.29  % $ 8,260  $ 329 
Fixed maturity securities, trading (8)
$ 300 
Ratings (6):
Fair Value % of Portfolio
U.S. government and agencies $ 88  1.3  %
AAA/Aaa 1,013  14.7 
AA/Aa 2,512  36.6 
A/A 1,737  25.3 
BBB 805  11.7 
BIG
517  7.5 
Not rated (7)
197  2.9 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 6,869  100.0  %
Duration of available-for-sale fixed maturity securities and short-term investments (in years): 3.5
Average ratings of fixed maturity securities and short-term investments A+

1)    Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.
2)    Includes obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by S&P Global Ratings, a division of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC (S&P) or Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. (Moody’s), average A.
3)    Includes fair value of $149 million in subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of BIG.
4)    Includes securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies.
5)    Cash is not included in the yield calculation.
6)    Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody’s or S&P classifications except for purchased securities that it has insured, and for which it had expected losses to be paid (loss mitigation securities) and certain other securities, which use internal ratings classifications. Loss mitigation and other securities total $914 million in par with carrying value of $584 million and are primarily included in BIG category.
7)    Includes $136 million of new general obligation bonds and new bonds backed by toll revenue received in connection with the 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions (see page 29).
8)    Represents contingent value instruments received in connection with the 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions (see page 29). These securities are not rated.
10


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs
GAAP
(dollars in millions)

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of March 31, 2023
Insurance Subsidiaries (1)
Holding Companies (2)
Other AGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 6,844  $ 25  $ —  $ 6,869 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading 300  —  —  300 
Short-term investments 1,147  124  1,273 
Cash 66  23  29  118 
Total short-term investments and cash 1,213  147  31  1,391 
Other invested assets
AssuredIM Funds (3)
CLOs 232  —  (232) — 
Municipal bonds —  —  —  — 
Healthcare 73  —  (73) — 
Asset-based 91  —  (91) — 
Equity method investments-AssuredIM Funds 396  —  (396) — 
Other 130  10  —  140 
Other invested assets 526  10  (396) 140 
Total investment portfolio and cash $ 8,883  $ 182  $ (365) $ 8,700 
CIVs
Assets of CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 5,118  $ 5,118 
Liabilities of CIVs —  —  (4,458) (4,458)
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests —  —  (195) (195)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 465  $ 465 

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of December 31, 2022
Insurance Subsidiaries Holding Companies Other AGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale $ 7,095  $ 24  $ —  $ 7,119 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading 303  —  —  303 
Short-term investments 668  132  10  810 
Cash 44  56  107 
Total short-term investments and cash 712  139  66  917 
Other invested assets
AssuredIM Funds
CLOs 272  —  (272) — 
Municipal bonds 105  —  (105) — 
Healthcare 91  —  (91) — 
Asset-based 101  —  (101) — 
Equity method investments-AssuredIM Funds 569  —  (569) — 
Other 122  133 
Other invested assets 691  (567) 133 
Total investment portfolio and cash $ 8,801  $ 172  $ (501) $ 8,472 
CIVs
Assets of CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 5,493  $ 5,493 
Liabilities of CIVs —  —  (4,625) (4,625)
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests —  —  (228) (228)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ 640  $ 640 

1)    Includes the Company's U.S., Bermuda and European insurance subsidiaries.
2)    Includes the Company's' holding companies: AGL, Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc..
3)    Funds managed by Assured Investment Management LLC (AssuredIM LLC) and its investment management affiliates (together with AssuredIM LLC, AssuredIM) (AssuredIM Funds).
11


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs
Segment
(dollars in millions)

Income from Investment Portfolio and Fair Value Gains (Losses) on CIVs on a Segment basis for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023 and March 31, 2022

Three Months Ended March 31, 2023
Insurance Asset Management Corporate Other Total
Net investment income $ 82  $ —  $ $ (3) $ 81 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities $ (2) $ —  $ —  $ —  $ (2)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds $ 28  $ —  $ —  $ (28) $ — 
Other —  —  — 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees $ 30  $ —  $ —  $ (28) $
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 58  $ 58 
Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  (16) (16)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 42  $ 42 


Three Months Ended March 31, 2022
Insurance Asset Management Corporate Other Total
Net investment income $ 63  $ —  $ $ (2) $ 62 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (4) —  —  —  (4)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds $ 11  $ —  $ —  $ (10) $
Other (12) —  —  —  (12)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees $ (1) $ —  $ —  $ (10) $ (11)
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ 14  $ 14 
Noncontrolling interests —  —  —  (9) (9)
Total CIVs $ —  $ —  $ —  $ $


12


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Equity Method Alternative Investments in the Insurance Segment
(dollars in millions)

Carrying Value Equity in Earnings
March 31, 2023 December 31, 2022 First Quarter 2023 Inception-to-Date
AssuredIM Funds(1)
Strategy:
CLOs $ 232  $ 272  $ 19  $ 58 
Municipal bonds —  105  — 
Healthcare(3)
73  91  46 
Asset-based(3)
91  101  28 
AssuredIM Funds (2)
396  569  28  138 
Other alternative investments(3)
115  117  49 
Total $ 511  $ 686  $ 30  $ 187 

1)    Eliminated in consolidation at the AGL level, reported in equity in earnings at AG Asset Strategies LLC (AGAS), which is owned 65% by Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM) and 35% by Assured Guaranty Corp. (AGC). AGAS is consolidated in AGM's consolidated financial statements.
2)    The inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return (IRR) is 10.7% and the quarter to date return was 6.3%. For AssuredIM Funds, the returns represent IRR based on mark-to-market gains (losses). The inception-to-date IRRs are annualized; the quarterly and year-to-date returns are not annualized.
3)    Includes funds and investments reported on a lag. Excludes equity method investment in the Corporate division of $7 million and $6 million as of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively.

13
























Insurance Segment
14


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Insurance Segment Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues $ 84  $ 219 
Net investment income 82  63 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (2) (4)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss) 26  — 
Total segment revenues 190  278 
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit) 60 
Interest expense — 
Amortization of DAC
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 39  38 
Other operating expenses 28  19 
Total segment expenses 79  122 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees 30  (1)
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes 141  155 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 24  22 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) $ 117  $ 133 

15


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Claims-Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)
As of March 31, 2023
AGM AGC
AG Re(6)
Eliminations(2)
Consolidated
Claims-paying resources
Policyholders' surplus $ 2,742  $ 1,920  $ 732  $ (220) $ 5,174 
Contingency reserve 874  347  —  —  1,221 
Qualified statutory capital 3,616  2,267  732  (220) 6,395 
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income(1)
2,092  326  597  (69) 2,946 
Loss and LAE reserves (1)(7)
—  —  152  —  152 
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves 5,708  2,593  1,481  (289) 9,493 
Present value of installment premium
491  205  240  —  936 
CCS 200  200  —  —  400 
Total claims-paying resources $ 6,399  $ 2,998  $ 1,721  $ (289) $ 10,829 
Statutory net exposure (1)(3)
$ 155,630  $ 22,351  $ 59,068  $ (735) $ 236,314 
Net debt service outstanding (1)(3)
$ 250,440  $ 35,278  $ 90,159  $ (1,503) $ 374,374 
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital 43:1 10:1 81:1 37:1
Capital ratio (4)
69:1 16:1 123:1 59:1
Financial resources ratio (5)
39:1 12:1 52:1 35:1
Statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources 24:1 7:1 34:1 22:1

1)    The numbers shown for AGM have been adjusted to include 100% share of its United Kingdom (U.K.) and French insurance subsidiaries.
2)    Eliminations are primarily for (i) intercompany surplus notes between AGM and AGC, and (ii) eliminations of intercompany deferred ceding commissions. Net exposure and net debt service outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.
3)    Net exposure and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Includes $1,174 million of specialty insurance and reinsurance exposure, and a guarantee of rental income cash flows with maximum potential exposure of $1,626 million.
4)    The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
5)    The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims-paying resources.
6)    Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG Re) numbers represent the Company's estimate of AG Re on a U.S. statutory-basis, except for contingency reserves.
7)    Loss and LAE reserves exclude adjustments to claims-paying resources for AGM and AGC because they were in a net recoverable position of $44 million and $39 million, respectively.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding.

16


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023 and March 31, 2022

Three Months Ended Three Months Ended
March 31, 2023 March 31, 2022
Public Finance Structured Finance Public Finance Structured Finance
U.S. Non - U.S.
U.S.
Non - U.S. Total U.S. Non - U.S. U.S. Non - U.S. Total
Total GWP $ 22  $ 36  $ 28  $ —  $ 86  $ 49  $ 16  $ $ —  $ 70 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
33  28  —  69  —  16  —  19 
Upfront GWP 14  —  —  17  49  —  —  51 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
27  27  33  95  —  12  —  18 
Total PVP $ 22  $ 30  $ 27  $ 33  $ 112  $ 49  $ 12  $ $ $ 69 
Gross par written $ 2,907  360  582  1,514  $ 5,363  $ 3,931  223  60  257  $ 4,471 

(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. This also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.


Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
17


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Gross Par Written
(dollars in millions)

Gross Par Written by Asset Type

Three Months Ended March 31,
2023 2022
Gross Par Written Average Internal Rating Gross Par Written Average Internal Rating
Sector:
U.S. public finance
General obligation $ 1,410  A $ 1,445  A-
Municipal utilities 765  A- 292  A
Healthcare 388  A 356  BBB
Higher education 205  A- 52  BBB+
Tax backed 103  BBB+ 374  A-
Transportation 36  BBB 1,407  A-
Infrastructure finance —  BBB
Total U.S. public finance 2,907  A- 3,931  A-
Non-U.S. public finance:
Sovereign and sub-sovereign 253  A+ — 
Regulated utilities 107  BBB 223  BBB
Total non-U.S. public finance 360  A 223  BBB
Total public finance 3,267  A 4,154  A-
U.S. structured finance:
Insurance securitizations 500  A — 
Structured credit 50  BBB — 
Other structured finance 32  A 60  A-
Total U.S. structured finance 582  A 60  A-
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Other structured finance 1,514  AA 257  AA
Total non-U.S. structured finance 1,514  AA 257  AA
Total structured finance 2,096  AA- 317  AA-
Total gross par written $ 5,363  A $ 4,471  A-





Please refer to the Glossary for a description of internal ratings and sectors.



18


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production by Quarter
(dollars in millions)

1Q-22 2Q-22 3Q-22 4Q-22 1Q-23
PVP:
Public finance - U.S. $ 49  $ 57  $ 57  $ 94  $ 22 
Public finance - non-U.S. 12  18  37  30 
Structured finance - U.S. —  40  27 
Structured finance - non-U.S. —  —  33 
Total PVP (1)
$ 69  $ 76  $ 95  $ 135  $ 112 
Reconciliation of GWP to PVP:
Total GWP $ 70  $ 65  $ 94  $ 131  $ 86 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments 19  39  79  69 
Upfront GWP 51  57  55  52  17 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
18  19  40  83  95 
Total PVP $ 69  $ 76  $ 95  $ 135  $ 112 
Gross par written:
Public finance - U.S. $ 3,931  $ 6,429  $ 3,622  $ 5,819  $ 2,907 
Public finance - non-U.S. 223  207  194  —  360 
Structured finance - U.S. 60  16  30  971  582 
Structured finance - non-U.S. (1)
257  43  —  245  1,514 
Total $ 4,471  $ 6,695  $ 3,846  $ 7,035  $ 5,363 


1)    First quarter 2023 and 2022 PVP and gross par written includes the present value (PV) of future premiums and total exposure, respectively, associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under ASC 460, Guarantees.
2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. This also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.


Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

19


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization(1) and Estimated Future Financial Guaranty Net Premium
and Credit Derivative Revenues
(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance (2)
Estimated Net Debt Service Amortization Estimated Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding Expected PV Net Earned Premiums (i.e. Net Deferred Premium Revenue) Accretion of Discount Effect of FG VIE Consolidation on Expected PV Net Earned Premiums and Accretion of Discount
Future Credit Derivative Revenues (3)
2023 (as of March 31) $ 374,475 
2023 2Q $ 4,136  370,339  $ 70  $ $ $
2023 3Q 6,441  363,898  70 
2023 4Q 4,963  358,935  69 
2024 19,186  339,749  267  23 
2025 20,479  319,270  251  21 
2026 19,506  299,764  235  20 
2027 17,524  282,240  221  19 
2023-2027 92,235  282,240  1,183  101  13  37 
2028-2032 85,708  196,532  925  76  12  31 
2033-2037 68,398  128,134  618  50  11  24 
2038-2042 48,898  79,236  377  33  —  16 
After 2042 79,236  —  528  47  —  11 
Total $ 374,475  $ 3,631  $ 307  $ 36  $ 119 

Reconciliation of Net Deferred Premium Revenue to Net Unearned Premium Reserve(4).

GAAP Effect of FG VIE Consolidation on Net Unearned Premium Reserve
Net deferred premium revenue:
Financial guaranty $ 3,631  $ 35 
Specialty — 
Net deferred premium revenue 3,640  35 
Contra-paid (22) (4)
Net unearned premium reserve $ 3,618  $ 31 


1)    Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of March 31, 2023. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations, terminations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization.
2)    See also page 23, for ‘‘Net Expected Loss to be Expensed.’’
3)     Represents expected future premiums on insured credit derivatives.
4)    Unearned premium reserve represents deferred premium revenue less claim payments made (net of recoveries received) that have been recognized in the statement of operations (contra-paid).






20


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid
(dollars in millions)

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (1) for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023

Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of December 31, 2022 Economic Loss Development (Benefit) During 1Q-23 Net (Paid) Recovered Losses
During 1Q-23
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of March 31, 2023
Public Finance:
U.S. public finance $ 403  $ $ (24) $ 380 
Non-U.S public finance —  13 
Public Finance 412  (24) 393 
Structured Finance:
U.S. RMBS 66  11  82 
Other structured finance 44  (3) 42 
Structured Finance 110  124 
Total $ 522  $ 11  $ (16) $ 517 


1)    Includes net expected loss to be paid (recovered), economic loss development (benefit) and (paid) recovered losses for all contracts (i.e. those accounted for as insurance, credit derivatives and FG VIEs).
21


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Loss Measures
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2023
 Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG Transactions
GAAP Loss and LAE (1)
Loss and LAE included in Adjusted Operating Income (2)
Insurance Segment
 Loss and
LAE (3)
Public finance:
U.S. public finance $ 3,804  $ (4) $ (4) $
Non-U.S public finance 990  —  —  — 
Public finance 4,794  (4) (4)
Structured finance:
U.S. RMBS 988 
Other structured finance 100 
Structured finance 1,088 
Total $ 5,882  $ $ $

1)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts.
2)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts and credit derivatives.
3)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts, credit derivatives, and consolidated FG VIEs.




Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.

22


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Net Expected Loss to be Expensed (1)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

GAAP
2023 (as of March 31)
2023 2Q $
2023 3Q
2023 4Q
2024 12 
2025 12 
2026 17 
2027 15 
2023-2027 65 
2028-2032 61 
2033-2037 49 
2038-2042
After 2042 12 
Total expected present value of net expected loss to be expensed(2)
195 
Future accretion 66 
Total expected future loss and LAE $ 261 

1)    The present value of net expected loss to be paid is discounted using risk free rates ranging from 3.44% to 4.87% for U.S. dollar denominated obligations.
2)     Excludes $29 million related to FG VIEs, which are eliminated in consolidation.


23


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Internal Rating by Asset Type
As of March 31, 2023 As of December 31, 2022
Net Par Outstanding Average Internal Rating Net Par Outstanding Average Internal Rating
U.S. public finance:
General obligation $ 72,562  A- $ 71,868  A-
Tax backed 32,798  A- 33,752  A-
Municipal utilities 27,009  A- 26,436  A-
Transportation 20,140  A- 19,688  A-
Healthcare 11,641  BBB+ 11,304  BBB+
Higher education 7,318  A- 7,137  A-
Infrastructure finance 6,895  A- 6,955  A-
Housing revenue 959  BBB- 959  BBB-
Investor-owned utilities 331  A- 332  A-
Renewable energy 171  A- 180  A-
Other public finance 1,013  BBB 1,025  BBB
Total U.S. public finance 180,837  A- 179,636  A-
Non-U.S public finance:
Regulated utilities 18,604  BBB+ 17,855  BBB+
Infrastructure finance 14,184  BBB 13,915  BBB
Sovereign and sub-sovereign 9,904  A+ 9,526  A+
Renewable energy 2,114  A- 2,086  A-
Pooled infrastructure 1,103  AAA 1,081  AAA
Total non-U.S. public finance 45,909  BBB+ 44,463  BBB+
Total public finance $ 226,746  A- 224,099  A-
U.S. structured finance:
Life insurance transactions $ 4,378  AA- 3,879  AA-
RMBS 1,910  BBB- 1,956  BBB-
Pooled corporate obligations 617  AAA 625  AAA
Financial products 452  AA- 453  AA-
Consumer receivables 405  A 437  A
Other structured finance 898  BBB+ 878  BBB+
Total U.S. structured finance 8,660  A 8,228  A
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Pooled corporate obligations 349  AAA 344  AAA
RMBS 262  A- 263  A-
Other structured finance 366  AA- 324  AA-
Total non-U.S structured finance 977  AA 931  AA
Total structured finance $ 9,637  A 9,159  A
Total net par outstanding $ 236,383  A- $ 233,258  A-


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.


24


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Public Finance - U.S.      Public Finance - Non-U.S. Structured Finance - U.S. Structured Finance - Non-U.S. Total
Ratings: Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding % Net Par Outstanding %
AAA $ 220  0.1  % $ 2,000  4.4  % $ 908  10.5  % $ 472  48.3  % $ 3,600  1.5  %
AA 16,239  9.0  3,535  7.6  4,605  53.1  12  1.2  24,391  10.3 
A 97,909  54.1  10,460  22.8  1,567  18.1  385  39.4  110,321  46.7 
BBB 62,665  34.7  28,924  63.0  492  5.7  108  11.1  92,189  39.0 
BIG 3,804  2.1  990  2.2  1,088  12.6  —  —  5,882  2.5 
Net Par Outstanding (1)
$ 180,837  100.0  % $ 45,909  100.0  % $ 8,660  100.0  % $ 977  100.0  % $ 236,383  100.0  %

1)    As of March 31, 2023, the Company excluded $1.3 billion of net par attributable to Loss Mitigation Securities.


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.




25


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)


Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Net Par Outstanding % of Total
U.S.:
U.S. public finance:
California $ 36,836  15.6  %
Texas 19,812  8.4 
Pennsylvania 16,164  6.8 
New York 15,518  6.6 
Illinois 12,648  5.4 
New Jersey 9,239  3.9 
Florida 8,121  3.4 
Michigan 4,964  2.1 
Louisiana 4,913  2.1 
Alabama 3,831  1.6 
Other 48,791  20.6 
Total U.S. public finance 180,837  76.5 
U.S. structured finance 8,660  3.7 
Total U.S. 189,497  80.2 
Non-U.S.:
United Kingdom 35,622  15.1 
Canada 1,727  0.7 
Spain 1,604  0.7 
Australia 1,483  0.6 
France 1,483  0.6 
Other 4,967  2.1 
Total non-U.S. 46,886  19.8 
Total net par outstanding $ 236,383  100.0  %

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.


26


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Specialty Insurance, Reinsurance and Guaranties
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)


As of March 31, 2023 As of December 31, 2022
Gross Exposure Net Exposure Gross Exposure Net Exposure
Life insurance transactions (1)
$ 1,302  $ 974  $ 1,314  $ 986 
Aircraft residual value insurance policies (2)
355  200  355  200 
Other guaranties 1,626  1,626  228  228 


1)    The life insurance transactions net exposure is projected to reach $1.1 billion in 2025.
2)    As of both March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, gross exposure of $144 million and net exposure of $84 million of aircraft residual value insurance was BIG. All other exposures in the table above are investment-grade quality.



27


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding
(dollars in millions)


Public Finance Structured Finance
Estimated Net Par Amortization Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding U.S. and Non-U.S. Pooled Corporate U.S. RMBS Financial Products Other Structured Finance Total Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding
2023 (as of March 31) $ 226,746  $ 9,637 
2023 2Q $ 1,033  225,713  $ $ 90  $ $ 72  $ 172  9,465 
2023 3Q 3,597  222,116  90  (13) 79  165  9,300 
2023 4Q 2,102  220,014  85  (3) 266  355  8,945 
2024 9,016  210,998  31  306  10  288  635  8,310 
2025 10,860  200,138  90  258  30  175  553  7,757 
2026 10,382  189,756  115  196  37  218  566  7,191 
2027 8,815  180,941  195  151  (9) 266  603  6,588 
2023-2027 45,805  180,941  455  1,176  54  1,364  3,049  6,588 
2028-2032 48,708  132,233  352  326  316  1,826  2,820  3,768 
2033-2037 42,394  89,839  72  322  67  1,776  2,237  1,531 
2038-2042 32,234  57,605  87  79  15  810  991  540 
After 2042 57,605  —  —  —  533  540  — 
Total $ 226,746  $ 966  $ 1,910  $ 452  $ 6,309  $ 9,637 


Net par outstanding (end of period)
1Q-22 2Q-22 3Q-22 4Q-22 1Q-23
Public finance - U.S. $ 175,957  $ 179,648  $ 177,842  $ 179,636  $ 180,837 
Public finance - non-U.S. 48,506  44,447  41,063  44,463  45,909 
Structured finance - U.S. 8,101  7,935  7,449  8,228  8,660 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 815  782  717  931  977 
Net par outstanding $ 233,379  $ 232,812  $ 227,071  $ 233,258  $ 236,383 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
28


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Exposure to Puerto Rico (1 of 2)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Exposure to Puerto Rico
Par Outstanding Debt Service Outstanding
  Gross Net Gross Net
   Total $ 1,367  $ 1,351  $ 1,855  $ 1,835 


Exposure to Puerto Rico by Company
Net Par Outstanding
  AGM AGC AG Re
Eliminations (1)
Total Net Par Outstanding Gross Par Outstanding
Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) $ 446  $ 69  $ 205  $ —  $ 720  $ 730 
Total Defaulted 446  69  205  —  720  730 
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures (2)
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) (Transportation revenue) (3)
49  181  107  (42) 295  295 
PRHTA (Highway revenue) (3)
140  30  12  —  182  182 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation (GO) (4)
—  19  —  25  25 
Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority (PBA) (4)
—  (1)
Total Resolved 190  234  125  (43) 506  506 
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency (MFA) (5)
96  22  —  124  130 
Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority (PRASA) and University of Puerto Rico (U of PR) (5)
—  —  — 
Total Other 96  22  —  125  131 
Total exposure to Puerto Rico $ 732  $ 310  $ 352  $ (43) $ 1,351  $ 1,367 

1)    Net par outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.
2)    A substantial portion of the Company’s Puerto Rico exposure was resolved in 2022 in accordance with four orders (including orders implementing the GO/PBA Plan and HTA Plan described below) entered by the United States District Court of the District of Puerto Rico (Federal District Court of Puerto Rico) related to the Company’s exposure to all insured Puerto Rico credits experiencing payment default in 2022 except Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) (2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions). Under the Modified Eighth Amended Title III Joint Plan of Adjustment of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the Employees Retirement System of the Government of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and the Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority (GO/PBA Plan), the Company received cash, new general obligation bonds (New GO Bonds) and contingent value instruments (CVIs). Under the Modified Fifth Amended Title III Plan of Adjustment for PRHTA (HTA Plan), the Company received cash, new bonds backed by toll revenues (Toll Bonds) and CVIs.
3)    The Company’s remaining PRHTA exposures consist of insured bondholders who elected to receive custody receipts that represent an interest in the legacy insurance policy plus cash and Toll Bonds that constitute distributions under the HTA Plan, and exposures assumed from third-parties.
4)    The Company’s remaining GO/PBA exposures consist of insured bondholders who elected to receive custody receipts that represent an interest in the legacy insurance policy plus cash, New GO Bonds and CVIs that constitute distributions under the GO/PBA Plan, and exposures assumed from third-parties.
5)    All debt service on these insured exposures have been paid to date without any insurance claim being made on the Company.



29


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Exposure to Puerto Rico (2 of 2)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Amortization Schedule of Net Par Outstanding of Puerto Rico

  2023 (2Q) 2023 (3Q) 2023 (4Q) 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 - 2037 2038 - 2041 Total
Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures
PREPA $ —  $ 95  $ —  $ 93  $ 68  $ 105  $ 105  69  39  44  75  14  $ 13  $ —  $ 720 
Total Defaulted —  95  —  93  68  105  105  69  39  44  75  14  13  —  720 
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures
PRHTA (Transportation revenue) —  10  —  —  —  —  12  —  —  —  126  132  295 
PRHTA (Highway revenue) —  —  —  —  —  —  —  30  27  101  —  182 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - GO —  —  —  —  —  —  19  —  —  —  —  —  25 
PBA —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  — 
Total Resolved —  12  —  —  10  39  30  27  227  132  506 
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
MFA —  17  —  16  16  35  15  12  —  —  —  —  124 
PRASA and U of PR —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  — 
Total Other —  17  —  17  16  35  15  12  —  —  —  —  125 
Total $ —  $ 124  $ —  $ 110  $ 94  $ 149  $ 124  $ 89  $ 85  $ 58  $ 105  $ 41  $ 240  $ 132  $ 1,351 


Amortization Schedule of Net Debt Service Outstanding of Puerto Rico

  2023 (2Q) 2023 (3Q) 2023 (4Q) 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 - 2037 2038 - 2041 Total
Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures
PREPA $ $ 109  $ $ 122  $ 92  $ 126  $ 122  $ 80  $ 47  $ 51  $ 81  $ 15  $ 14  $ —  $ 865 
Total Defaulted 109  122  92  126  122  80  47  51  81  15  14  —  865 
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures
PRHTA (Transportation revenue) —  17  —  15  23  22  14  14  26  14  14  13  181  150  503 
PRHTA (Highway revenue) —  —  10  10  18  17  17  38  34  116  —  283 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - GO —  —  20  —  —  —  —  —  33 
PBA —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  — 
Total Resolved —  25  —  25  36  35  30  33  63  31  52  47  297  150  824 
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
MFA —  20  —  22  20  39  16  14  —  —  —  —  145 
PRASA and U of PR —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  —  — 
Total Other —  20  —  23  20  39  16  14  —  —  —  —  146 
Total $ $ 154  $ $ 170  $ 148  $ 200  $ 168  $ 127  $ 118  $ 88  $ 133  $ 62  $ 311  $ 150  $ 1,835 
30


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings
Net Par Outstanding % of Total Average Initial Credit Enhancement Average Current Credit Enhancement
Ratings:
AAA $ 791  82.1  % 41.8  % 50.6  %
AA 52  5.4  41.1  51.5 
A 92  9.5  38.0  46.8 
BBB 29  3.0  42.0  44.8 
Total exposures $ 964  100.0  % 41.4  % 50.1  %


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class
Net Par Outstanding % of Total Average Initial Credit Enhancement Average Current Credit Enhancement Number of Transactions Average Rating
Asset class:
Trust preferred
Banks and insurance $ 361  37.5  % 43.6  % 62.8  % 12 AAA
U.S. mortgage and real estate investment trusts 84  8.7  47.3  64.2  3 A+
CLOs 519  53.8  38.9  39.0  6 AAA
Total exposures $ 964  100.0  % 41.4  % 50.1  % 21 AAA


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of internal ratings, performance indicators and sectors.



31


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
U.S. RMBS Profile
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating and Type of Exposure
Ratings: Prime First Lien Alt-A First Lien Option ARMs Subprime
First Lien
Second Lien Total Net Par Outstanding
AAA $ $ 65  $ 10  $ 358  $ $ 443 
AA 10  75  145  189  426 
A —  —  — 
BBB —  —  37  48 
BIG 34  203  15  625  111  988 
Total exposures $ 55  $ 343  $ 32  $ 1,168  $ 312  $ 1,910 


Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure
 
Year insured: Prime First Lien Alt-A First Lien Option ARMs Subprime
First Lien
Second Lien Total Net Par Outstanding
2004 and prior $ $ $ —  $ 332  $ 12  $ 361 
2005 22  119  15  182  50  388 
2006 24  25  41  105  196 
2007 —  191  16  582  145  934 
2008 —  —  —  31  —  31 
  Total exposures $ 55  $ 343  $ 32  $ 1,168  $ 312  $ 1,910 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's presentation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and a description of sectors.
























32


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type
As of
March 31, December 31,
2023 2022
U.S. public finance:
Healthcare $ 1,085  $ 1,085 
Municipal utilities 1,024  1,025 
Tax backed 878  889 
General obligation 361  337 
Transportation 107  109 
Higher education 106  107 
Housing revenue 73  73 
Infrastructure finance 46  46 
Other public finance 124  125 
Total U.S. public finance 3,804  3,796 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Infrastructure finance 922  911 
Sovereign and sub-sovereign 50  52 
Renewable energy 18  18 
Total non-U.S. public finance 990  981 
Total public finance $ 4,794  $ 4,777 
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS $ 988  $ 1,010 
Consumer receivables 58  60 
Life insurance transactions 40  40 
Other structured finance
Total U.S. structured finance 1,088  1,115 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Total non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total structured finance $ 1,088  $ 1,115 
Total BIG net par outstanding $ 5,882  $ 5,892 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.


33


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)


Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category (1)
As of
March 31, December 31,
2023 2022
BIG Category 1
U.S. public finance $ 2,374  $ 2,364 
Non-U.S. public finance 990  981 
U.S. structured finance 12  18 
Non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total BIG Category 1 3,376  3,363 
BIG Category 2
U.S. public finance 109  108 
Non-U.S. public finance —  — 
U.S. structured finance 71  73 
Non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total BIG Category 2 180  181 
BIG Category 3
U.S. public finance 1,321  1,324 
Non-U.S. public finance —  — 
U.S. structured finance 1,005  1,024 
Non-U.S. structured finance —  — 
Total BIG Category 3 2,326  2,348 
BIG Total $ 5,882  $ 5,892 

1)    Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring the Company's portfolio of credits and maintains a list of BIG credits. BIG Category 1: Below-investment-grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make future losses possible, but for which none are currently expected. BIG Category 2: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims which are claims that the Company expects to be reimbursed within one year) have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.



34


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance and Structured Finance BIG Exposures with Revenue Sources Greater Than $50 Million
Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
60+ Day Delinquencies
Name or description
U.S. public finance:
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio $ 820  BB+
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority 720  CCC
Puerto Rico Highways & Transportation Authority 477  CCC
Illinois Sports Facilities Authority 260  BB+
OU Health (Medicine), Oklahoma 253  BB+
Jackson Water & Sewer System, Mississippi 164  BB
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency 124  CCC
Stockton City, California 96  B
New Jersey City University 87  BB
Harrisburg Parking System, Pennsylvania 78  B
San Jacinto River Authority (GRP Project), Texas 62  BB+
Indiana University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania 58  CCC
Atlantic City, New Jersey 53  BB
Total U.S. public finance $ 3,252 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) Plc 547  BB
Road Management Services PLC (A13 Highway) 126  B+
Dartford & Gravesham NHS Trust The Hospital Company (Dartford) Plc 120  BB+
M6 Duna Autopalya Koncesszios Zrt. 55  BB+
Total non-U.S. public finance $ 848 
Total public finance $ 4,100 
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS:
Option One 2007-FXD2 $ 116  CCC 16.6%
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HL1 99  CCC 26.3%
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W4 93  CCC 10.4%
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1 63  CCC 19.9%
New Century 2005-A 55  CCC 14.9%
Total RMBS-U.S. structured finance $ 426 
Total non-U.S. structured finance $ — 
Total structured finance $ 426 
Total $ 4,526 

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.
35


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)
50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name: Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
New Jersey (State of) $ 2,777  BBB
Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of) 2,270  BBB+
Metro Washington Airports Authority (Dulles Toll Road) 1,636  BBB+
New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority 1,543  A-
Illinois (State of) 1,310  BBB-
Foothill/Eastern Transportation Corridor Agency, California 1,308  BBB+
Alameda Corridor Transportation Authority, California 1,273  BBB+
North Texas Tollway Authority 1,251  A+
Port Authority of New York and New Jersey 1,038  BBB
CommonSpirit Health, Illinois 1,000  A-
San Joaquin Hills Transportation, California 985  BBB
Yankee Stadium LLC New York City Industrial Development Authority 925  BBB
San Diego Family Housing, LLC 906  AA
Philadelphia School District, Pennsylvania 892  A-
Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia 877  BBB+
Montefiore Medical Center, New York 837  BBB-
Great Lakes Water Authority (Sewerage), Michigan 821  A-
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio 820  BB+
Dade County Seaport, Florida 810  A
Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority, Illinois 789  BBB-
Wisconsin (State of) 782  A
California (State of) 770  AA-
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer 770  BBB
Tucson (City of), Arizona 760  A+
Nassau County, New York 754  A
New York (City of), New York 750  AA-
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources 750  AA
Central Florida Expressway Authority, Florida 745  A+
Chicago Public Schools, Illinois 732  BBB-
New York Power Authority 726  AA-
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority 720  CCC
Los Angeles Department of Airports (LAX Project), California 719  A-
South Carolina Public Service Authority - Santee Cooper 715  BBB
Anaheim (City of), California 704  A-
Lower Colorado River Authority 692  A
Clark County School District, Nevada 692  BBB+
Philadelphia (City of), Pennsylvania 681  BBB+
Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission 669  A-
Pittsburgh Water & Sewer, Pennsylvania 666  A-
Chicago-O'Hare International Airport, Illinois 657  A-
Suffolk County, New York 650  BBB+
North Carolina Turnpike Authority 632  BBB-
Mets Queens Ballpark 607  BBB
Oglethorpe Power Corporation, Georgia 575  BBB
Palomar Health 550  BBB
Hayward Unified School District, California 548  A
Kansas City, Missouri 535  A
Regional Transportation Authority (Sales Tax), Illinois 518  AA-
LCOR Alexandria LLC 512  BBB
Long Island Power Authority 510  A-
   Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures $ 44,159 
1) Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.

36


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
Credit Name: Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
Private US Insurance Securitization $ 1,100  AA
Private US Insurance Securitization 1,000  A
Private US Insurance Securitization 913  AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization 399  AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization 394  AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization 386  AA-
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-A 201  AA
Private Middle Market CLO 129  AAA
Private US Insurance Securitization 128  AA
Option One 2007-FXD2 116  CCC
CWABS 2007-4 104  A+
Private Balloon Note Guarantee 100  A
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HL1 99  CCC
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W4 93  CCC
SLM Student Loan Trust 2006-C 66  AA
ALESCO Preferred Funding XIII, Ltd. 65  AAA
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1 63  CCC
CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance 63  BBB
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction 62  A-
Private Balloon Note Guarantee 59  BBB
New Century 2005-A 55  CCC
CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9 54  A+
Private Subscription Finance Transaction 52  A
Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, Ltd. 52  A
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction 51  A-
   Total top 25 U.S. structured finance exposures $ 5,804 

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
37


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name: Country Net Par Outstanding Internal Rating
Southern Water Services Limited United Kingdom $ 2,265  BBB
Thames Water Utilities Finance Plc United Kingdom 1,901  BBB
Southern Gas Networks PLC United Kingdom 1,879  BBB
Dwr Cymru Financing Limited United Kingdom 1,693  A-
Quebec Province Canada 1,498  AA-
National Grid Gas PLC United Kingdom 1,456  BBB+
Anglian Water Services Financing PLC United Kingdom 1,269  A-
Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC France, United Kingdom 1,197  BBB
Yorkshire Water Services Finance Plc United Kingdom 1,110  BBB
British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) United Kingdom 1,054  A+
Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC United Kingdom 910  BBB-
Verbund, Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric Equipment Austria 880  AAA
Aspire Defence Finance plc United Kingdom 739  BBB+
Verdun Participations 2 S.A.S. France 701  BBB-
National Grid Company plc United Kingdom 654  BBB+
Envestra Limited Australia 609  A-
Severn Trent Water Utilities Finance Plc United Kingdom 605  BBB+
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) Plc United Kingdom 546  BB
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction Scotland 541  A+
Wessex Water Services Finance plc United Kingdom 520  BBB+
United Utilities Water PLC United Kingdom 518  A-
Campania Region - Healthcare Receivable Italy 498  BBB-
South East Water United Kingdom 473  BBB
NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLC United Kingdom 469  BBB+
Sydney Airport Finance Company Australia 467  BBB+
Derby Healthcare PLC United Kingdom 462  BBB
North Staffordshire PFI, 32-year EIB Index-Linked Facility United Kingdom 458  BBB-
Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals PLC United Kingdom 456  BBB-
The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) Limited United Kingdom 432  BBB
Heathrow Funding Limited United Kingdom 389  BBB
University of Essex, United Kingdom United Kingdom 373  BBB+
International Infrastructure Pool United Kingdom 368  AAA
International Infrastructure Pool United Kingdom 368  AAA
International Infrastructure Pool United Kingdom 368  AAA
Comision Federal De Electricidad (CFE) El Cajon Project Mexico 350  BBB-
South Lanarkshire Schools United Kingdom 338  BBB
Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency Japan 332  A+
Q Energy - Phase II - Pride Investments, S.A. Spain 313  BBB
Hypersol Solar Inversiones, S.A.U. Spain 307  BBB
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction United Kingdom 307  A
Western Power Distribution (South West) PLC United Kingdom 302  BBB+
Catalyst Healthcare (Romford) Financing PLC United Kingdom 300  BBB
Northumbrian Water PLC United Kingdom 300  BBB+
University of Sussex - East Slope Residencies PLC United Kingdom 298  BBB+
Feria Muestrario Internacional de Valencia Spain 286  BBB-
Q Energy - Phase III - FSL Issuer, S.A.U. Spain 283  BBB
Bakethin Finance Plc United Kingdom 282  A-
Artesian Finance Plc (Bristol) United Kingdom 280  BBB+
Western Power Distribution (South Wales) PLC United Kingdom 278  BBB+
Octagon Healthcare Funding PLC United Kingdom 275  BBB
Total top 50 non-U.S. exposures $ 32,957 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
38















Asset Management Segment

39


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Segment revenues
Management fees:
CLOs $ 12  $ 12 
Opportunity funds and liquid strategies
Wind-down funds — 
Total management fees 17  21 
Performance fees 20  16 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other
income (loss)
Total segment revenues 41  39 
Segment expenses
Employee compensation and benefit expenses 34  29 
Other operating expenses 10 
Total segment expenses 42  39 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (1) — 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes —  — 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) $ (1) $ — 


40


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Rollforward of Assets Under Management for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023

  CLOs Opportunity Funds Liquid Strategies Wind-Down Funds Total
AUM, December 31, 2022 $ 15,150  $ 1,884  $ 248  $ 182  $ 17,464 
Inflows-third party —  —  — 
Inflows-intercompany —  —  —  —  — 
Outflows:
Redemptions —  —  —  —  — 
Distributions (64) (133) —  (48) (245)
Total outflows (64) (133) —  (48) (245)
Net flows (64) (132) —  (48) (244)
Change in value 54  24  (1) 82 
AUM, March 31, 2023 $ 15,140  $ 1,776  $ 253  $ 133  $ 17,302 




41


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Assets Under Management

  CLOs Opportunity Funds Liquid Strategies Wind-Down Funds Total
As of March 31, 2023:
Funded AUM (1)
$ 15,008  $ 1,112  $ 253  $ 111  $ 16,484 
Unfunded AUM (1)
132  664  —  22  818 
Fee-earning AUM (2)
$ 14,801  $ 1,526  $ 253  $ 77  $ 16,657 
Non-fee earning AUM (2)
339  250  —  56  645 
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM $ 548  $ 164  $ 253  $ —  $ 965 
Unfunded AUM 132  115  —  —  247 
As of December 31, 2022:
Funded AUM $ 15,047  $ 1,217  $ 248  $ 160  $ 16,672 
Unfunded AUM 103  667  —  22  792 
Fee-earning AUM $ 14,820  $ 1,640  $ 248  $ 87  $ 16,795 
Non-fee earning AUM 330  244  —  95  669 
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM $ 582  $ 192  $ 248  $ —  $ 1,022 
Unfunded AUM 103  115  —  —  218 

1)    Funded AUM refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs. Unfunded AUM refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse fund.
2)    Fee-earning AUM refers to assets where AssuredIM collects fees or has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors. Non-fee earning AUM refers to assets where AssuredIM does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors.
42












Corporate Division

43


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Corporate Division Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
2023 2022
Total revenues $ $
Expenses
Interest expense 23  21 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses
Other operating expenses 16 
Total expenses 48  34 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  — 
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (46) (33)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes (2) — 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (44) $ (33)

44













Other

45


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Other Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2023
FG VIEs CIVs Intersegment Eliminations and Reclasses Total Other
(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ (1) $ —  $ —  $ (1)
Net investment income (1) —  (2) (3)
Asset management fees —  (14) (11)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs (5) —  —  (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  58  —  58 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement —  (1) —  (1)
Other income (loss) —  (2) —  (2)
Total revenues (7) 41  35 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit) (5) —  —  (5)
Interest expense —  —  (2) (2)
Other operating expenses —  — 
Total expenses (5) —  (4)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  (28) —  (28)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (2) 13  —  11 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes —  (1) —  (1)
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  16  —  16 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ (2) $ (2) $ —  $ (4)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2022
FG VIEs CIVs Intersegment Eliminations and Reclasses Total Other
(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums $ (1) $ —  $ —  $ (1)
Net investment income (1) (2) (2)
Asset management fees —  (9) (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs —  — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs —  14  —  14 
Other income (loss) —  —  —  — 
Total revenues 14 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit) —  — 
Interest expense —  —  (2) (2)
Other operating expenses —  — 
Total expenses — 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees —  (10) —  (10)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes (4) —  (1)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes (1) —  — 
Less: Noncontrolling interests —  — 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ $ (12) $ —  $ (10)



46















Summary

47


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
As of and for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023 Year Ended December 31,
2022 2021 2020 2019
GAAP Summary Statements of Operations Data
Net earned premiums $ 81  $ 494  $ 414  $ 485  $ 476 
Net investment income 81  269  269  297  378 
Total expenses 165  536  465  729  503 
Income (loss) before income taxes 120  187  383  386  460 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL 81  124  389  362  402 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share 1.34  1.92  5.23  4.19  4.00 
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data
Total investments and cash $ 8,700  $ 8,472  $ 9,728  $ 10,000  $ 10,409 
Total assets 16,778  16,843  18,208  15,334  14,326 
Unearned premium reserve 3,631  3,620  3,716  3,735  3,736 
Loss and LAE reserve 291  296  869  1,088  1,050 
Long-term debt 1,676  1,675  1,673  1,224  1,235 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL 5,220  5,064  6,292  6,643  6,639 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL per share 88.07  85.80  93.19  85.66  71.18 
Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) $ 374,475  $ 369,951  $ 367,360  $ 366,233  $ 374,130 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) 374,698  370,172  367,770  366,692  375,776 
Net par outstanding (end of period) 236,383  233,258  236,392  234,153  236,807 
Gross par outstanding (end of period) 236,565  233,438  236,765  234,571  238,156 
Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis)(1)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) $ 371,574  $ 366,883  $ 362,013  $ 360,392  $ 367,630 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) 371,797  367,103  362,423  360,852  369,251 
Net par outstanding (end of period) 233,514  230,294  231,742  229,008  230,984 
Gross par outstanding (end of period) 233,696  230,474  232,115  229,426  232,333 
Claims-paying resources(2)
Policyholders' surplus $ 5,174  $ 5,155  $ 5,572  $ 5,077  $ 5,056 
Contingency reserve 1,221  1,202  1,225  1,557  1,607 
Qualified statutory capital 6,395  6,357  6,797  6,634  6,663 
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income 2,946  2,941  2,972  2,983  2,961 
Loss and LAE reserves 152  165  167  202  529 
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves 9,493  9,463  9,936  9,819  10,153 
Present value of installment premium 936  955  883  858  804 
CCS and standby line of credit 400  400  400  400  400 
Total claims-paying resources $ 10,829  $ 10,818  $ 11,219  $ 11,077  $ 11,357 
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital 37  :1 36  :1 34  :1 35  :1 35  :1
Capital ratio 59  :1 58  :1 53  :1 54  :1 55  :1
Financial resources ratio 35  :1 34  :1 32  :1 33  :1 32  :1
Adjusted statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources 22  :1 21  :1 21  :1 21  :1 20  :1
Par and Debt Service Written (FG and Specialty)
Gross debt service written:
Public finance - U.S. $ 5,559  $ 36,954  $ 35,572  $ 33,596  $ 28,054 
Public finance - non-U.S. 743  756  1,890  1,860  17,907 
Structured finance - U.S. 583  1,120  1,319  508  1,704 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 1,515  551  431  254  88 
Total gross debt service written $ 8,400  $ 39,381  $ 39,212  $ 36,218  $ 47,753 
Net debt service written $ 8,400  $ 39,381  $ 39,212  $ 35,965  $ 47,731 
Net par written 5,363  22,047  26,656  23,012  24,331 
Gross par written 5,363  22,047  26,656  23,265  24,353 
1)    Statutory amounts prepared on a consolidated basis. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners Annual Statements for U.S. Domiciled Insurance Subsidiaries are prepared on a stand-alone basis.
2)    See page 16 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
48


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2023 Year Ended December 31,
2022 2021 2020 2019
Total GWP $ 86  $ 360  $ 377  $ 454  $ 677 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (2)
69  145  158  191  469 
Upfront GWP 17  215  219  263  208 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (3)
95  160  142  127  361 
Total PVP $ 112  $ 375  $ 361  $ 390  $ 569 
PVP:
Public finance - U.S. $ 22  $ 257  $ 235  $ 292  $ 201 
Public finance - non-U.S. 30  68  79  82  308 
Structured finance - U.S. 27  43  42  14  53 
Structured finance - non-U.S. 33 
Total PVP $ 112  $ 375  $ 361  $ 390  $ 569 
Adjusted operating income reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $ 81  $ 124  $ 389  $ 362  $ 402 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (2) (56) 15  18  22 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 13  (18) (64) 65  (10)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (16) 24  (28) (1) (22)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves 20  (110) (21) 42  22 
Total pre-tax adjustments 15  (160) (98) 124  12 
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments (2) 17  17  (18) (1)
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 68  $ 267  $ 470  $ 256  $ 391 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $ 1.34  $ 1.92  $ 5.23  $ 4.19  $ 4.00 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments (0.03) (0.87) 0.20  0.21  0.22 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives 0.21  (0.27) (0.85) 0.75  (0.11)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS (0.26) 0.37  (0.38) (0.01) (0.22)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves 0.32  (1.72) (0.29) 0.49  0.21 
Total pre-tax adjustments 0.24  (2.49) (1.32) 1.44  0.10 
Tax effect on pre-tax adjustments (0.02) 0.27  0.23  (0.22) (0.01)
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share $ 1.12  $ 4.14  $ 6.32  $ 2.97  $ 3.91 

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
2)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
3)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. This also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.


49


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

As of March 31, 2023 As of December 31,
2022 2021 2020 2019
Adjusted book value reconciliation:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL $ 5,220  $ 5,064  $ 6,292  $ 6,643  $ 6,639 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (59) (71) (54) (56)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 32  47  23  52  52 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (413) (523) 404  611  486 
Less taxes 54  68  (72) (116) (89)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity 5,606  5,543  5,991  6,087  6,246 
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 151  147  131  119  111 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 196  157  160  182  206 
Plus: Net deferred premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 3,436  3,428  3,402  3,355  3,296 
Plus taxes (609) (602) (599) (597) (590)
Adjusted book value $ 8,478  $ 8,379  $ 8,823  $ 8,908  $ 9,047 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(4), $(4), $(5), $-, and $(2)) $ 13  $ 17  $ 32  $ $
Adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(3), $(3), $(3), $2, and $1) $ $ 11  $ 23  $ (8) $ (4)
Adjusted book value per share reconciliation:
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL per share $ 88.07  $ 85.80  $ 93.19  $ 85.66  $ 71.18 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (0.99) (1.21) (0.80) 0.12  (0.60)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS 0.53  0.80  0.34  0.66  0.56 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (6.97) (8.86) 5.99  7.89  5.21 
Less taxes 0.92  1.15  (1.07) (1.50) (0.95)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share 94.58  93.92  88.73  78.49  66.96 
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 2.55  2.48  1.95  1.54  1.19 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue 3.30  2.66  2.37  2.35  2.20 
Plus: Net deferred premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed 57.97  58.10  50.40  43.27  35.34 
Plus taxes (10.26) (10.22) (8.88) (7.70) (6.32)
Adjusted book value per share $ 143.04  $ 141.98  $ 130.67  $ 114.87  $ 96.99 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share 0.22  $ 0.28  $ 0.47  $ 0.03  $ 0.07 
Adjusted book value per share 0.15  $ 0.19  $ 0.34  $ (0.10) $ (0.05)

1)    See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

50


Glossary

Financial Guaranty Insurance
Net Par Outstanding and Internal Ratings
Net Par Outstanding is insured par exposure, net of reinsurance cessions. Unless otherwise indicated, GAAP net par outstanding amounts exclude amounts as a result of loss mitigation strategies, including securities the Company has purchased for loss mitigation purposes that are held in the investment portfolio.

Internal Rating utilizes the Company’s ratings scale, which is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations; however, the ratings in the tables may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Statutory Net Par and Net Debt Service Outstanding. Under statutory accounting, net par and net debt service outstanding would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., an issuer has legally discharged its obligations with respect to a municipal security by satisfying conditions set forth in defeasance provisions contained in transaction documents and is no longer responsible for the payment of debt service with respect to such obligations) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., transaction documents for a municipal security do not contain defeasance provisions but the issuer establishes an escrow account with U.S. government securities in amounts sufficient to pay the refunded bonds when due; the refunded bonds are not considered paid and continue to be outstanding under the transaction documents and the issuer remains responsible to pay debt service when due to the extent monies on deposit in the escrow account are insufficient for such purpose).

Performance Indicators
The performance information described below is obtained from third parties and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to revision as updated or additional information is obtained:

60+ Day Delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned divided by current collateral balance.

Average Credit Enhancement is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Some asset classes may not have subordinated tranches so they are excluded from the weighted averages.

Sectors
Below are brief descriptions of selected types of public and structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022.

U.S. Public Finance:
General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit obligations that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy property taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation and tax-backed revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or an income tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported obligations, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community-based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution’s revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue or revenue relating to student accommodation.
51


Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily issued by investor-owned utilities and include first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, as well as sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations backed by revenue from renewable energy sources.

Other Public Finance Bonds include other debt issued, guaranteed or otherwise supported by U.S. national or local governmental authorities, as well as student loans, revenue bonds, and obligations of some not-for-profit organizations.

Non-U.S. Public Finance:
Regulated Utility Obligations are obligations issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities, supported by the rates and charges paid by the utilities’ customers. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S regulated utility business is conducted in the United Kingdom.

Infrastructure Finance Obligations are obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of non-U.S. infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure, student accommodations, stadiums, and other physical assets delivering essential services supported either by long-term concession arrangements or a regulatory regime. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S. infrastructure business is conducted in the U.K.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of credit default swap obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations. The Company has not entered into a pooled infrastructure transaction since 2006.

Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Obligations primarily include obligations of local, municipal, regional or national governmental authorities or agencies outside of the United States.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations secured by revenues relating to renewable energy sources, typically solar or wind farms. These transactions often benefit from regulatory support in the form of regulated minimum prices for the electricity produced. The majority of the Company’s international renewable energy business is conducted in Spain.

Other Public Finance Obligations are obligations of, or backed by, local, municipal, regional or national governmental authorities or agencies not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Structured Finance:
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities are obligations backed by first and second lien mortgage loans on residential properties. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including “prime,” “subprime” and “Alt-A.” A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with higher risk characteristics. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income. RMBS include home equity lines of credit, which refers to a type of residential mortgage-backed transaction backed by second-lien loan collateral. The Company has not provided insurance for RMBS in the primary market since 2008.

Life Insurance Transactions are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in “tranches,” with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company’s financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as student loans, automobile loans and leases, manufactured home loans and other consumer receivables.

52


Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Financial Products Business is the guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) portion of a line of business previously conducted by Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH) that the Company did not acquire when it purchased AGMH in 2009 from Dexia SA and that is being run off. That line of business consisted of AGMH’s guaranteed investment contracts business, its medium term notes business and the equity payment agreements associated with AGMH’s leveraged lease business. Although Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates (Dexia) assumed the liabilities related to such businesses when the Company purchased AGMH, AGM policies related to such businesses remained outstanding. Assured Guaranty is indemnified by Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates against loss from the former Financial Products Business.

Other Structured Finance Obligations are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Specialty Business
The Company also provides specialty insurance, reinsurance and guarantees in transactions with similar risk profiles to its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form. The Company provides such specialty insurance and reinsurance, for example, for life insurance transactions and aircraft residual value insurance transactions.


AUM Definitions
The Company uses AUM as a metric to measure progress in its Asset Management segment. Management fee revenue is based on a variety of factors and is not perfectly correlated with AUM. However, the Company believes that AUM is a useful metric for assessing the relative size and scope of the Company’s asset management business. Investors also use AUM to evaluate companies that participate in the asset management business. AUM refers to the assets managed, advised or serviced by the Asset Management segment and equals the sum of the following:

•the amount of aggregate collateral balance and principal cash of AssuredIM’s CLOs, including CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds. This also includes CLO assets managed by BlueMountain Fuji Management, LLC (BM Fuji), which was sold to a third party in the second quarter of 2021. AssuredIM is not the investment manager of BM Fuji-advised CLOs, but following the sale, AssuredIM sub-advises and continues to provide personnel and other services to BM Fuji associated with the management of BM Fuji-advised CLOs pursuant to a sub-advisory agreement and a personnel and services agreement, consistent with past practices; and

•the net asset value of all funds and accounts other than CLOs, plus any unfunded commitments. Changes in NAV attributable to movements in fund value of certain private equity funds are reported on a quarter lag.

The Company’s calculation of AUM may differ from the calculation employed by other investment managers and, as a result, this measure may not be directly comparable to similar measures presented by other investment managers. The calculation also differs from the manner in which AssuredIM affiliates registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) report “Regulatory Assets Under Management” on Form ADV and Form PF in various ways.

    The Company also uses several other measurements of AUM to understand and measure its AUM in more detail and for various purposes, including its relative position in the market and its income and income potential:

“Third-party AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of third-party investors. This includes current and former employee investments in AssuredIM Funds. For CLOs, this also includes CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds.

“Intercompany AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of the Company. This includes investments from affiliates of Assured Guaranty along with general partners’ investments of AssuredIM (or its affiliates) into the AssuredIM Funds.

“Funded AUM” refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs.

“Unfunded AUM” refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse funds.

“Fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM collects fees and has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors.

“Non-fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors. AssuredIM reserves the right to waive some or all fees for certain investors, including investors affiliated with AssuredIM and/or the Company. Further, to the extent that the Company’s wind-down and/or opportunity funds are invested in AssuredIM managed CLOs, AssuredIM may rebate any management fees and/or performance fees earned from the CLOs to the extent such fees are attributable to the wind-down and opportunity funds’ holdings of CLOs also managed by AssuredIM.

53


Non-GAAP Financial Measures
 
The Company discloses both (a) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP and (b) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures). Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.

The Company believes its presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and for investors, analysts and the financial news media to evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include:
•FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and
•CIVs in which certain subsidiaries invest and which are managed by AssuredIM.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Insurance segment.

Management of the Company and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process for and in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (1) adjusted operating income, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (2) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (3) adjusted book value per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; and (4) PVP.

Management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or adjusted book value, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares. Management also believes that many of the Company’s fixed income investors also use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented within this financial supplement.

Adjusted Operating Income: Management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
54


Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

3)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are recognized in net income. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4)    Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves that are recognized in net income. Long-dated receivables and loss and LAE reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.
 
5)    Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and Adjusted Book Value: Management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

2)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
3)    Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not recognize an economic gain or loss.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Management uses adjusted book value, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. Adjusted book value per share, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core adjusted book value), is one of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors. Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses. Adjusted book value is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2)    Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.
 
3)    Addition of the deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the present value of the expected future net earned premiums, net of the present value of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors.

55


Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

Adjusted Operating Return on Equity (Adjusted Operating ROE): Adjusted Operating ROE represents adjusted operating income for a specified period divided by the average of adjusted operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that adjusted operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company’s return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, to evaluate AGL’s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the AGL common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date adjusted operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis. Adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, is one of the key management financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors.

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue: Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production: Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP gross written premiums and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums. 

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. 

56

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Assured Guaranty Ltd.                        
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com





Contacts:

Equity and Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@agltd.com

Michael Walker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@agltd.com

Andre Thomas
Managing Director, Equity Investor Relations
(212) 339-3551
athomas@agltd.com

Media:
Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Media Relations
(212) 408-6042
adurani@agltd.com