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FalsePROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/000008066100000806612025-04-162025-04-16

UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

 

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) April 16, 2025
THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Ohio 001-09518 34-0963169
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation)
(Commission File Number) (IRS Employer
Identification No.)
300 North Commons Blvd., Mayfield Village, Ohio   44143
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (440) 461-5000
Not Applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐     Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐     Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, $1.00 Par Value PGR New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐



Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On April 16, 2025, The Progressive Corporation (the “Company”) issued a news release containing financial results for the Company and its consolidated subsidiaries for the month and year-to-date periods ended March 31, 2025. A copy of the news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

See exhibit index on page 3.
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SIGNATURES


    Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.


Date: April 16, 2025
THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION
By: /s/ Carl G. Joyce
Name: Carl G. Joyce
Title: Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer
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EXHIBIT INDEX


Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K Item 601 Form 8-K Exhibit No.

Description
99 99
104 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page tags are
embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

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EX-99 2 pgr20250331ex99earningsrel.htm EX-99 Document

image0a04a01a67.jpg
NEWS RELEASE
The Progressive Corporation Company Contact:
300 North Commons Blvd. Douglas S. Constantine
Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143 (440) 395-3707

PROGRESSIVE REPORTS MARCH RESULTS

MAYFIELD VILLAGE, OHIO -- April 16, 2025 -- The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) today reported the following results for the month and quarter ended March 31, 2025:
March Quarter
(millions, except per share amounts and ratios; unaudited) 2025 2024 Change 2025 2024 Change
Net premiums written $ 9,041  $ 7,746  17  % $ 22,206  $ 18,962  17  %
Net premiums earned $ 6,787  $ 5,634  20  % $ 19,409  $ 16,149  20  %
Net income $ 522  $ 893  (42) % $ 2,567  $ 2,331  10  %
  Per share available to common shareholders $ 0.89  $ 1.52  (42) % $ 4.37  $ 3.94  11  %
Total pretax net realized gains (losses) on securities $ (211) $ 59  (458) % $ (212) $ 156  (236) %
Combined ratio 90.9 84.3 6.6  pts. 86.0 86.1 (0.1) pts.
Average diluted equivalent common shares 587.7 587.4 0 % 587.7 587.3 0 %


March 31,
(thousands; unaudited) 2025 2024 % Change
Policies in Force
Personal Lines
     Agency – auto 10,146 8,593 18
     Direct – auto 14,771 11,855 25
     Special lines 6,637 6,076 9
     Property 3,576 3,209 11
     Total Personal Lines 35,130 29,733 18
Commercial Lines 1,162 1,101 6
Companywide 36,292 30,834 18
Progressive offers personal and commercial insurance throughout the United States. Our Personal Lines business writes insurance for personal vehicles (auto and special lines products) and personal property insurance for homeowners and renters. Our Commercial Lines business writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, business-related general liability and commercial property insurance predominantly for small businesses, and workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry.
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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
COMPREHENSIVE INCOME STATEMENT
For the month ended March 31, 2025
(millions)
(unaudited)
Current Month
Comments on Monthly Results1
Net premiums written
$ 9,041 
Revenues:
Net premiums earned
$ 6,787 
Investment income
287 
Net realized gains (losses) on securities:
Net realized gains (losses) on security sales
27 
Net holding period gains (losses) on securities
(238)
Total net realized gains (losses) on securities
(211)
Fees and other revenues
98 
Service revenues
42 
Total revenues
7,003 
Expenses:
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
4,811 
Policy acquisition costs
506 
Other underwriting expenses
949 
Investment expenses
Service expenses
44 
Interest expense
24 
Total expenses
6,336 
Income before income taxes
667 
Provision for income taxes
145 
Net income
522 
Other comprehensive income (loss):
Change in total net unrealized gains (losses) on fixed-maturity securities
64 
Total comprehensive income (loss)
$ 586 
1 For a description of our financial reporting and accounting policies as it applies to information contained throughout this release, see Note 1 to our 2024 audited consolidated financial statements included in our 2024 Shareholders’ Report, which can be found at www.progressive.com/annualreport.
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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
COMPREHENSIVE INCOME STATEMENTS
For the year-to-date periods ended March 31,
(millions)
(unaudited)

Year-to-Date
2025 2024
Net premiums written $ 22,206  $ 18,962 
Revenues:
Net premiums earned $ 19,409  $ 16,149 
Investment income 814  618 
Net realized gains (losses) on securities:
Net realized gains (losses) on security sales (146)
Net holding period gains (losses) on securities (213) 302 
Total net realized gains (losses) on securities (212) 156 
Fees and other revenues 287  236 
Service revenues 111  84 
Total revenues 20,409  17,243 
Expenses:
Losses and loss adjustment expenses 12,804  10,972 
Policy acquisition costs 1,456  1,232 
Other underwriting expenses 2,719  1,931 
Investment expenses
Service expenses 117  92 
Interest expense 70  70 
Total expenses 17,173  14,303 
Income before income taxes 3,236  2,940 
Provision for income taxes 669  609 
Net income 2,567  2,331 
Other comprehensive income (loss):
Change in total net unrealized gains (losses) on fixed-maturity securities
899  (208)
Total comprehensive income (loss) $ 3,466  $ 2,123 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
COMPUTATION OF NET INCOME AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME PER SHARE
&
INVESTMENT RESULTS
For the month and year-to-date periods ended March 31,
(millions – except per share amounts)
(unaudited)



The following table sets forth the computation of per share results:
Current Year-to-Date
Month 2025 2024
Net income
$ 522  $ 2,567  $ 2,331 
Less: Preferred share dividends and other
17 
Net income available to common shareholders
$ 522  $ 2,567  $ 2,314 
Per common share:
Basic
$ 0.89  $ 4.38  $ 3.95 
Diluted
$ 0.89  $ 4.37  $ 3.94 
Comprehensive income (loss)
$ 586  $ 3,466  $ 2,123 
Less: Preferred share dividends and other
17 
Comprehensive income (loss) attributable to common shareholders
$ 586  $ 3,466  $ 2,106 
Per common share:
Diluted
$ 1.00  $ 5.90  $ 3.59 
Average common shares outstanding - Basic
586.1 586.0 585.4
Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation
1.6 1.7 1.9
Total average equivalent common shares - Diluted
587.7 587.7 587.3


The following table sets forth the investment results for the period:
Current Year-to-Date
Month 2025 2024
Fully taxable equivalent (FTE) total return:
Fixed-income securities
0.5% 2.5% 0.3%
Common stocks
(6.1)% (5.0)% 9.9%
     Total portfolio
0.2% 2.2% 0.8%
Pretax annualized investment income book yield
4.3% 4.1% 3.7%


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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
For the month ended March 31, 2025
($ in millions)
(unaudited)


Current Month
Personal Lines Business Commercial
Vehicles Lines Companywide
Agency Direct Property Total
Business1
Total
Net Premiums Written $ 2,714  $ 3,623  $ 296  $ 6,633  $ 2,408  $ 9,041 
% Growth in NPW 17% 24% 2% 20% 8% 17%
Net Premiums Earned $ 2,449  $ 3,135  $ 268  $ 5,852  $ 935  $ 6,787 
% Growth in NPE 20% 27% 8% 23% 5% 20%
GAAP Ratios
Loss/LAE ratio 69.8  70.9  89.8  71.3  67.3  70.8 
Expense ratio 17.9  20.9  27.7  19.9  21.2  20.1 
Combined ratio 87.7  91.8  117.5  91.2  88.5  90.9 
Net catastrophe loss ratio2
4.8 51.1  6.9  0.4  6.0 
Actuarial Adjustments3
Reserve Decrease/(Increase)
Prior accident years $ (46)
Current accident year (6)
Calendar year actuarial adjustment $ (39) $ (38) $ 22  $ (55) $ $ (52)
Prior Accident Years Development
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
Actuarial adjustment $ (46)
All other development 88 
Total development $ 42 
Calendar year loss/LAE ratio 70.8 
Accident year loss/LAE ratio 71.4 
1 The increase in net premiums written reflects the March 1 renewal of certain of our transportation network company (TNC) business, with the year-over-year increase due to higher projected mileage for the 2025 renewal, compared to the 2024 renewal, which is the basis for computing premiums. Excluding the TNC business, total Commercial Lines net premiums written would have decreased about 1% compared to March 2024.
2 Represents catastrophe losses incurred during the period, including (favorable)/unfavorable development on prior events and the impact of reinsurance, if any, as a percent of net premiums earned. During the month, we incurred catastrophe losses related to severe weather throughout the United States.
3 Represents adjustments solely based on our normally scheduled actuarial reviews. For our Personal Lines property business, the actuarial reserving methodology includes changes to catastrophe losses, while the reviews in our personal and commercial vehicle businesses do not include catastrophes.
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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
For the year-to-date period ended March 31, 2025
($ in millions)
(unaudited)


Year-to-Date
Personal Lines Business Commercial
Vehicles Lines Companywide
Agency Direct Property Total Business Total
Net Premiums Written $ 7,473  $ 10,067  $ 733  $ 18,273  $ 3,933  $ 22,206 
% Growth in NPW 17% 25% 0% 20% 5% 17%
Net Premiums Earned $ 7,026  $ 8,908  $ 776  $ 16,710  $ 2,699  $ 19,409 
% Growth in NPE 20% 27% 9% 23% 6% 20%
GAAP Ratios
Loss/LAE ratio 63.9  67.3  58.4  65.4  67.8  65.8 
Expense ratio 18.0  21.3  28.8  20.3  19.7  20.2 
Combined ratio 81.9  88.6  87.2  85.7  87.5  86.0 
Net catastrophe loss ratio1
1.9 19.8  2.7  0.2  2.4 
Actuarial Adjustments2
Reserve Decrease/(Increase)
Prior accident years $ 25 
Current accident year 14 
Calendar year actuarial adjustment $ (7) $ (7) $ 40  $ 26  $ 13  $ 39 
Prior Accident Years Development
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
Actuarial adjustment $ 25 
All other development 253 
Total development $ 278 
Calendar year loss/LAE ratio 65.8 
Accident year loss/LAE ratio 67.2 
1 Represents catastrophe losses incurred during the year, including the impact of reinsurance, as a percent of net premiums earned.
2 Represents adjustments solely based on our normally scheduled actuarial reviews. For our Personal Lines property business, the actuarial reserving methodology includes changes to catastrophe losses, while the reviews in our personal and commercial vehicle businesses do not include catastrophes.



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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
BALANCE SHEET AND OTHER INFORMATION
(millions - except per share amounts and common shares repurchased)
(unaudited)
March 31, 2025
CONDENSED GAAP BALANCE SHEET:
Investments, at fair value:
Available-for-sale securities:
Fixed maturities1 (amortized cost: $77,754)
$ 77,101 
Short-term investments (amortized cost: $2,595)
2,595 
Total available-for-sale securities 79,696 
Equity securities:
Nonredeemable preferred stocks (cost: $608)
584 
Common equities (cost: $774)
3,384 
Total equity securities 3,968 
Total investments2,3
83,664 
Net premiums receivable 16,811 
Reinsurance recoverables (including $4,133 on unpaid loss and LAE reserves)
4,449 
Deferred acquisition costs 2,068 
Other assets 4,417 
Total assets $ 111,409 
Unearned premiums $ 26,612 
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves 39,822 
Other liabilities2
9,127 
Debt 6,894 
Total liabilities 82,455 
Shareholders’ equity
28,954 
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
$ 111,409 
Common shares outstanding 586.2 
Common shares repurchased - actual 2,243 
Average cost per common share $ 276.25 
Book value per common share $ 49.39 
Trailing 12-month return on average common shareholders’ equity
Net income 34.2   %
Comprehensive income 39.3  %
Net unrealized pretax gains (losses) on fixed-maturity securities $ (652)
Increase (decrease) from February 2025 $ 81 
Increase (decrease) from December 2024 $ 1,138 
Debt-to-total capital ratio 19.2  %
Fixed-income portfolio duration 3.4 
Weighted average credit quality
AA- .
1 As of March 31, 2025, we held certain hybrid securities and recognized a change in fair value of $1 million as a realized loss during the period we held these securities.
2 At March 31, 2025, we had $297 million of net unsettled security transactions classified in “other liabilities.”
3 Includes $3.5 billion, net of unsettled security transactions, of investments in a consolidated, non-insurance, subsidiary of the holding company.

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Monthly Commentary
•The Company has no additional commentary regarding March’s results.
Events
Our first quarter Investor Relations conference call is currently scheduled to be held on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, at 9:30 a.m. eastern time. This conference call, which will consist of both a conference call and audio-only webcast, is scheduled to last 60 minutes and will consist of a question and answer session with Tricia Griffith, our CEO, and John Sauerland, our CFO. We plan to file our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q with the SEC on Monday, May 5, 2025. If the dates of our events, which are always subject to change, are rescheduled, we will announce the change in a press release as soon as practical and publish it on our investor website. Details regarding access to the conference call, or any event changes, will be available at: https://investors.progressive.com/events.
We plan to release April results on Wednesday, May 21, 2025, before the market opens.
About Progressive
Progressive Insurance® makes it easy to understand, buy and use car insurance, home insurance, and other protection needs. Progressive offers choices so consumers can reach us however it’s most convenient for them — online at progressive.com, by phone at 1-800-PROGRESSIVE, via the Progressive mobile app, or in-person with a local agent.
Progressive provides insurance for personal and commercial autos and trucks, motorcycles, boats, recreational vehicles, and homes; it is the second largest personal auto insurer in the country, a leading seller of commercial auto, motorcycle, and boat insurance, and one of the top 15 homeowners insurance carriers.
Founded in 1937, Progressive continues its long history of offering shopping tools and services that save customers time and money, like Name Your Price®, Snapshot®, and HomeQuote Explorer®.
The Common Shares of The Progressive Corporation, the Mayfield Village, Ohio-based holding company, trade publicly at NYSE: PGR.
Regulation FD Disclosure Outlets
The Company disseminates information to the public about the Company, its products, services and other matters through various outlets in order to achieve broad, non-exclusionary distribution of information to the public. These outlets include the Company’s website (progressive.com) and its investor relations website (investors.progressive.com). We encourage investors and others to review the information the Company makes public through these outlets, as such information distributed through these outlets may be considered to be material information.
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Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Investors are cautioned that certain statements in this report not based upon historical fact are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements often use words such as “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “goal,” “target,” “anticipate,” “will,” “could,” “likely,” “may,” “should,” and other words and terms of similar meaning, or are tied to future periods, in connection with a discussion of future operating or financial performance. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, are based on current expectations and projections about future events, and are subject to certain risks, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed herein. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, uncertainties related to:

•our ability to underwrite and price risks accurately and to charge adequate rates to policyholders;
•our ability to establish accurate loss reserves;
•the impact of severe weather, other catastrophe events, and climate change;
•the effectiveness of our reinsurance programs and the continued availability of reinsurance and performance by reinsurers;
•the secure and uninterrupted operation of the systems, facilities, and business functions and the operation of various third-party systems that are critical to our business;
•the impacts of a security breach or other attack involving our technology systems or the systems of one or more of our vendors;
•our ability to maintain a recognized and trusted brand and reputation;
•whether we innovate effectively and respond to our competitors’ initiatives;
•whether we effectively manage complexity as we develop and deliver products and customer experiences;
•the highly competitive nature of property-casualty insurance markets;
•whether we adjust claims accurately;
•compliance with complex and changing laws and regulations;
•the impact of misconduct or fraudulent acts by employees, agents, and third parties to our business and/or exposure to regulatory assessments;
•our ability to attract, develop, and retain talent and maintain appropriate staffing levels;
•litigation challenging our business practices, and those of our competitors and other companies;
•the success of our business strategy and efforts to acquire or develop new products or enter into new areas of business and our ability to navigate the related risks;
•how intellectual property rights affect our competitiveness and our business operations;
•the success of our development and use of new technology and our ability to navigate the related risks;
•the performance of our fixed-income and equity investment portfolios;
•the impact on our investment returns and strategies from regulations and societal pressures relating to environmental, social, governance and other public policy matters;
•our continued ability to access our cash accounts and/or convert investments into cash on favorable terms;
•the impact if one or more parties with which we enter into significant contracts or transact business fail to perform;
•legal restrictions on our insurance subsidiaries’ ability to pay dividends to The Progressive Corporation;
•our ability to obtain capital when necessary to support our business, our financial condition, and potential growth;
•evaluations and ratings by credit rating and other rating agencies;
•the variable nature of our common share dividend policy;
•whether our investments in certain tax-advantaged projects generate the anticipated returns;
•the impact from not managing to short-term earnings expectations in light of our goal to maximize the long-term value of the enterprise;
•the impacts of epidemics, pandemics, or other widespread health risks; and
•other matters described from time to time in our releases and publications, and in our periodic reports and other documents filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, including, without limitation, the Risk Factors section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ending December 31, 2024.

Any forward-looking statements are made only as of the date presented. Except as required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or developments or otherwise.

In addition, investors should be aware that accounting principles generally accepted in the United States prescribe when a company may reserve for particular risks, including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when we establish reserves for one or more contingencies. Also, our regular reserve reviews may result in adjustments of varying magnitude as additional information regarding claims activity becomes known. Reported results, therefore, may be volatile in certain accounting periods.
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