The Mosaic Company 101 E. Kennedy Blvd., Suite 2500 Tampa, FL 33602 www.mosaicco.com

For Immediate Release

Investors Paul Massoud 813-775-4260 paul.massoud@mosaicco.com

Media Ben Pratt 813-775-4206 benjamin.pratt@mosaicco.com

•Full year net income of $3.6 billion, adjusted EBITDA(1) of $6.2 billion

•Cash from operations of $3.9 billion, free cash flow(1) of $2.6 billion

•Retired $550 million of long-term debt and returned $1.9 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends in 2022

•Accelerated share repurchase of $300 million and special dividend of $0.25 per share in the first quarter of 2023

TAMPA, FL, February 22, 2023 - The Mosaic Company (NYSE: MOS) today reported net income of $3.6 billion and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $10.06 for full year 2022. Adjusted EBITDA(1) for the year was $6.2 billion and adjusted diluted EPS(1) was $11.01.

The company also reported fourth quarter net income of $523 million and diluted EPS of $1.52. Adjusted EBITDA(1) totaled $1.05 billion for the quarter and adjusted diluted EPS(1) was $1.74.

“Mosaic delivered record results in 2022, and we expect favorable agricultural markets to continue in 2023,” said Joc O’Rourke, President and CEO. “Despite significant volatility through the year, our business was able to deliver strong free cash flow and return significant capital to shareholders, while also reinvesting in the business. Mosaic is well positioned to continue delivering strong results in 2023, thanks to our low cost potash operations, our portfolio of value-added phosphate products, and our leading footprint in Brazil, the world's fastest-growing major agricultural market."

•Full year revenues were up 55 percent year-over-year to $19.1 billion, as stronger pricing more than offset lower volumes. The gross margin rate in 2022 was 30 percent, up from 26 percent in 2021.

•Net Income in 2022 totaled $3.6 billion, up 120 percent from 2021. Adjusted EBITDA(1) in 2022 totaled $6.2 billion, up 73 percent from 2021. Cash from operating activities totaled $3.9 billion and Free Cash Flow(1) totaled $2.6 billion.

•Potash operating earnings were $2.8 billion in 2022, up from $837 million in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA(1) totaled $3.1 billion in 2022, up from $1.3 billion last year. Esterhazy's K3 mine reached its targeted initial annual run-rate of 5.5 million tonnes in the first half of 2022, and output was expanded further with the addition of an eleventh miner, which entered service in the fourth quarter. The decision to stop production at the Colonsay mine in the fourth quarter because of market conditions is expected to be temporary, and a restart is expected in the first half of 2023.

*Free cash flow is defined as cash from operations minus total capital expenditures and adjusted for working capital financing.

•Phosphate operating earnings were $1.3 billion in 2022, compared to $1.2 billion in 2021. Adjusted EBITDA(1) totaled $2.2 billion in 2022, up from $1.7 billion the prior year. The segment benefited from higher prices more than offsetting lower production and sales volumes, which were impacted by Hurricane Ian, unplanned operational outages, and a slower-than-expected recovery in demand in the second half of the year. Production returned to normal operating rates in February of 2023. MicroEssentials sales volumes totaled 2.8 million tonnes in 2022, with gross margins averaging $33 per tonne higher than commodity fertilizer sales. Performance products now account for 43% of total phosphate segment volumes.

•Mosaic Fertilizantes operating earnings were $910 million in 2022, up from $745 million in 2021. Adjusted EBITDA(1) totaled $1.0 billion in 2022, up from $821 million last year. Mosaic Fertilizantes saw market share for its distribution business grow to approximately 18% in 2022, from 16% in the prior year, and is now Brazil's largest distributor of fertilizer. When combined with direct sales from the production business, total sales volumes accounted for 23% of all fertilizer sales in Brazil.

Mosaic remains committed to a disciplined capital allocation strategy.

•Mosaic anticipates returning virtually all of 2023 generated free cash flow to shareholders through a combination of regular common dividends, special dividends, and share repurchases(2).

•Mosaic expects to initiate an accelerated share repurchase (ASR) of $300 million in first quarter of 2023. Following execution of the ASR, Mosaic will have repurchased shares worth more than $2.5 billion since the third quarter of 2021. As of February 17, shares outstanding totaled 336.5 million shares.

•Mosaic has a regular common dividend target of $0.80 per share(2).

•In an effort to further reward long-term shareholders, Mosaic's Board of Directors has approved a special dividend of $0.25 per share to be distributed on March 30, 2023, to shareholders of record on March 15, 2023.

•Consistent with the maintenance of a balance sheet reflective of investment grade metrics, Mosaic retired $550 million of long-term debt in November 2022 and met its previously established goal of reducing long-term debt by $1 billion.

•Management of assets remains a key focus. Mosaic divested Streamsong Resort in January of 2023 for gross proceeds of $160 million.

•Mosaic will continue to evaluate its capital expenditure budget in 2023. Capex is expected to total $1.3-1.4 billion, with a portion of the spend being directed to projects that we expect will improve operational performance in the phosphates segment. Mosaic is also pursuing high-returning projects. Examples include an expansion of MicroEssentials capacity at our Riverview facility, construction of the new Palmeirante blending and distribution facility in Brazil, construction of a purified phosphoric acid test plant in North America, and extending production from the Taquari potash mine in Brazil. On average, these projects are expected to generate an after tax, internal rate of return of approximately 50%.

(3)Average per tonne MOP selling price (fob mine)

The Potash segment reported net sales of $5.2 billion in 2022, up from $2.6 billion in 2021, reflecting the benefit of higher prices. MOP cash costs of production, excluding brine management costs, averaged $78 per tonne, up from $67 in 2021, primarily driven by higher price-related royalties, natural gas prices, other inflationary pressures, and market-related shutdowns during the year. Gross margin per tonne was $351, up from $129 last year, and adjusted gross margin per tonne(1) rose year over year from $134 to $351.

At Esterhazy, 11 miners are now in operation, a twelfth miner is currently being commissioned, and the final thirteenth miner is expected to enter service in the second half of 2023. Upon completion, these three additional miners will add one million tonnes of annual capacity. At Colonsay, production was temporarily halted in December but is expected to restart in the first half of 2023.

Sales volumes in the first quarter are expected to be 1.8-2.0 million tonnes with realized mine-gate MOP prices in the range of $425-$475 per tonne.

(4)Average DAP Selling Price (fob plant)

Net sales in the Phosphate segment increased to $6.2 billion in 2022, up from $4.9 billion in 2021. Sales volumes decreased from 7.7 million tonnes in 2021 to 6.6 million tonnes, reflecting the impact of Hurricane Ian as well as other unplanned operational outages. This decrease was more than offset by the rise in average realized selling prices to $913 per tonne, up from $618 in 2021. Gross margin per tonne was $268 in 2022, compared to $170 in 2021, and adjusted gross margin per tonne(1) increased to $274 in 2022 from $173 in the prior year.

Mosaic continues to benefit from access to internally produced and attractively priced external ammonia. Realized ammonia costs in 2022 averaged $603 per tonne, compared with the market average of $1,167 per tonne in 2022, and we expect similar benefits in 2023.

Sales volumes in the first quarter are expected to be 1.7-1.9 million tonnes with DAP prices on an FOB basis averaging $625-$675 per tonne. Stripping margins are expected to be in line with the fourth quarter as lower raw material costs offset the decline in realized prices.

Mosaic Fertilizantes reported net sales of $8.3 billion in 2022, up from $5.1 billion in the prior year, reflecting higher prices, offset by lower volumes. These factors led to significant improvements in gross margin per tonne, which averaged $111 in 2022, up from $83 in 2021, and offset the impact of inflationary cost pressures. Despite lower volumes, Mosaic Fertilizantes saw market share for its distribution business grow from 16% to approximately 18% during the year.

Full-year selling, general and administrative expenses were $498.0 million in 2022 versus $430.5 million in 2021, primarily driven by additional spend related to our Global Digital Acceleration effort.

Mosaic recognized strong earnings from equity investments of $196.0 million, reflecting contribution from the company’s share of the MWSPC joint venture in Saudi Arabia. Mosaic received a $25 million dividend distribution from MWSPC in February 2023.

The reported effective tax rate for 2022 was 26.4 percent, and 25.8 percent excluding discrete items. Discrete items included true-up of estimates primarily related to our U.S. tax return and restricted stock units vested during the year above the grant price. The effective rate, excluding discrete items, was driven by the mix of earnings across jurisdictions, tax costs related to repatriation of earnings to the U.S. and benefits related to non-U.S. tax incentives. Cash taxes paid in 2022 were $1.1 billion.

In 2022, net cash provided by operating activities was $3.9 billion and capital expenditures were $1.2 billion.

Strong agricultural commodity pricing trends are expected to drive a recovery in demand for fertilizers in 2023. Global demand for grain and oilseeds remain high while stock-to-use ratios are at the lowest point in more than 25 years. Food security concerns, rising biofuel consumption, and crop production headwinds suggest elevated crop prices will persist through 2023 and likely beyond. As a result, strong global fertilizer demand is expected in 2023 as growers seek to maximize yields.

Grower profitability has improved significantly as input costs have eased while ag commodity prices have held at elevated levels, and farmer economics in most global growing regions are constructive. Channel inventories for phosphates and potash in North America, Brazil, India, and other key growing regions have been drawn down, but nutrient price volatility has delayed replenishment of these channels. As grower demand ramps up ahead of the Northern Hemisphere’s spring planting season, wholesalers and retailers are expected to return to the market to meet farmer demand.

Global phosphate supply remains constrained. China's domestic phosphate industry is undergoing significant change as production is diverted from export markets toward domestic industrial and agricultural uses, a secular trend that is expected to continue.

In potash, price weakness persisted through the winter as a result of aggressive marketing of small volumes from producers in Russia and Belarus seeking to recover market share lost in 2022. However, global supplies remain constrained and are unlikely to be sufficient to allow a return to trend demand and could struggle to satisfy the pent up demand expected in 2023.

The Company provides the following modeling assumptions for the full year 2023:

The Company provided the following sensitivities to price and foreign exchange rates to help investors anticipate the potential impact of movements in these factors.

(5) Includes impact of Canadian Resource Tax

(6) Approximately 20% of DAP price sensitivity impact is expected to be in the Mosaic Fertilizantes segment.; approximately 5% of the MOP price sensitivity impact is expected to be in the Mosaic Fertilizantes segment.

(7) The company hedged about 50 percent of the annual sensitivity. Over longer periods of time, inflation is expected to offset a portion of currency benefits.

The Mosaic Company is one of the world's leading producers and marketers of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Mosaic is a single-source provider of phosphate and potash fertilizers and feed ingredients for the global agriculture industry. More information on the company is available at www.mosaicco.com.

Mosaic will conduct a conference call on Thursday, February 23, 2023, at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss fourth quarter and full year 2022 earnings results. A simultaneous webcast of the conference call may be accessed through Mosaic’s website at www.mosaicco.com/investors. This webcast will be available up to one year from the time of the earnings call.

This press release includes the presentation and discussion of non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share guidance, or adjusted EPS, non-GAAP gross margin per tonne, or adjusted gross margin per tonne, non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow, referred to as non-GAAP financial measures. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a supplemental numerical measure of a company's performance, financial position or cash flows that either excludes or includes amounts that are not normally excluded or included in the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as substitutes for, or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. In addition, because non-GAAP measures are not determined in accordance with GAAP, they are thus susceptible to varying interpretations and calculations and may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. Adjusted metrics, including adjusted EPS, adjusted gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA are calculated by excluding the impact of notable items from the GAAP measure. Notable items impact on gross margin and EBITDA is pretax. Notable items impact on diluted net earnings per share is calculated as the notable item amount plus income tax effect, based on expected annual effective tax rate, divided by diluted weighted average shares. Management believes that these adjusted measures provide securities analysts, investors, management and others with useful supplemental information regarding our performance by excluding certain items that may not be indicative of, or are unrelated to, our core operating results. Free Cash Flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures and adjusted for changes in working capital financing. Management utilizes these adjusted measures in analyzing and assessing Mosaic’s overall performance and financial trends, for financial and operating decision-making, and to forecast and plan for future periods. These adjusted measures also assist our management in comparing our and our competitors' operating results. We are not providing forward looking guidance for U.S. GAAP reported diluted net earnings per share, gross margin per tonne, or a quantitative reconciliation of forward-looking adjusted EPS, adjusted gross margin and adjusted EBITDA because we are unable to predict with reasonable certainty our notable items without unreasonable effort. Historically, our notable items have included, but are not limited to, foreign currency transaction gain or loss, unrealized gain or loss on derivatives, acquisition-related fees, discrete tax items, contingencies and certain other gains or losses. These items are uncertain, depend on various factors, and could have a material impact on U.S. GAAP reported results for the guidance period. Reconciliations for Non-GAAP financial measures contained in this press release are found below. Reconciliations for current and historical periods beginning with the quarter ended March 31, 2021 for consolidated adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA, as well as segment adjusted EBITDA and adjusted gross margin per tonne are provided in the Selected Calendar Quarter Financial Information performance data for the related periods. This information is being furnished under Exhibit 99.2 of the Form 8-K and available on our website at www.mosaicco.com in the “Financial Information - Quarterly Earnings” section under the “Investors” tab.

For the three months ended December 31, 2022, the Company reported the following notable items which, combined, negatively impacted earnings per share by $0.22: 

For the three months ended December 31, 2021, the Company reported the following notable items which, combined, negatively impacted earnings per share by $0.19: 

																		Amount						Tax effect						EPS impact
Description						Segment						Line item						(in millions)						(in millions)						(per share)
Foreign currency transaction gain (loss)						Consolidated						Foreign currency transaction gain (loss)						$	(44)					$	11					$	(0.09)
Unrealized gain (loss) on derivatives						Corporate and Other						Cost of goods sold						(18)						5						(0.03)
Closed and indefinitely idled facility costs						Phosphates						Other operating income (expense)						(9)						3						(0.02)
Pre-acquisition reserve adjustment						Mosaic Fertilizantes						Other operating income (expense)						5						(2)						0.01
Realized gain on RCRA Trust Securities						Phosphates						Other non-operating income (expense)						(2)						1						—
Discrete tax items						Consolidated						(Provision for) benefit from income taxes						—						(26)						(0.06)
ARO Adjustment						Phosphates						Other operating income (expense)						(5)						1						(0.01)
FX functional currency						Mosaic Fertilizantes						Cost of goods sold						23						(6)						0.04
Hurricane Ida recovery						Phosphates						Cost of goods sold/Other income (expense)						(9)						2						(0.02)
ARO Adjustment						Potash						Other operating income (expense)						(4)						1						(0.01)
Total Notable Items																		$	(63)					$	(10)					$	(0.19)

 

 

The Mosaic Company						(unaudited)

 

 

 

The Mosaic Company						(unaudited)

						December 31, 2022						December 31, 2021
Assets
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents						$	735.4					$	769.5
Receivables, net						1,699.9						1,531.9
Inventories						3,543.1						2,741.4
Other current assets						578.2						282.5
Total current assets						6,556.6						5,325.3
Property, plant and equipment, net						12,678.7						12,475.3
Investments in nonconsolidated companies						885.9						691.8
Goodwill						1,116.3						1,172.2
Deferred income taxes						752.3						997.1
Other assets						1,396.2						1,374.7
Total assets						$	23,386.0					$	22,036.4
Liabilities and Equity
Current liabilities:
Short-term debt						$	224.9					$	302.8
Current maturities of long-term debt						985.3						596.6
Structured accounts payable arrangements						751.2						743.7
Accounts payable						1,292.5						1,260.7
Accrued liabilities						2,279.9						1,883.6
Total current liabilities						5,533.8						4,787.4
Long-term debt, less current maturities						2,411.9						3,382.2
Deferred income taxes						1,010.1						1,016.2
Other noncurrent liabilities						2,236.0						2,102.1
Equity:
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, 15,000,000 shares authorized, none issued and outstanding as of December 31, 2022 and 2021						—						—
Common stock, $0.01 par value, 1,000,000,000 shares authorized, 391,964,464 shares issued and 339,071,423 shares outstanding as of December 31, 2022, 390,815,099 shares issued and 368,732,231 shares outstanding as of December 31, 2021						3.4						3.7
Capital in excess of par value						—						478.0
Retained earnings						14,203.4						12,014.2
Accumulated other comprehensive loss						(2,152.2)						(1,891.8)
Total Mosaic stockholders’ equity						12,054.6						10,604.1
Non-controlling interests						139.6						144.4
Total equity						12,194.2						10,748.5
Total liabilities and equity						$	23,386.0					$	22,036.4

The Mosaic Company						(unaudited)

						Three months ended December 31,												Years ended  December 31,
						2022						2021						2022						2021
Cash Flows from Operating Activities:
Net cash provided by operating activities						$	955.7					$	430.4					$	3,935.8					$	2,187.0
Cash Flows from Investing Activities:
Capital expenditures						(340.5)						(362.8)						(1,247.3)						(1,288.6)
Purchases of available-for-sale securities - restricted						(302.9)						(110.3)						(762.5)						(433.6)
Proceeds from sale of available-for-sale securities - restricted						298.4						106.9						743.0						410.1
Other						1.9						(25.5)						7.2						(10.2)
Net cash used in investing activities						(343.1)						(391.7)						(1,259.6)						(1,322.3)
Cash Flows from Financing Activities:
Payments of short-term debt						(1,602.6)						(701.6)						(1,761.2)						(726.6)
Proceeds from issuance of short-term debt						1,827.7						701.6						1,980.5						726.6
Payments from inventory financing arrangement						(200.5)						—						(1,651.5)						—
Proceeds from inventory financing arrangement						—						302.7						1,348.8						302.7
Payments of structured accounts payable arrangements						(332.5)						(352.7)						(1,476.6)						(1,028.4)
Proceeds from structured accounts payable arrangements						439.9						360.0						1,460.5						1,122.7
Payments of long-term debt						(565.8)						(13.6)						(610.3)						(608.3)
Collections of transferred receivables						1,068.5						134.7						2,352.1						445.0
Payments of transferred receivables						(1,069.7)						(101.1)						(2,433.2)						(363.9)
Repurchases of stock						(64.0)						(390.9)						(1,665.2)						(410.9)
Cash dividends paid						(51.1)						(27.8)						(197.7)						(103.7)
Dividends paid to non-controlling interest						(21.3)						(11.8)						(38.0)						(31.3)
Other						(1.6)						(2.9)						13.1						(6.0)
Net cash used in financing activities						(573.0)						(103.4)						(2,678.7)						(682.1)
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash						(8.0)						(7.7)						(29.7)						9.3
Net change in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash						31.6						(72.4)						(32.2)						191.9
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash—beginning of year						722.5						858.7						786.3						594.4
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash—end of year						$	754.1					$	786.3					$	754.1					$	786.3

 

(a) Includes net proceeds (payments) from inventory financing arrangements, structured accounts payable arrangements and commercial paper borrowings.